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The Economy Is the Top Issue for Latino Voters in the 2026 Midterms

经济是 2026 年中期选举拉丁裔选民的首要问题
2026-10-16  ·  Pew Research Center  ·  原文

This Pew Research Center analysis focuses on Latino registered voters and the 2026 midterm election.

皮尤研究中心的这份分析重点关注拉丁裔登记选民和 2026 年中期选举。

Pew Research Center conducts research to inform the public, journalists and decision-makers.

皮尤研究中心开展研究,为公众、记者和决策者提供信息。

This analysis builds on a larger body of work that explores the views and attitudes of Latino voters in U.S. elections and the attitudes and experiences of Latinos in the United States.

这项分析建立在更广泛的工作基础上,探讨了美国选举中拉丁裔选民的观点和态度以及美国拉丁裔的态度和经历。

Learn more about Pew Research Center , our research on Hispanics in the U.S. and other research on race and ethnicity .

详细了解皮尤研究中心、我们对美国西班牙裔的研究以及其他有关种族和民族的研究。

We surveyed 5,062 U.S. adults, including 774 Hispanic registered voters, from Sept.

自 9 月 10 日起,我们对 5,062 名美国成年人进行了调查,其中包括 774 名西班牙裔登记选民。

28 to Oct.

28日至10月

4, 2026.

2026 年 4 月。

Everyone who took this survey is part of the Center’s American Trends Panel .

每个参与这项调查的人都是该中心美国趋势小组的成员。

The survey was conducted in English and Spanish and represents the views of the full U.S. adult population.

该调查以英语和西班牙语进行,代表了美国全体成年人口的观点。

Read more about the ATP’s methodology .

阅读有关 ATP 方法的更多信息。

Here are the questions used for this analysis , detailed responses and the survey methodology .

以下是本次分析中使用的问题、详细答复和调查方法。

In a previous survey, respondents were asked a question about their voter registration status.

在之前的一项调查中,受访者被问及有关其选民登记状况的问题。

In this report, respondents are considered registered voters if they self-report being absolutely certain they are registered at their current address.

在本报告中,如果受访者自我报告完全确定自己在当前地址登记,则被视为登记选民。

Respondents are considered not registered to vote if they report not being registered or express uncertainty about their registration.

如果受访者报告未登记或对其登记表示不确定,则被视为未登记投票。

The terms “registered voters” and “voters” are used interchangeably in this report.

“登记选民”和“选民”这两个术语在本报告中可以互换使用。

This analysis includes comparisons between Latino registered voters and other registered voters.

该分析包括拉丁裔登记选民和其他登记选民之间的比较。

In these cases, the terms other registered voters or other voters refer to those who are not Latino.

在这些情况下,“其他登记选民”或“其他选民”一词是指非拉丁裔选民。

Validated voters are adult citizens who told us in a postelection survey that they voted in a given general election and have a record of voting in a commercial voter file.

经过验证的选民是在选举后调查中告诉我们他们在特定大选中投票并在商业选民档案中拥有投票记录的成年公民。

Trump voters are validated voters who self-reported that they voted for Republican Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election.

特朗普选民是经过验证的选民,他们自我报告称自己在 2024 年总统选举中投票给了共和党人唐纳德·特朗普。

Harris voters are validated voters who self-reported that they voted for Democrat Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election.

哈里斯选民是经过验证的选民,他们自我报告称自己在 2024 年总统选举中投票给了民主党人卡马拉·哈里斯。

For Latino voters, the economy is the top issue on their minds when it comes to the upcoming congressional elections, much like other registered voters .

对于拉丁裔选民来说,与其他登记选民一样,在即将到来的国会选举中,经济是他们最关心的问题。

More than eight-in-ten Latino registered voters (86%) say the economy is very important to their vote for Congress in the November elections.

More than eight-in-ten Latino registered voters (86%) say the economy is very important to their vote for Congress in the November elections.

The economy is also the top issue among Latino registered voters regardless of which candidate for Congress they support – 89% of Latino voters who support their House district’s Democratic candidate in the 2026 midterms and 78% of Republican candidate backers say it is very important to their vote this year.

经济也是拉美裔登记选民最关心的问题,无论他们支持哪位国会候选人,89% 的拉美裔选民在 2026 年中期选举中支持众议院选区的民主党候选人,78% 的共和党候选人支持者表示经济对他们今年的投票非常重要。

At least three-quarters of all Latino voters also say that healthcare (80%) and education (75%) are very important issues for their congressional vote.

至少四分之三的拉丁裔选民还表示,医疗保健(80%)和教育(75%)对于他们的国会投票来说非常重要。

However, unlike the economy, there are wide differences depending on which candidate Latino voters support.

然而,与经济不同的是,拉丁裔选民支持的候选人不同,存在很大差异。

Latinos backing their Democratic candidate are 31 percentage points more likely than Republican voters to say healthcare is very important to their vote for Congress this year and 27 points more likely to say the same about education.

支持民主党候选人的拉美裔选民表示医疗保健对其今年国会投票非常重要的可能性比共和党选民高出 31 个百分点,而对教育持相同看法的拉丁裔选民则高出 27 个百分点。

Additionally, two-thirds or more of Latino voters say the future of democracy (69%) and immigration (64%) are key considerations to their vote.

此外,三分之二或更多的拉丁裔选民表示,民主的未来(69%)和移民(64%)是他们投票的关键考虑因素。

These findings come from a new Pew Research Center survey of U.S. adults, including 774 Latino registered voters, conducted from Sept.

这些发现来自皮尤研究中心从 9 月 10 日起对美国成年人(包括 774 名拉丁裔登记选民)进行的一项新调查。

28 to Oct.

28日至10月

4, 2026.

2026 年 4 月。

This is part of a larger report on the attitudes and dynamics among Latino registered voters in the 2026 midterm elections.

这是关于 2026 年中期选举中拉丁裔登记选民的态度和动态的更大型报告的一部分。

Latino voters are more downbeat about national economic conditions than in September 2025.

Latino voters are more downbeat about national economic conditions than in September 2025.

Today, just 19% say economic conditions in the United States are excellent or good, down from 26% a year ago.

Today, just 19% say economic conditions in the United States are excellent or good, down from 26% a year ago.

Although both Latino voters who prefer Republican and Democratic candidates prioritize the economy, they differ in their assessment of current conditions:

尽管喜欢共和党和民主党候选人的拉丁裔选民都优先考虑经济,但他们对当前状况的评估不同:

And when asked how President Donald Trump’s policies have affected the economy, 74% of all Latino voters say they have made conditions worse, up from 61% in 2025.

当被问及唐纳德·特朗普总统的政策如何影响经济时,74% 的拉丁裔选民表示,这些政策让情况变得更糟,而 2025 年这一比例为 61%。

The price of gas and energy is now one of the top economic concerns among Latino voters ahead of the midterms.

The price of gas and energy is now one of the top economic concerns among Latino voters ahead of the midterms.

Eight-in-ten (80%) say they are very concerned about this, up from 48% in January.

十分之八 (80%) 的人表示他们对此非常担忧,高于 1 月份的 48%。

Large majorities of Latino voters also say they are concerned about the cost of:

Large majorities of Latino voters also say they are concerned about the cost of:

In addition, a majority of Latino voters now say they are very concerned about unemployment, with 59% saying this – up from 47% who said the same in September 2025 and 40% who said this in January 2024.

此外,大多数拉丁裔选民现在表示,他们非常担心失业问题,有 59% 的人这么说——高于 2025 年 9 月的 47% 和 2024 年 1 月的 40%。

Immigration-related arrests rose over the summer, reaching a new high for the current Trump administration .

今年夏天,与移民相关的逮捕人数有所增加,达到了现任特朗普政府的新高。

This follows large increases in immigration enforcement funding approved by Congress earlier in the summer and in 2025.

此前,国会于今年夏天早些时候和 2025 年批准了大幅增加移民执法资金。

Amid this escalation, most Latino voters are critical of the Trump administration’s approach to deportations.

Amid this escalation, most Latino voters are critical of the Trump administration’s approach to deportations.

About six-in-ten (62%) say the administration is doing too much when it comes to deporting immigrants who are living in the U.S. illegally.

大约十分之六(62%)的人表示,政府在驱逐非法居住在美国的移民方面做得太多。

Another 22% say the administration is doing about the right amount, and 14% say it’s doing too little.

Another 22% say the administration is doing about the right amount, and 14% say it’s doing too little.

Still, Latino voters who backed their Republican congressional candidate largely support the Trump administration’s approach to deportations:

Still, Latino voters who backed their Republican congressional candidate largely support the Trump administration’s approach to deportations:

By comparison, 86% of Latino Democratic voters say the Trump administration is doing too much when it comes to deportations.

相比之下,86% 的拉丁裔民主党选民表示,特朗普政府在驱逐出境方面做得太多。

中文为机器翻译,仅供参考。