Russ Roberts on Israel and Life as an Immigrant (Ep. 141 - BONUS)
Today is December 23, 2021.
今天是 2021 年 12 月 23 日。
Today’s episode of EconTalk is also being released as an episode of Conversations with Tyler.
今天的 EconTalk 节目也作为《与泰勒对话》的一集发布。
I am speaking with Tyler Cowen of George Mason, who blogs at Marginal Revolution, podcasts at Conversations with Tyler.
我正在与乔治梅森大学的泰勒·考恩交谈,他在《边际革命》上发表博客,在《与泰勒对话》上发表播客。
It’s his 14th appearance here on the program.
这是他第 14 次出现在该节目中。
He was last here in April of 2021 talking about the pandemic.
他上次来这里是在 2021 年 4 月,谈论疫情。
We’re going to do something a little unusual today.
今天我们要做一些不寻常的事情。
We’re going to talk about what it’s like to be an immigrant, using my move to Israel this year as a way to launch the conversation.
我们将讨论作为一名移民的感受,以我今年搬到以色列作为开始对话的方式。
As my listeners know, and to let listeners at Conversations with Tyler know, I came to Israel to be president of Shalem College, a small liberal arts college here in Jerusalem.
正如我的听众所知,也是为了让《与泰勒对话》的听众知道,我来到以色列担任沙勒姆学院的院长,这是耶路撒冷的一所小型文理学院。
Finally, I want to encourage EconTalk listeners to go to our homepage to vote on your favorite episodes of 2021.
最后,我想鼓励 EconTalk 听众前往我们的主页投票选出您最喜欢的 2021 年剧集。
Tyler, welcome back to EconTalk.
泰勒,欢迎回到 EconTalk。
Russ, thank you very much for having me.
拉斯,非常感谢你邀请我。
I’m so curious about your new ventures.
我对你的新事业很好奇。
Let me start with a general question.
让我从一个一般性问题开始。
In the mature economies, why aren’t there more new universities?
在成熟的经济体中,为什么没有更多的新大学呢?
Shalem is in its ninth year, and how is starting a new university in Israel different from in the United States?
Shalem 已进入第九个年头,在以色列创办一所新大学与在美国有何不同?
We have a very strange business model.
我们有一个非常奇怪的商业模式。
We lose money on every student, and we make it up by volume.
我们在每个学生身上都亏了钱,但我们通过数量来弥补。
We give all of our students a stipend that covers their tuition and a good chunk of their living expenses, and as a result — in America, if that were the case — we take no money from the government; it’s all private donations.
我们为所有学生提供津贴,涵盖他们的学费和很大一部分生活费用,因此——“在美国,如果是这样的话”——“我们不从政府拿钱;我们不会从政府那里拿钱。”都是私人捐款。
And we’re in competition, we like to think, for the best students here in Israel.
我们喜欢认为,我们正在竞争以色列最优秀的学生。
They often are on scholarships, so we have to match that.
他们经常获得奖学金,所以我们必须匹配。
That’s the business model.
这就是商业模式。
In America, if you don’t take money from the government, you usually get less regulation, in turn.
在美国,如果你不从政府那里拿钱,你通常会受到更少的监管。
That is not the case here.
这里的情况并非如此。
The Council for Higher Education is extremely vigilant in making sure that we keep all of our promises.
高等教育委员会非常警惕,确保我们信守所有承诺。
They’re very, very detail oriented.
他们非常非常注重细节。
Number of toilets, I think, is regulated here per student.
我认为这里对每个学生的厕所数量进行了规定。
You can imagine starting a new major — we’ve got to get their approval, we have to provide the syllabi of all the classes that would be taught in the major, we have to show the faculty that would be teaching in the major, and we have to get a variety of committees to sign off on it.
你可以想象开始一个新的专业——我们必须得到他们的批准,我们必须提供该专业中将教授的所有课程的教学大纲,我们必须向将在该专业中教授的教师展示,我们必须得到各种委员会的批准。
To create a whole college is a major enterprise that people who came before me did all that lifting, heavy and light.
创建一所完整的大学是一项重大事业,我之前的人们承担了所有的重担和轻担。
In America, the challenge, of course, is both accreditation and reputation.
在美国,挑战当然是认证和声誉。
You’re in competition with existing — like any new entry, you have to compete with the existing competitors.
你正在与现有的竞争者竞争——就像任何新进入的公司一样,你必须与现有的竞争对手竞争。
In the case of a college, brand name’s extremely important in America, obviously.
就大学而言,品牌显然在美国极其重要。
People have emotional ties to colleges.
人们与大学有着情感联系。
I think there are very, very few new colleges that are at the highest level.
我认为最高水平的新大学非常非常少。
As you know, of course, University of Austin is aspiring to be one of those startups in America, but it’s not an easy task.
当然,如您所知,奥斯汀大学渴望成为美国的初创企业之一,但这并不是一件容易的事。
It’s hard to do.
这很难做到。
Being a university president, it also has a managerial side.
作为大学校长,它也有管理的一面。
How are you feeling managerial culture as being different in Israel compared to the United States?
与美国相比,您认为以色列的管理文化有何不同?
I don’t have a lot of managerial experience.
我没有太多的管理经验。
They took a leap of faith on me there.
他们对我充满了信心。
It’s been a very .
这是一个非常。
.
。
.
。
You’ve managed your own career your entire life.
你一生都在经营自己的事业。
Oh, tremendous experience, and that meant managing a very difficult person, actually.
噢,丰富的经验,这实际上意味着要管理一个非常难相处的人。
It’s actually quite encouraging.
这实际上非常令人鼓舞。
In all seriousness, the job — I’ve grown in the six months I’ve been on the job and on the ground here.
说实话,这份工作 ——在我从事这份工作和在这里工作的六个月里,我成长了。
It’s been a wonderful experience, adventure.
这是一次美妙的经历、冒险。
We’ll talk about what it’s like to live here, but to flex a bunch of muscles that I haven’t used much, or that I didn’t know I had — it’s a very multifaceted job.
我们会谈论住在这里的感觉,但是要展示一些我不常使用的肌肉,或者我不知道自己有的肌肉——这是一项非常多方面的工作。
There’s managing people, there’s curriculum and faculty and student issues, there’s fundraising.
有人员管理,有课程、教师和学生问题,还有筹款。
It’s a fascinating .
这是一个令人着迷的。
.
。
.
。
Can you be more direct?
你能更直接一点吗?
When you’re managing in Israel, there’s a reputation that Israelis are super direct; they don’t mince words.
当你在以色列进行管理时,人们普遍认为以色列人非常直接。他们不拐弯抹角。
Is that true?
这是真的吗?
How does that influence how you manage people?
这对您管理人员的方式有何影响?
You just tell them what to do?
你只是告诉他们该怎么做?
Do they tell you what to do?
他们告诉你该怎么做吗?
How’s it different?
有什么不同?
A lot of my management team at the senior level speak English and are Americans.
我的许多高级管理团队都是美国人,会说英语。
Even though they’re Israelis now and they’re all citizens of Israel, as I am, they bring a lot of their American baggage with them, even though they’ve unpacked for sure.
尽管他们现在是以色列人,而且都是以色列公民,就像我一样,但他们还是带着很多美国的行李,尽管他们肯定已经卸下行李了。
In terms of the staff and the students, there is a directness.
对于教职员工和学生来说,有一种直接性。
With the students, it’s quite interesting.
对于学生来说,这很有趣。
They come here when they’re typically 23, 24 years old to start their college career, very different than in America.
他们通常在 23、24 岁时来到这里开始大学生涯,这与美国截然不同。
Despite having served in the army, they are remarkably young in a certain way.
尽管曾在军队服役,但他们在某种程度上还非常年轻。
They have an energy and an openness that’s very refreshing.
他们充满活力和开放性,令人耳目一新。
The bluntness part, I don’t sense so much on their end.
直言不讳的是,我对他们的态度并没有太多的感觉。
In terms of the staff, it’s not really an issue; at least I haven’t experienced it.
就员工而言,这并不是什么问题;至少我没有经历过。
What I think it causes, though, is a certain hesitation, on my part, for interaction.
但我认为这导致了我对互动的某种犹豫。
I’ve got the language barrier.
我有语言障碍。
For the native Israelis here, I try to speak Hebrew with them to amuse them, and they’re very kind.
对于这里的以色列本地人,我试着和他们说希伯来语来逗他们开心,他们非常友善。
And then we typically end up speaking in English, if it’s anything substantive outside of, “How was your weekend?” They are very blunt and straightforward.
然后我们通常会用英语交谈,如果除了“你周末过得怎么样?”之外有什么实质性的内容的话。他们非常直率和直接。
I like it.
我喜欢它。
I’ve gotten used to it.
我已经习惯了。
Now, you’re an Adam Smith scholar, and as you know, Smith, and many of the other classical economists, they were worried about the decline of martial virtue in a commercial society with division of labor.
现在,你是亚当·斯密学者,正如你所知,斯密和许多其他古典经济学家,他们担心在分工的商业社会中武德的衰落。
And now that you’ve lived in Israel, how does this worry seem to you?
既然您已经住在以色列,您对这种担忧有何看法?
More justified?
更合理吗?
Totally false?
完全是假的吗?
How do you view it?
你怎么看?
It’s a deep question.
这是一个很深奥的问题。
I appreciate the flattery of calling me a Smith scholar.
我很欣赏称我为史密斯学者的阿谀奉承。
I wrote a book on Smith, which, of course, makes me an expert, but I’m not really an expert.
我写了一本关于史密斯的书,这当然使我成为了专家,但我并不是真正的专家。
The martial side, the military side here, is utterly fascinating.
这里的军事方面,军事方面,是非常令人着迷的。
There’s a big conversation going around here about whether Israel should continue with the draft or go to a model close to the United States of a volunteer army.
关于以色列是否应该继续征兵,还是采用接近美国的志愿军模式,这里存在着一场大讨论。
It’s an enormous socializing experience here for the young people to go through that.
对于年轻人来说,这是一次巨大的社交体验。
It’s challenging, difficult, often physically difficult, and it permeates a lot of life here — in the way that there are certain networks of college, for example, in America or a private school system that you have a certain natural connection to the graduates.
它具有挑战性、困难性,通常在体力上也很困难,而且它渗透到这里的很多生活中——就像某些大学网络一样,例如在美国或私立学校系统中,你与毕业生有某种天然的联系。
Here in Israel, the unit you were in, the kind of unit you were in, the people that you were in that unit with, has a very powerful lifelong effect.
在以色列,你所在的单位、你所在的单位、与你同处的单位的人,都会对你的一生产生非常强大的影响。
It’s jarring often to an American who comes here.
对于来到这里的美国人来说,这常常是不舒服的。
There are a lot of people walking around with their Uzis, their automatic weapons.
有很多人拿着乌兹冲锋枪、自动武器走来走去。
First time you see that, it’s a little bit scary.
第一次看到这个,有点害怕。
Second time can be okay, you feel pretty — it’s comforting.
第二次就可以了,你感觉很漂亮——很舒服。
But it’s a part of life here, along with reserve duty and other — we have students here who miss the first three weeks of class because they had reserve duty, or they were on some project, and that’s intense.
但这是这里生活的一部分,还有预备役和其他——我们这里有学生因为有预备役或正在执行某个项目而错过了前三周的课程,这很紧张。
Just very alien to most Americans.
对于大多数美国人来说非常陌生。
Given the rising importance of cyber warfare, it seems, for Israel most of all, should Israel still have a draft?
鉴于网络战的重要性日益增加,对于以色列来说,似乎以色列还应该有草案吗?
Isn’t the future of Israeli security, drones, cyber defense, cyberattacks, other advanced weapons — it’s a tech story rather than a personnel story.
以色列安全、无人机、网络防御、网络攻击和其他先进武器的未来难道不是吗?——这是一个技术故事,而不是一个人员故事。
Yes, no?
是的,不是?
You’d think so.
你会这么认为。
That may be partly what’s driving having a conversation about our volunteer army.
这可能是人们谈论我们志愿军的部分原因。
Israel doesn’t have the personnel needs that it had for an army, that it would have had 20 years ago.
以色列现在没有 20 年前那样的军队人员需求。
There are a lot of units here where people in them can’t tell you what they’re in because they’re, I think, highly classified, highly involved in those kinds of cybersecurity issues.
这里有很多单位,里面的人无法告诉你他们在做什么,因为我认为他们是高度机密的,高度参与此类网络安全问题。
I think it’s a big issue for the world.
我认为这对世界来说是一个大问题。
It’s going to be an incredible thing to see how this changes warfare in general.
看到这如何改变整个战争将是一件令人难以置信的事情。
But it’s a key part of Israel’s arsenal, obviously.
但显然,它是以色列武器库的关键部分。
They’ve been very successful in using cyberattacks to slow down Iran’s nuclear program, for example, because that’s the received wisdom.
例如,他们在利用网络攻击减缓伊朗核计划方面非常成功,因为这是公认的智慧。
Will the Israeli military, plus conscription, still over time produce that sense of social solidarity if the military personnel themselves are not in the long run responsible for national security?
如果以色列军队本身从长远来看不负责国家安全,那么随着时间的推移,以色列军队加上征兵制还会产生这种社会团结感吗?
Won’t it become a Straussian façade and at some point fade away or be viewed cynically or not serve its original socially unifying function?
它会不会成为施特劳斯式的外观,并在某个时候消失或被冷嘲热讽,或不再发挥其最初的社会统一功能?
I think there’s a lot of cohesion here that we’re not seeing — it’s a very fractious political environment here, as you know — a lot of political parties, parliamentary system, no constitution, a lot of yelling in the Knesset, the Israeli parliament.
我认为这里有很多我们没有看到的凝聚力——正如你所知,这里的政治环境非常不稳定——有很多政党、议会制度、没有宪法、以色列议会里有很多叫喊声。
But despite all that, because of, I think, the external threat, there’s a lot of cohesion here, whether there’s an army or not.
但尽管如此,我认为,由于外部威胁,无论是否有军队,这里都有很大的凝聚力。
The other part of the army that I think is fascinating is the age of the people in leadership positions.
我认为军队中另一个令人着迷的部分是担任领导职位的人的年龄。
Very early in their career, there are people in their mid-20s, early 20s who have the lives of 100 or more people in their hands, in their units.
在他们职业生涯的早期,有些人20多岁、20岁出头,他们的单位里掌握着100人或更多人的生命。
And it creates a different mentality here.
它在这里创造了一种不同的心态。
I can’t say I’ve sensed it personally, but that’s my impression.
我不能说我个人有这种感觉,但这是我的印象。
I don’t know what will happen.
我不知道会发生什么。
It’s a fascinating question, what will happen to Israeli social life if the army becomes less central, but right now that’s not the case.
这是一个有趣的问题,如果军队变得不再那么重要,以色列的社会生活将会发生什么,但现在情况并非如此。
It’s very central.
这是非常中心的。
As you know better than I do, the Israeli media landscape is very different from the American media landscape, though they overlap.
正如你比我更了解的那样,以色列媒体格局与美国媒体格局有很大不同,尽管它们有重叠。
How has that changed your mind about podcasting?
这如何改变了您对播客的看法?
How do you view podcasting differently from Israel?
您对播客的看法与以色列有何不同?
It’s a lot of work podcasting from Israel.
这是来自以色列的大量工作播客。
The challenge of moving here is that a huge chunk of my life gets crammed into 3:00 p.m.
搬到这里的挑战是,我生活的大部分时间都挤在下午 3:00 左右。
to 7:00 p.m., because 3:00 p.m.
到晚上 7:00,因为下午 3:00
is the earliest you can expect somebody for a meeting or an interview in the United States, when it’s going to be 8:00 p.m.
是您在美国预计有人参加会议或面试的最早时间,时间为晚上 8:00。
on the East Coast.
在东海岸。
And certainly, on the West Coast it’s even a bigger difference.
当然,在西海岸,差异更大。
Starting around three o’clock, my day tends to get a little more crowded and intense.
从三点左右开始,我的一天往往会变得更加拥挤和紧张。
Just as a logistics matter, it’s challenging.
就像物流问题一样,它具有挑战性。
I don’t have a very good feel for the newspapers world here, but newspapers are much more important than they are in America.
我对这里的报纸世界没有很好的感觉,但报纸比在美国重要得多。
They haven’t died out.
他们还没有灭绝。
They’re not just online.
他们不仅仅在线。
It’s fun to walk around on an afternoon or morning in Jerusalem and see four or five different newspapers out for sale, even if I can’t read all of them — or most of them, and sometimes any of them — because my Hebrew is so embryonic and mediocre.
下午或早上在耶路撒冷闲逛,看到四五份不同的报纸在出售,这很有趣,即使我无法阅读所有这些报纸——或者大部分,有时甚至阅读其中任何一份——因为我的希伯来语还处于萌芽状态且平庸。
But they come with a flavor.
但它们带有一种味道。
I think that’s part of what you’re alluding to.
我认为这就是你所暗示的一部分。
They’re more like TV in America.
它们更像是美国的电视。
They have often an ideology and a certain perspective.
他们通常有自己的意识形态和特定的观点。
American newspapers, until recently I would say, pretended they were objective.
我想说,直到最近,美国报纸还假装自己是客观的。
I think there’s less of pretense lately.
我觉得最近假装越来越少了。
But how podcasting fits into that, I don’t know.
但我不知道播客如何融入其中。
I listen to some Hebrew language podcasts, and my Hebrew is not good enough to listen to the other ones.
我听一些希伯来语播客,但我的希伯来语不够好,无法听其他播客。
I should maybe be trying, but podcasting .
我也许应该尝试一下,但是播客。
.
。
.
。
You’ve remarked to me in the past that in Israel baseball seems less important to you.
你过去曾对我说过,在以色列,棒球对你来说似乎不那么重要。
Does podcasting seem more or less important there?
播客在那里显得更重要还是更不重要?
That’s interesting.
那很有意思。
Sports does seem less important, partly because the games are on often at 3:10 in the morning here, which reduces my — and I’m not a recorder person.
体育运动似乎确实不那么重要,部分原因是这里的比赛经常在凌晨 3:10 开始,这减少了我的 ——而且我不是一个记录者。
I don’t have time to watch them at my leisure so much anymore.
我已经没有那么多闲暇时间看他们了。
EconTalk doesn’t seem less important, but I am surprised at how much I enjoy the challenge of improving the classroom here.
EconTalk 似乎并不那么重要,但令我惊讶的是,我如此享受改善这里课堂的挑战。
We have an amazing set of teachers here.
我们这里有一群很棒的老师。
I want them to be better.
我希望他们变得更好。
We’re trying to make the evaluation process a little more sophisticated and less a customer service, “On a scale of one to five, how’d you like your professor?”
我们试图让评估过程变得更加复杂,而不是客户服务,“从一到五,你觉得你的教授怎么样?”
We’re trying to enculturate our faculty to certain styles of teaching and expose them to certain ideas.
我们正在努力让我们的教师适应某些教学风格,并向他们展示某些想法。
I’m enjoying that much more than I thought I would, and I’m much more passionate about it.
我比我想象的更享受这一点,而且我对此更有热情。
I’m a little bit dangerous, Tyler.
我有点危险,泰勒。
I’m what’s called in Hebrew a new oleh, one who’s come upward, who’s come up to the land, the land of Israel.
我是希伯来语中所谓的新奥莱(new oleh),一个向上的人,一个来到以色列土地的人。
I find my passion for things Israeli and my national identity way out of line with what I thought it would be as a person who’s — I’ve been here many times.
我发现我对以色列事物的热情和我的民族身份与我所想象的“我来过这里很多次”的人格格不入。
I’ve been here a dozen or so times to visit.
我已经来过这里十几次了。
I lived here as a teenager for eight months when I was in high school with my family.
当我十几岁的时候,我和家人一起在这里住了八个月。
My dad’s company sent him here.
我父亲的公司派他来这里。
I thought I knew what it would be like to live here.
我以为我知道住在这里会是什么样子。
I knew it wouldn’t be the same as being a tourist, but I’ve been surprised at how much national pride I have, how I’m not quite as interested in what’s going on in America.
我知道这和作为一名游客不一样,但我很惊讶我有如此多的民族自豪感,我对美国发生的事情不太感兴趣。
I thought I’d stay connected — either sports, politics, which is just a different form of sports sometimes.
我想我会保持联系——无论是体育还是政治,有时这只是体育的一种不同形式。
It’s very different.
这是非常不同的。
And I think you read stories of immigrants who come to America and who are very emotional when they pass their citizenship tests.
我想你读过一些来到美国的移民的故事,他们在通过公民考试时非常情绪化。
I feel the same thing here, and it’s been a pleasant surprise.
我在这里也有同样的感觉,这真是一个惊喜。
What in the Torah now feels different when you read it living as an Israeli?
当你作为以色列人生活中阅读《托拉》时,现在感觉有什么不同?
In the Torah?
在《托拉》中?
Or the Hebrew Bible more broadly.
或者更广泛地说是希伯来圣经。
No, no, no. I’m not sure I heard you correctly.
不,不,不。我不确定我没听错。
It’s interesting sitting in a synagogue here on Saturday morning, which I used to do in America.
周六早上坐在犹太教堂里很有趣,我以前在美国经常这样做。
The biggest difference isn’t the Torah reading, it’s a blessing for the state of Israel, which gets recited every Saturday morning.
最大的区别不是托拉的阅读,而是对以色列国的祝福,每周六早上都会被背诵。
In a Jewish synagogue in America there’s also a prayer for the soldiers of the IDF, the Israel Defense Force.
在美国的一座犹太教堂里,还有为以色列国防军士兵祈祷的活动。
It’s much more visceral here.
这里更加发自内心。
People pay attention.
人们注意了。
You feel like you’re actually saying something that matters and that means something.
你感觉自己实际上在说一些重要且有意义的事情。
As for the Torah, I think the biggest thing that I felt actually wasn’t in services or reading the Bible; it’s exploring different parts of the country I hadn’t ever been to before.
至于托拉,我认为我感受到的最重要的事情实际上不是在服务或阅读圣经中;而是在其中。它正在探索我以前从未去过的国家的不同地区。
When we first got here early on, we went up north to the Golan Heights, which Israel didn’t have access to until the 1967 war — it’s still controversial in some quarters, of course.
当我们早些时候第一次到达这里时,我们向北前往戈兰高地,以色列直到 1967 年战争才进入戈兰高地——当然,这在某些方面仍然存在争议。
It’s really a stunningly beautiful part of the country, and you can walk a town called Gamala.
这确实是这个国家一个非常美丽的地方,你可以在一个叫加马拉的小镇上散步。
Gamala was a Jewish town in Roman times that the Romans destroyed, a little bit like Masada.
加马拉是罗马时代的一座犹太城镇,被罗马人摧毁,有点像马萨达。
They’ve uncovered the mosaic floor of a synagogue.
他们发现了一座犹太教堂的马赛克地板。
There’s some houses; the floors and rooms and house walls of partial houses are still visible, and it’s a very wild part of the country.
有一些房子;部分房屋的地板、房间和墙壁仍然清晰可见,这是这个国家非常荒凉的地方。
There’s big ravines and outcrops, and then in the distance you can see the sea of Galilee, the Kinneret in Hebrew.
这里有大峡谷和露头,远处可以看到加利利海,希伯来语中的基内雷特。
It just felt different that there’s a Jewish presence in that outpost in the middle of nowhere that’s 2,000 years old.
只是感觉很不一样,在这个有着 2000 年历史的荒无人烟的前哨基地里有犹太人的存在。
I feel part of something that — obviously, intellectually, I felt it before I moved here.
我感觉到自己是某种东西的一部分——显然,从理智上来说,我在搬到这里之前就感觉到了。
But moving here and feeling that and being there and standing on that — having that town to ourselves, my wife and I, we hiked to the top.
但搬到这里,感受到这一点,在那里,站在那儿——我和我的妻子拥有那个小镇,我们徒步到达了山顶。
It’s a little tiny space, hard to believe that a few thousands of people live there, but it’s a crazy, crazy archeological experience to be part of that, and other things like it.
这是一个很小的空间,很难相信有几千人住在那里,但参与其中以及其他类似的事情是一次疯狂的考古体验。
That’s what to me is more special.
这对我来说更特别。
The holiest part of Israel, most people would say, would be the Temple Mount — a Jew would say is the Temple Mount and the Kotel — the wall, the supporting wall of the Temple Mount that the Jews pray at every day now.
大多数人会说,以色列最神圣的部分是圣殿山——犹太人会说是圣殿山和科泰尔——墙,是犹太人现在每天祈祷的圣殿山的支撑墙。
We have access to it since 1967.
自 1967 年以来我们就可以访问它。
Jews have been praying there for thousands of years.
数千年来,犹太人一直在那里祈祷。
It’s very moving to be there.
来到那里真是令人感动。
I’m about an 18- or 20-minute walk from there, and I’ve been there once since I’ve been here.
我距离那里大约步行 18 或 20 分钟,自从我来过这里以来,我已经去过那里一次了。
In the past, I’d come here every trip.
以前,我每次出差都会来这里。
I had to make sure I got to the Kotel and the old city, and I’m surprised how little I’ve been there.
我必须确保到达科泰尔和老城区,但令我惊讶的是我很少去那里。
The workaday, suburban — not suburban — urban streets of Jerusalem feel special in a way that doesn’t require that past hovering over it.
耶路撒冷的日常郊区 ——不是郊区—— 城市街道感觉很特别,不需要过去的阴影笼罩在上面。
It’s just nice to be here.
很高兴来到这里。
Now, there’s a great books emphasis at Shalem, if I understand correctly.
现在,如果我没理解错的话,沙勒姆有一本很棒的书。
If you had a bit more time than you probably have and wanted to choose one or two great books — Hebrew Bible aside, of course — to make sense of your time and experience in Israel, what would you pick and why?
如果你有比你可能拥有的更多的时间,并且想要选择一两本好书 ——当然,除了希伯来圣经之外—— 来理解你在以色列的时间和经历,你会选择什么,为什么?
It’s crazy.
太疯狂了。
We’re a great books curriculum, sort of, but there’s so many things we try to cover because we also have not just Western civilization, but Jewish thought and also other civilizations — our neighborhood, Middle East neighborhoods.
某种程度上,我们是一门很棒的书籍课程,但我们试图涵盖很多东西,因为我们不仅有西方文明,还有犹太思想和其他文明——我们的邻居、中东社区。
Our students read the Jewish Bible, they read the Talmud, they read the Quran, they read the New Testament.
我们的学生阅读犹太圣经,他们阅读塔木德,他们阅读古兰经,他们阅读新约。
And we have a course on Indian culture, civilization, and religion as well.
我们还有一门关于印度文化、文明和宗教的课程。
It gets a little crowded.
它变得有点拥挤。
It gets crowded.
它变得拥挤。
You’re asking me, though, what book I would want to read?
不过,你问我想读什么书?
What book to make sense of your own experience in Israel, which great book?
哪本书可以让您了解自己在以色列的经历,哪本好书?
I’m a sucker, I think I’d pick The Odyssey.
我是个傻瓜,我想我会选择《奥德赛》。
It’s about travel adventures, a sense of home, a very reliable wife who’s come with me for this adventure.
这是关于旅行冒险、家的感觉、和我一起参加这次冒险的非常可靠的妻子。
And I’ve been writing about it recently for my next book — Penelope’s decision and dealing with the absence of her husband, but the idea of that book, which I think is just one of my favorite books, The Odyssey, is the idea that home pulls you.
我最近一直在为我的下一本书《佩内洛普的决定以及处理她丈夫缺席的情况》写到这一点,但这本书的想法,我认为这只是我最喜欢的书之一,《奥德赛》,是回家把你拉着的想法。
Now I have two homes.
现在我有两个家。
It’s a little bit weird.
这有点奇怪。
I was born in Memphis, Tennessee.
我出生在田纳西州孟菲斯。
I’ve never lived long anywhere in the United States.
我从来没有在美国的任何地方住过很长时间。
Maryland’s the longest.
马里兰州是最长的。
My time in America, when I was teaching at George Mason and later working at the Hoover Institution — which I’m still affiliated with, by the way — 18 years of my 67 were spent in suburban Washington, DC, which is roughly a quarter and certainly more than a quarter of my adult life.
我在美国的时光,当时我在乔治·梅森教书,后来在胡佛研究所工作——顺便说一句,我仍然隶属于该研究所——我 67 岁的人生中有 18 年是在华盛顿特区郊区度过的,这大约是我成年生活的四分之一,当然超过四分之一。
There’s a certain home there.
那里有一个特定的家。
I have certain friends there, and now, all of a sudden, this feels like home.
我在那里有一些朋友,现在,突然间,这里就像家一样。
I don’t know what Odysseus — he must have had a lot of ups and downs when he was thinking about whether to come home or not, but he came home.
我不知道奥德修斯在考虑要不要回家的时候一定经历了很多坎坷,但他还是回家了。
I think that helps me a little bit.
我认为这对我有一点帮助。
I love that book.
我喜欢那本书。
Now, the United States has about 330 million people, yet there are more Israeli TV shows I want to watch than American TV shows.
现在,美国大约有3.3亿人口,但我想看的以色列电视节目比美国电视节目还多。
There’s Srugim, there’s Shtisel, there’s Prisoners of War, there’s In Judgment, there’s Tehran.
有《Srugim》、《Shtisel》、《战俘》、《审判》、《德黑兰》。
There’s more.
还有更多。
Why is Israeli TV so good?
为什么以色列电视这么好?
I’m glad you mentioned Prisoners of War, which doesn’t get enough — Prisoners of War is in my top five.
我很高兴你提到了《战俘》,但这还不够 —— 《战俘》是我的前五名。
If I had to list my top five, I’d pick Shtisel, Prisoners of War, The Americans, probably The Wire, and The Crown.
如果我必须列出前五名,我会选择《Shtisel》、《战俘》、《美国谍梦》,可能还有《火线》和《王冠》。
Do you have a top five that you could reel off?
您有可以一口气说出的前五名吗?
The Sopranos would be my number one.
黑道家族将是我的第一。
Srugim and Prisoners of War plausibly would be in my top five.
《斯鲁吉姆》和《战俘》很可能会进入我的前五名。
Prisoners of War, by the way, is very much about your .
顺便说一句,《战俘》非常关乎你的。
.
。
.
。
Curb Your Enthusiasm, that’s another top five too.
抑制你的热情,这也是另一个前五名。
It’s a different thing.
这是另一回事。
It’s very different thing.
这是非常不同的事情。
What I love about those other ones, when they’re doing well, is there’s a form of long-form storytelling that’s simply not available to us until now.
我喜欢其他人的一点,当他们做得很好时,他们有一种长篇故事讲述的形式,而这是我们迄今为止无法实现的。
The closest thing I guess you could have had to it in the past would be a Dickens novel that came out every week.
我想你过去可能遇到的最接近的就是每周出版的狄更斯小说。
And you couldn’t binge-read it; you had to wait for the next installment.
而且你无法一口气读完它;你必须等待下一部分。
I’m sure there’s been many PhD theses written about how the impact of that weekly thing affected Dickens’s style and so on.
我确信已经有很多博士论文讨论了每周事件如何影响狄更斯的风格等等。
It’s an interesting question.
这是一个有趣的问题。
I have an answer, but I want to hear your answer first.
我有一个答案,但我想先听听你的答案。
What’s your answer?
你的答案是什么?
I think the audience is more demanding and has evolved into an equilibrium where it expects something more intellectually substantive from television, and precisely because it’s not economically so viable.
我认为观众的要求更高,并且已经发展到一种平衡状态,他们期望从电视中获得更具智力实质的东西,而正是因为它在经济上不那么可行。
The notion that at the margin you get a much bigger audience by pandering to more people just doesn’t go that far in Israel.
通过迎合更多人来获得更多观众的想法在以色列并没有走得太远。
Now, this may change as Israeli shows themselves become more popular, so I worry about this.
现在,随着以色列节目本身变得越来越受欢迎,这种情况可能会发生变化,所以我对此感到担心。
That would be my offhand answer: smarter, more demanding audience, plus limited incentives to sell out.
我的即兴回答是:更聪明、要求更高的观众,加上有限的售罄激励。
That’s certainly interesting.
这当然很有趣。
There’s some really bad Israeli TV shows that I’ve enjoyed, that take weird and strange turns.
我很喜欢一些非常糟糕的以色列电视节目,它们的结局很奇怪。
I’ll mention The Good Cop or Hashoter Hatov — which is often in really bad taste and quite, quite amusing — that all of a sudden gets really serious in season two or three.
我会提到《好警察》或《哈肖特·哈托夫》(Hashoter Hatov)——《这部电影通常品味非常差,而且非常非常有趣》——在第二季或第三季突然变得非常严肃。
It starts off as a silly comedy.
它以一部愚蠢的喜剧开始。
Similarly, The Beauty and the Baker, which is this cheesy — there’s an American version of it too, but in the Israeli version, this baker, he somehow gets tangled up with this movie star, this model.
同样,《美女与面包》,这太俗气了——也有美国版本,但在以色列版本中,这个面包师不知何故与这个电影明星、这个模特纠缠在一起。
She’s a model, I guess, not a movie star.
我想她是一名模特,而不是电影明星。
It’s cheap fun, and all of a sudden it gets really serious.
这很廉价的乐趣,突然间变得非常严肃。
Their families get involved, and it takes these strange and inexplicable turns.
他们的家人也参与其中,事情发生了这些奇怪而令人费解的转折。
I’m sure it’s partly driven by the economics of the business.
我确信这部分是由企业的经济状况驱动的。
I think there’s another thing to think about, which is Jews created Hollywood.
我认为还有一件事需要考虑,那就是犹太人创造了好莱坞。
Jews have been making good movies for a long time.
犹太人长期以来一直在制作优秀的电影。
We’re called the “people of the book.” We’re interested in storytelling — just a standard thing Jews have been doing for a long time.
我们被称为“书中的人”。我们对讲故事感兴趣——这只是犹太人长期以来一直在做的标准事情。
Now, why Israelis, per se, are so good at it is an interesting question.
现在,为什么以色列人本身如此擅长这是一个有趣的问题。
It’s obviously a function of wealth and the ability now to market those stories to a much wider audience.
这显然是财富和现在向更广泛的受众推销这些故事的能力的函数。
I think your point about how subtitles and Netflix allowed that to reach a much wider audience than was available before — it’s really a puzzle.
我认为你关于字幕和 Netflix 如何让其接触到比以前更广泛的观众的观点 ——这确实是一个谜题。
They’re not particularly designed, I don’t think, anymore for the Israeli market.
我认为它们不再是专门为以色列市场设计的。
The real puzzle to me is why they’re popular, not why they’re so good.
对我来说真正的困惑是它们为什么受欢迎,而不是它们为什么这么好。
Why do people want to watch Shtisel, which is — not much happens in Shtisel and it’s a look .
为什么人们想看《Shtisel》,这是 — 《Shtisel》中没有发生太多事情,只是一个外观。
.
。
.
。
There’s actual romantic tension; that’s the thing with Shtisel and Srugim.
有真正的浪漫张力; Shtisel 和 Srugim 就是这样。
In American shows or even European shows, why don’t they just divorce, or why don’t they just go to bed together, or why don’t they just whatever?
在美国节目甚至欧洲节目中,他们为什么不离婚,或者为什么不一起上床,或者为什么不干脆什么的?
But in Srugim and Shtisel it’s always a question what the boundaries are, and that’s hard to recreate.
但在 Srugim 和 Shtisel 中,边界是什么始终是一个问题,而且很难重现。
One of my favorite scenes in Shtisel is when Akiva and Bashevis — she pretends, or is actually interested in renting a heater from him, a portable radiator, and he’s just started this business.
《Shtisel》中我最喜欢的场景之一是当 Akiva 和 Bashevis 时——她假装或实际上有兴趣从他那里租一个加热器,一个便携式散热器,而他刚刚开始这项业务。
He’s put up a sign around town.
他在城镇周围竖起了一个标志。
It’s very entrepreneurial for him.
这对他来说非常有创业精神。
He doesn’t have much to do with himself other than art.
除了艺术之外,他与自己没有太多关系。
She shows up at the doorway, and it lasts about 30 seconds.
她出现在门口,持续了大约30秒。
There’s incredible tension in that scene, romantic and sexual tension, and it’s because they’re not going to do anything and they’re good actors, and so it’s a very powerful scene.
那个场景中有令人难以置信的张力,浪漫和性的张力,这是因为他们不会做任何事情,而且他们是好演员,所以这是一个非常强大的场景。
I’ve also argued, I think part of the appeal of that show — there’s an anthropological voyeurism.
我还认为,我认为该节目的部分吸引力在于——存在人类学的窥淫癖。
Here’s a culture and a community that’s very alien to most people, including modern Orthodox Jews.
这里的文化和社区对大多数人来说都是非常陌生的,包括现代东正教犹太人。
It’s a very different form of religious Judaism, the ultra-Orthodox that they’re portraying in that show.
这是一种非常不同形式的宗教犹太教,他们在该剧中描绘的极端正统派。
Part of the charm of the show is that they have the same problems we do.
该节目的部分魅力在于他们面临着与我们相同的问题。
They have trouble with their kids.
他们和孩子之间有麻烦。
They’re not sure whether they’re going to make a living.
他们不确定自己是否能谋生。
That’s part of the charm.
这就是魅力的一部分。
I think the other part of the charm is what you’re talking about.
我认为魅力的另一部分就是你所说的。
There’s a certain old-fashionedness there that people may not want to live that way themselves, but they like watching it, the way they like reading a Jane Austen novel, where the mores of romance are long gone in the past.
那里有一种过时的感觉,人们可能不想自己过那样的生活,但他们喜欢看它,就像他们喜欢读简·奥斯汀小说一样,那里的浪漫习俗早已成为过去。
And there’s a certain innocence, I think, to the characters in Shtisel, which makes it so deeply appealing.
我认为《Shtisel》中的角色有一定的纯真,这使得它如此具有吸引力。
The only other observation I want to make, which I think is so fascinating to me, is it’s a show about ultra-religious, ultra-Orthodox Jews — there’s almost no Judaism in the show.
我唯一想做的另一个观察,我认为这对我来说非常着迷,是这是一个关于极端宗教、极端正统犹太人的节目 ——节目中几乎没有犹太教。
They murmur and mutter blessings under their breath, but there’s no glorification of, say, the religious experience of the Shabbat, and they don’t make fun of it either.
他们低声嘀咕着祝福,但没有赞美安息日的宗教经历,也没有取笑它。
There’s no mocking of it or of the attitudes; they’re just taken as they are.
没有任何嘲笑它或态度的东西;他们只是被当作他们本来的样子。
I think that was a genius move by the creators to make that show the way it is.
我认为这是创作者们的天才之举,让节目呈现出原来的样子。
Which Israeli norm is hardest for you to deal with?
哪种以色列规范对您来说最难应对?
Negotiation is challenging.
谈判充满挑战。
I think it’s particularly hard for my wife, who likes set prices.
我认为这对我喜欢固定价格的妻子来说尤其困难。
A lot of prices here are just suggestions.
这里很多价格只是建议。
They’re an invitation to negotiate.
它们是谈判的邀请。
There are a few settings in America where that’s normal — you buy a house or car, you don’t expect to pay list price.
在美国的一些环境中,这是很正常的——你买房子或汽车,你不希望支付标价。
But you do expect to pay list price for, say, a haircut or, I don’t know, a repair or something.
但你确实希望支付标价,比如理发,或者,我不知道,修理什么的。
A lot of times the price they announce is just a hint or suggestion, and it’s very hard for Americans to respond to that.
很多时候他们公布的价格只是一种暗示或建议,美国人很难对此做出回应。
If you come here and you get off the plane and you get in a cab — this happens in America.
如果你来到这里,下飞机然后坐上出租车——这在美国就会发生。
Prices in America in a cab off the meter are often negotiated.
在美国,计价器外的出租车价格通常是协商的。
The cab driver will say something and, “How about if we don’t use the meter?
出租车司机会说:“我们不打表怎么样?
How about a flat rate?” In America, you know what it’s going to be because you’ve been in cabs in America.
统一费率怎么样?”在美国,你知道会发生什么,因为你在美国坐过出租车。
As a newcomer, you don’t always know how far it’s going to be, what the real fare should be, and so you’re vulnerable.
作为一个新人,你并不总是知道要走多远,真正的票价应该是多少,所以你很容易受到伤害。
A lot of Americans I know get angry when the cab driver says, “Let’s take it off the meter and pay cash.” They say, “No, put it on the meter.”
我认识的很多美国人在出租车司机说“我们把车从计价表上拿下来并支付现金吧”时都会生气。他们说:“不,把它记在计价器上。”
A friend of mine was telling me he got yelled at by the cab driver.
我的一个朋友告诉我他被出租车司机吼了。
Like, “I don’t want to put it on the meter.” He was thinking, “That’s the job.
就像,“我不想把它记在计价器上。”他心里想:“这就是工作。
That’s the rule.
这就是规则。
Come on, put it on the meter.” I think that the anger of the cab driver was really just, “Hey, we’re negotiating here.
来吧,把它放在计价器上。”我认为出租车司机的愤怒实际上只是,“嘿,我们正在这里谈判。
We’re having fun.
我们玩得很开心。
Here’s the game.
这是游戏。
It’s not theater, but it is a game.” And there is some theater involved because you don’t know how the drama’s going to end.
这不是戏剧,而是一场游戏。”并且涉及一些戏剧,因为你不知道戏剧将如何结束。
I think here, it’s a little bit of the fabric of daily life, and that’s a little strange.
我认为这是日常生活的一部分,这有点奇怪。
It takes some getting used to.
这需要一些时间来适应。
I think when I rented our apartment here, I think it was an eight- or ten-page lease, had to hire a lawyer.
我想当我在这里租公寓时,我认为这是一份八页或十页的租约,必须聘请律师。
Never had a lawyer for a lease.
从未有过租赁律师。
I’ve rented a dozen places, 20 places in America.
我在美国租了十几个地方,二十个地方。
That was strange.
这很奇怪。
What I had to do to sign the lease, things I had to do to get the lease done, insurance I bought, weird stuff that just doesn’t happen in America, and it’s all in Hebrew.
我必须做什么才能签署租约,我必须做什么才能完成租约,我购买的保险,在美国不会发生的奇怪事情,而这一切都是希伯来语。
That part’s challenging.
这部分很有挑战性。
Anything else?
还要别的吗?
Those are the ones that come to mind.
我想到的就是这些。
An Israeli friend of mine suggested I ask you the following question: “Are you tired of being a freier?”
我的一位以色列朋友建议我问你以下问题:“你厌倦了当自由人吗?”
Freier is the slang phrase, I think it’s Yiddish.
Freier 是俚语,我认为是意第绪语。
There’s a few Yiddish words that get peppered into Israeli daily speech.
以色列人的日常讲话中经常出现一些意第绪语单词。
Not much, not like you’d think.
不多,不像你想象的那样。
Because of course, the early days of Israel was very much a revolt against the Eastern European mentality.
当然,因为以色列的早期在很大程度上是对东欧心态的反抗。
Hebrew was going to be spoken here and not Yiddish, and Jews here were going to be strong and proud, not hunched over a book.
这里将讲希伯来语,而不是意第绪语,这里的犹太人将变得坚强而自豪,而不是弯腰驼背在一本书上。
And they were going to fight in the army.
他们要去军队里打仗。
There’s a certain huge pride, actually, in that here.
事实上,这里有一种巨大的自豪感。
As a result, the best langue is Arabic.
因此,最好的语言是阿拉伯语。
There’s an enormous number of Arabic words that are used daily.
每天使用的阿拉伯语单词数量巨大。
I like to tease my Israeli friends that there’s no Hebrew word for “fun.” When you tell them that, they say, “There’s kef.” It’s an Arabic word.
我喜欢取笑我的以色列朋友,希伯来语中没有“乐趣”这个词。当你告诉他们这一点时,他们会说:“有 kef。”这是一个阿拉伯词。
It’s a cheap shot at the seriousness of life here, and that’s not true.
这是对这里生活严肃性的廉价攻击,但事实并非如此。
There’s a lot of vibrancy and people here have a lot of fun, but there’s no native Hebrew word for fun.
这里充满活力,人们玩得很开心,但希伯来语中没有“乐趣”这个词。
I blame it on Ben Yehuda.
我把这归咎于本·耶胡达。
The word freier is a very, very interesting word, and it’s an interesting aspect of human nature, because it means a sucker.
freier这个词是一个非常非常有趣的词,它是人性的一个有趣的方面,因为它意味着傻瓜。
Some Americans here will talk about the freier tax, the amount of money extra you pay because you just don’t know what you’re doing here.
这里的一些美国人会谈论更自由的税收,即你因为不知道自己在这里做什么而额外支付的金额。
You’re just lost; you don’t know the norms.
你只是迷路了;你不知道规范。
I try not to worry about being a freier.
我尽量不去担心成为一名自由人。
I view it as a form of charity.
我将其视为一种慈善形式。
I have a comfortable life.
我过着舒适的生活。
I can pay a little bit extra, it’s not a problem, I’m happy to do it.
我可以多付一点钱,这不是问题,我很乐意这样做。
But people worry about it, I think, emotionally.
但我认为,人们在情感上对此感到担忧。
I think it’s an important part of human nature that economics doesn’t have much to say about.
我认为这是人性的重要组成部分,经济学对此没有太多可说的。
The fear that you’re being taken advantage of drives a lot of bad behavior on both sides of various transactions if you don’t have a good level of trust.
如果您没有良好的信任度,担心自己被利用会导致各种交易双方出现许多不良行为。
As you well know, a significant portion of the population of Israel is Arabic in descent.
众所周知,以色列人口中有很大一部分是阿拉伯人后裔。
What do you think you’re learning about those Arabic cultures, living in Israel?
您认为生活在以色列的阿拉伯文化让您学到了什么?
Not as much as I’d like to yet.
还没有我想要的那么多。
I’ve only been here six months.
我来这里才六个月。
There’s a lot of — it partly depends on where you live, of course, but in the parts of Jerusalem that I live in and walk in near our campus here, there’s a lot of Arab Israelis.
有很多——当然,这在一定程度上取决于你住在哪里,但在我居住和步行到我们校园附近的耶路撒冷部分地区,有很多阿拉伯以色列人。
Most people don’t know this — I don’t know it well, so I may embarrass myself — but people who are born within the borders of the Jewish state right now, in the borders of Israel, who are not Jewish — Arab Israelis — are full citizens.
大多数人不知道这一点——“我不太了解,所以我可能会让自己感到尴尬”——但是现在出生在犹太国家境内、以色列境内的人,如果不是犹太人,“阿拉伯以色列人”,就是正式公民。
They get full healthcare, they get to go subsidized to the universities, they vote.
他们得到全面的医疗保健,他们得到大学补贴,他们投票。
They don’t serve in the army, which is fascinating.
他们不在军队服役,这很有趣。
They don’t want to serve in the army, incidentally, which I also understand.
顺便说一句,他们不想参军,这一点我也能理解。
It’s complicated for them.
这对他们来说很复杂。
And those are distinct from the West Bank of Gaza, who are Palestinians.
这些人与加沙西岸的巴勒斯坦人不同。
Then there’s some special categories of folks who live in East Jerusalem, which is a disputed, more challenging — and I don’t know all the ins and outs of that.
还有一些特殊类别的人居住在东耶路撒冷,这是一个有争议的、更具挑战性的地方——我不知道其中的所有来龙去脉。
But my wife is going to ulpan — ulpan is Hebrew lessons.
但我妻子要去 ulpan ——ulpan 是希伯来语课程。
She goes to ulpan three hours a day, four days a week.
她每周去乌尔潘三小时,每周四天。
Twenty-two of her 23, I think, or 21 of her 23 classmates are Arab Israelis who think their Hebrew is not good — they all speak Hebrew.
我认为她的 23 个同学中有 22 个,或者说她的 23 个同学中有 21 个是阿拉伯以色列人,他们认为自己的希伯来语不好——他们都说希伯来语。
They speak very good English, but their Hebrew is not good enough, so they’re improving their Hebrew because they want to go to a good university, they want to get a good education, they want to be in business.
他们的英语说得很好,但希伯来语还不够好,所以他们正在提高希伯来语,因为他们想上一所好的大学,他们想接受良好的教育,他们想从商。
And they’re all young, by the way; they’re all in their 20s.
顺便说一句,他们都很年轻;他们都20多岁了。
I don’t have much exposure to the Arab Israeli population yet.
我对阿拉伯以色列人口还没有太多了解。
It’s something to find out about.
这是值得了解的事情。
You’re both non-Muslims.
你们都是非穆斯林。
What is it you think we can or should learn from the Quran?
您认为我们可以或应该从《古兰经》中学到什么?
I don’t know the Quran.
我不懂《古兰经》。
I love the religious Muslims I’ve met face to face, as opposed to the ones that are called the cultural zeitgeist of Islam that’s in the air in the West.
我喜欢我面对面见到的宗教穆斯林,而不是那些在西方空气中被称为伊斯兰教文化时代精神的穆斯林。
But the actual Muslims that I’ve met face to face, I have a lot in common with them.
但我面对面见到的真正的穆斯林,我和他们有很多共同点。
We believe in God.
我们相信上帝。
I think they have a very deep, deep faith, which some Jews have, but not all.
我认为他们有非常深厚的信仰,一些犹太人有,但不是全部。
Even religious Jews struggle with faith in a way that many Muslims — and Christians, for that matter — don’t struggle with.
即使是虔诚的犹太人也会与信仰作斗争,而许多穆斯林(就此而言,还有基督徒)也不会与信仰作斗争。
I think there’s something to learn there.
我认为那里有一些值得学习的东西。
I think it’s possible I’m naïve.
我想我可能很天真。
I like to think there’s a way that the great religions of the world would get along a little bit better, the followers of those religions.
我认为有一种方法可以让世界上伟大的宗教与这些宗教的追随者相处得更好一些。
On the ground, face to face, I think we get along pretty well, but it’s not going so well overall in the outside world, so there’s work to do.
在实地,面对面,我认为我们相处得很好,但外界整体情况不太好,所以还有很多工作要做。
As an economist I like to think that commercial interaction helps.
作为一名经济学家,我认为商业互动会有所帮助。
Do you think that helps?
你认为这有帮助吗?
Do you think it’s trade — what do you think of this view that trade leads to peace?
您认为这是贸易吗 ——您如何看待贸易带来和平的观点?
I think it’s been overrated by many of us.
我认为我们很多人都高估了它。
At many margins, clearly it’s true.
从很多方面来看,这显然是正确的。
Trade also helps you build up weaponry.
贸易还可以帮助你建立武器。
Trade can solidify groups within a nation.
贸易可以巩固一个国家内的群体。
An overrated proposition though, on average, true.
不过,平均而言,这是一个被高估的命题。
That’s how I would classify it.
这就是我对它的分类方式。
I like that.
我喜欢这样。
I’m going to use that.
我要用它。
Thank you.
谢谢。
I’ll cite you too.
我也会引用你。
It’s good.
很好。
Late 19th-century Europe had plenty of trade.
19 世纪末的欧洲有大量的贸易。
The world was remarkably globalized.
世界已显着全球化。
And you get World War I, you get World War II.
你会经历第一次世界大战,也会经历第二次世界大战。
I’m not saying the trade caused that, but you can see it’s what you might call a complicated regression.
我并不是说交易造成了这种情况,但你可以看到这就是所谓的复杂回归。
Yes, I agree.
是的,我同意。
I agree.
我同意。
Here’s another religious question.
这是另一个宗教问题。
The Knesset recently, as you know, they voted to loosen up kosher certification regulations and take away power from a group of rabbis.
如您所知,以色列议会最近投票决定放宽犹太洁食认证规定,并剥夺一群拉比的权力。
That’s a kind of deregulation.
这是一种放松管制。
You are a market-oriented economist.
您是一位以市场为导向的经济学家。
Are you happy, or should you be worried as a religious, observant Jew that this could mean a higher probability of some Israelis eating non-kosher food?
作为一个虔诚的、虔诚的犹太人,你是否感到高兴,还是应该担心这可能意味着一些以色列人吃非犹太食品的可能性更高?
Yes, it’s a fascinating example.
是的,这是一个有趣的例子。
Listeners should know that Shtisel is not the model family in Israel.
听众应该知道施蒂塞尔并不是以色列的模范家庭。
The ultra-Orthodox are a percentage of the country, and they’re a politically powerful percentage because they tend to vote as a bloc.
极端正统派占该国的一定比例,他们在政治上占很大比例,因为他们倾向于作为一个集团投票。
But there’s really all kinds of variations now, both religious and nonreligious, in Israel that are extremely fascinating.
但现在以色列确实存在着各种各样的变化,无论是宗教的还是非宗教的,都非常令人着迷。
Many Jews here are secular.
这里的许多犹太人都是世俗的。
Their Judaism is that they live in a Jewish state.
他们的犹太教是他们生活在犹太国家。
Now, there are other Jews who are religious.
现在,还有其他犹太人有宗教信仰。
And then, in between that, there’s all kinds of stuff happening here that’s really fascinating.
然后,在这之间,这里发生了各种各样非常有趣的事情。
I recommend the book The Wondering Jew by Micah Goodman, that came out in the last few years, about what’s going on on the ground here in Israel and the amount of religious innovation that’s happening and how people who are “not religious” are connecting to Jewish text.
我推荐米卡·古德曼(Micah Goodman)在过去几年出版的《好奇的犹太人》(The Wondering Jew)一书,该书讲述了以色列正在发生的事情、正在发生的宗教创新的数量以及“不信教”的人如何与犹太教文本建立联系。
People who are religious are leading more open lives.
有宗教信仰的人过着更加开放的生活。
The tension between the religious and the nonreligious here is somewhat overrated.
这里宗教与非宗教之间的紧张关系有些被高估了。
Having said that, some of the source of that tension is governmental mandates that give preferences for subsidies to childbearing, and the ultra-Orthodox tend to have much, much larger families.
话虽如此,这种紧张关系的部分根源是政府规定对生育补贴给予优先考虑,而极端正统派往往拥有大得多的家庭。
Families are much larger here in Israel than in America generally, secular and religious, but the ultra-Orthodox tend to have the larger families.
以色列的家庭规模普遍比美国大得多,无论是世俗的还是宗教的,但极端正统派的家庭往往更大。
And they’ve used their political power to get both subsidies for children, exemptions from army service, and other forms of special treatment that nonreligious Jews, not surprisingly, find offensive.
他们还利用自己的政治权力来获得儿童补贴、免服兵役以及其他形式的特殊待遇,毫不奇怪,这些待遇会让非宗教犹太人感到冒犯。
I don’t think the alliance of the state with the Jewish religion has necessarily been a good thing.
我不认为国家与犹太教的联盟一定是一件好事。
Many people before me have pointed out that the United States is generally a more religious country than Europe, but there’s no state religion in America.
在我之前有很多人指出,美国总体上是一个比欧洲更加宗教化的国家,但美国没有国教。
Most of Europe has state religion.
欧洲大部分地区都有国教。
The state doesn’t do anything particularly well, and it doesn’t tend to lead to good feelings about religion and has not over time.
国家在任何事情上都做得不是特别好,也不会让人对宗教产生好感,而且随着时间的推移也不会产生这种好感。
When you ask the question, “If you take away some monopoly power from the rabbinic authorities here, are you going to get less kosher food?” The answer is you might get more kosher food.
当你问这样的问题时:“如果你从这里的拉比当局手中夺走一些垄断权力,你会得到更少的犹太食品吗?”答案是你可能会得到更多的犹太食品。
There’s a lot of resentment of the way that the kosher certification has worked here.
人们对犹太洁食认证的运作方式抱有很多不满。
A lot of people feel that a lot of times a fee is collected and not much supervision takes place.
很多人感觉很多时候都是收费的,而监管却很少。
These are nonreligious people who resent that they’re paying for something that gives them the certificate they need to serve their religious customers, but don’t like the hypocrisy of that system.
这些人是非宗教人士,他们对自己花钱购买的东西感到不满,因为他们为宗教客户提供了服务所需的证书,但也不喜欢这个系统的虚伪。
It’s a fantastic example, by the way, of the natural assumption most people have that when there’s a law that gets enforced, or when there’s a law, the government does it well.
顺便说一句,这是一个很好的例子,大多数人都有这样的自然假设:当有法律得到执行时,或者有法律时,政府就会做得很好。
Or I’ve had people say to me, “What if we move to a more decentralized system?
或者有人对我说:“如果我们转向更加去中心化的系统怎么办?
People won’t be able to trust the kosher certification.” You sure you trust it now, when the government has a monopoly driven by rabbinic oversight?
人们将无法相信犹太洁食认证。”当政府拥有由拉比监督驱动的垄断时,你确定你现在相信它吗?
A lot of people say it doesn’t work so well.
很多人说效果不太好。
I’m excited about the role competition might play in the process, and I think it’ll lead to cheaper kosher food, more kosher food, more restaurants offering certified kosher food that I think will actually be kosher, and we’ll be fine.
我对竞争在这个过程中可能发挥的作用感到兴奋,我认为这将导致更便宜的犹太食品、更多的犹太食品、更多的餐厅提供经过认证的犹太食品,我认为这些食品实际上是犹太食品,我们会没事的。
Let me give you a perspective I sometimes hear from Israelis, but I’m going to put this in maybe more public-choice terminology than they would use.
让我给你一个我有时从以色列人那里听到的观点,但我会用比他们使用的更多公共选择术语来表达它。
I’ve heard it argued that secular Israelis, to some extent, free-ride upon the stricter, more religious Israelis who do more to shore up the unity of Judaism or the cultural foundation of the country and thus — that is part of the bargain — the more extreme religious individuals have to be given some kind of political preferences to keep them on board.
我听说有人认为,世俗的以色列人在某种程度上搭上了更严格、更虔诚的以色列人的便车,后者为巩固犹太教的统一或国家的文化基础做了更多的工作,因此“——这是交易的一部分”——必须给予更极端的宗教人士某种政治偏好,以让他们留在船上。
As you know, decades ago, many of the ultra-Orthodox were anti-Zionist, rather than Zionist that they now tend to be.
如您所知,几十年前,许多极端正统派都是反犹太复国主义者,而不是现在的犹太复国主义者。
So there is actual pressure where everyone has to be in the Riker-esque winning coalition, and things like monopoly power over kosher certification — whatever it’s going to be — but you have to give them something.
因此,存在着实际的压力,每个人都必须加入赖克式的获胜联盟,以及诸如犹太洁食认证的垄断权力之类的东西——“无论它是什么”——但你必须给他们一些东西。
Is that an accurate way of thinking about the Israeli political dilemma?
这是思考以色列政治困境的正确方式吗?
Well, it’s not accurate.
嗯,这并不准确。
Might be useful.
可能有用。
Is it useful?
有用吗?
I’ve never heard that quite that way.
我从来没有听说过这样的说法。
By the way, I think there’s a wide range of views about what the role of the state should be in the country, and whether the government should be more sympathetic or less sympathetic to the religious currents here.
顺便说一句,我认为对于国家在这个国家应该扮演什么角色,以及政府是否应该更加同情还是不那么同情这里的宗教潮流,存在着广泛的观点。
Jerusalem tends to be a more “religious” city than Tel Aviv, but there are plenty of Orthodox people and religious people in Tel Aviv, and there’s plenty of nonobservant people here in Jerusalem.
耶路撒冷往往是一个比特拉维夫更加“宗教”的城市,但特拉维夫有很多东正教徒和宗教人士,而耶路撒冷也有很多不信教的人。
They tend to have different rules about how Sabbath is kept in terms of public services.
他们对于如何在公共服务方面遵守安息日往往有不同的规则。
Cultural norms also, of course, play a role.
当然,文化规范也发挥着作用。
I don’t like that idea.
我不喜欢这个主意。
As a Jew, I don’t like that idea.
作为一个犹太人,我不喜欢这个想法。
As religious person, I don’t like the idea that this implicit bargain that somehow the ultra-Orthodox are, what, carrying the water of the ballast — I don’t know what you would call it — anchoring the Jewishness of the country.
作为宗教人士,我不喜欢这种隐含的交易,即极端正统派在某种程度上承载着压载水 ——“我不知道你会怎么称呼它”—— 锚定这个国家的犹太性。
I don’t think it’s an issue for most Israelis to think about it that way.
我认为对于大多数以色列人来说,这样思考并不是一个问题。
I don’t think it would come natural.
我认为这不会是自然而然的。
I think that’s definitely a Riker-esque — a reference to William Riker, who I got to be a colleague of for about five years at the University of Rochester.
我认为这绝对是 Riker 式的——指的是 William Riker,我在罗切斯特大学与他做了大约五年的同事。
He was a wonderful, wonderful man — very insightful and credible, twinkle in his eye.
他是一个非常非常出色的人——非常有洞察力、可信,眼睛里闪烁着光芒。
His work — I think you’ve probably read it, Tyler — he was applying a lot of economics tools in his day long before other folks.
他的著作——我想你可能已经读过,泰勒——他早在其他人之前就应用了很多经济学工具。
He’s forgotten among our colleagues, but I like him a lot.
他在我们的同事中被遗忘了,但我很喜欢他。
Does living in Israel, and being a citizen there, make you more or less utilitarian in your moral philosophy?
生活在以色列并成为那里的公民是否会让你的道德哲学或多或少变得功利主义?
Why would it?
为什么会这样?
Curious.
好奇的。
You have something in mind?
你有什么想法吗?
For instance, the Israeli policies toward hostages, as I understand them, which is imperfectly.
例如,据我了解,以色列对待人质的政策是不完美的。
From what I can tell — I admire these views — the notion that if someone takes hostages, you simply have to look at the longer-term calculation, and you can’t cave to every demand.
据我所知 —— 我很欣赏这些观点 —— 如果有人劫持人质,你只需要着眼于更长期的计算,你不能屈服于每一个要求。
You need to play it quite tough.
你需要打得很艰难。
Is that utilitarian or nonutilitarian?
这是功利主义还是非功利主义?
From my point of view, it’s utilitarian.
从我的角度来看,这是功利主义的。
I’m asking you; I’m not insisting you take my point of view.
我问你;我并不是坚持你接受我的观点。
Living in Israel, has it made you more or less utilitarian?
生活在以色列,是否让你变得更加功利呢?
I’m not much of a utilitarian.
我不是一个功利主义者。
I think all of us have some utilitarian impulses in the certain cases where it’s overwhelmingly clear that too many people benefit from something, or the size of it’s so large.
我认为,在某些情况下,我们所有人都会有一些功利主义冲动,在这种情况下,很明显太多人从某件事中受益,或者它的规模太大了。
I think in most of the interesting cases, I think our profession has been so damaged overall by professional economics, by the Benthamite calculus.
我认为在大多数有趣的案例中,我认为我们的职业总体上被职业经济学、被边沁微积分所损害。
I went back and read — went back, I hadn’t read it before — I went and read Bentham in the last year.
我回去读了 —— 回去了,我以前没读过 —— 去年我去读了边沁。
Have you read any Bentham?
你读过边沁吗?
Of course.
当然。
I’m a big Bentham fan, though I’m not at all a pure utilitarian.
我是边沁的忠实粉丝,尽管我根本不是一个纯粹的功利主义者。
Even on issues such as gay rights, or animal welfare, or monetary theory, or usury laws, or tariffs, he’s a fantastic thinker and economist .
即使在同性恋权利、动物福利、货币理论、高利贷法或关税等问题上,他也是一位出色的思想家和经济学家。
.
。
.
。
How about the designated hitter?
指定击球手怎么样?
You’re showing his incredible breadth.
你正在展示他令人难以置信的广度。
I don’t think Bentham wrote about the designated hitter.
我认为边沁没有写过关于指定击球手的文章。
No, I didn’t think so.
不,我不这么认为。
I disliked it in baseball, but that’s maybe a topic for another podcast.
我不喜欢棒球,但这可能是另一个播客的主题。
It is, but I have to ask, do you still dislike it?
是的,但是我想问,你还不喜欢吗?
You’re still anti-DH?
你仍然反对DH吗?
I’ve become neutral only in the sense that I stopped caring about baseball, so I would be anti-DH.
我变得中立只是因为我不再关心棒球,所以我会反对DH。
Why have you stopped caring about baseball?
你为什么不再关心棒球了?
You haven’t moved to Israel.
你还没有搬到以色列。
What’s the story?
这是什么故事?
I’ve moved to other places, and it’s too time consuming.
我已经搬到其他地方了,这太耗时了。
It’s hard to watch in chunks.
很难分块观看。
I think it’s a less efficient game than it used to be.
我认为这是一个比以前效率低的游戏。
They’ve tried to speed it up.
他们试图加快速度。
They’ve tried some ways to speed it up.
他们尝试了一些方法来加快速度。
It’s not just the total time.
这不仅仅是总时间。
It’s everything.
这就是一切。
It’s not a game made for the TikTok generation, for sure.
当然,这不是一款为 TikTok 一代制作的游戏。
I don’t mean to imply that you’re a TikTok person.
我并不是想暗示你是 TikTok 人。
Or even the YouTube generation, right?
甚至是 YouTube 一代,对吧?
Exactly.
确切地。
Going back to Bentham.
回到边沁。
I haven’t read a lot of Bentham, but I’m surprised at how little he has to say.
我读过的边沁的著作不多,但令我惊讶的是他所说的却如此之少。
He gives you this overarching theory that we can take all of our pains and pleasures.
他给了你这个总体理论,即我们可以承受所有的痛苦和快乐。
It’s very important to emphasize this.
强调这一点非常重要。
The pleasures aren’t just physical pleasures, not just about gluttony or animal drives.
这些快乐不仅仅是身体上的快乐,也不仅仅是暴饮暴食或动物驱力。
He understands pride, and he understands satisfactions are more ethereal, and other kinds.
他理解骄傲,他理解满足感更加虚幻,还有其他种类。
But he gets into a problem, which is that after a while, when you start adding them all up, you can’t add them up anymore.
但他遇到了一个问题,那就是,过了一段时间,当你开始将它们全部加起来时,你就无法再将它们加起来了。
They can’t really be quantified.
它们无法真正被量化。
He was, as far as I understand — and I’d be curious to get your take on this — he never could solve that problem.
据我了解,他是——我很想知道你对此的看法——他永远无法解决这个问题。
He was constantly — we try to solve it as economists through money — not literally money, but by putting a monetary value.
他不断地——“作为经济学家,我们试图通过货币来解决这个问题”——“不是字面意思上的货币,而是通过赋予货币价值来解决这个问题。”
In the next five minutes, Tyler, I’m going to say something embarrassing about your past that I’ve discovered.
在接下来的五分钟内,泰勒,我要说一些我发现的关于你过去的尴尬事。
I could ask you — it’s just an example, Tyler; I don’t really know anything.
我可以问你 —— 这只是一个例子,泰勒;我真的什么都不知道。
I can’t imagine there’s anything embarrassing.
我无法想象有什么尴尬的事情。
Suppose I knew something about you, and I said “Tyler,” before the show, I said, “I’m thinking of saying this.
假设我对你有所了解,我在演出前说“泰勒”,我说,“我想这么说。
How much would you pay me not to say it?
如果我不说出来,你愿意付多少钱?
I’m not going to collect the bribe.”
我不会收受贿赂。”
I’m blackmailing you in that story.
我在那个故事里勒索你。
The way economists use the utilitarian framework is everything’s a form of that calculus.
经济学家使用功利主义框架的方式是一切微积分的一种形式。
The Grand Canyon, the view of the Grand Canyon, is that a monetary transaction?
大峡谷,大峡谷的景色,那是金钱交易吗?
Of course not, but we can ask the question, how much would you pay to be able to continue to see the Grand Canyon for the rest of your life?
当然不是,但是我们可以问一个问题,你愿意花多少钱才能在你的余生中继续看到大峡谷?
How much would you pay for your children to be able to see it?
你愿意花多少钱让你的孩子能够看到它?
In that way, I can trade that off in theory against other things and create a scale.
这样,我就可以在理论上将其与其他事物进行权衡并创建一个比例。
The problem with that scale, of course, is every good economist knows — and many bad ones don’t — is that the scale depends on how much money you have.
当然,这个规模的问题是,每个优秀的经济学家都知道——而许多糟糕的经济学家则不知道——规模取决于你有多少钱。
It’s not a real scale of pleasure and pain.
这不是真正的快乐和痛苦的尺度。
It’s a scale for me.
这对我来说是一个尺度。
My ability then to compare my cost and benefits to yours is, I think, zero.
我认为,我将我的成本和收益与你们进行比较的能力为零。
As economists, we don’t like that.
作为经济学家,我们不喜欢这样。
We want to aggregate.
我们想要聚合。
We want to be able to say, “This is good policy because the net gains are positive,” or “This is a bad policy.
我们希望能够说,“这是一个好的政策,因为净收益是正数”,或者“这是一个糟糕的政策。
The net gains are negative.” Do you agree with that?
净收益为负。”你同意吗?
I think it’s horrible.
我觉得这太可怕了。
I would put it this way: Insofar as we can aggregate — and to make a choice, a policy choice, you have to aggregate in some manner — but I think we aggregate by making moral judgements about different kinds of well-being.
我会这样说:就我们可以聚合而言——并且要做出选择,政策选择,你必须以某种方式聚合——但我认为我们通过对不同种类的福祉做出道德判断来聚合。
In this sense, utilitarianism is parasitic on nonutilitarian moral theories about which pleasures and pains we count, and for how much, and even how we understand what pleasure is.
从这个意义上说,功利主义寄生于非功利主义道德理论,关于我们计算哪些快乐和痛苦,以及多少,甚至我们如何理解快乐是什么。
There’s not a simple physiological definition as a unidimensional measurable variable.
作为一维可测量变量,没有简单的生理学定义。
It’s all, to me, parasitic on pluralistic moral value theory, which makes me not a Benthamite.
对我来说,这一切都寄生于多元道德价值理论,这使我不是边沁主义者。
That’s well said.
说得好。
I think Mill understood this about Bentham.
我认为密尔理解边沁的这一点。
Bentham’s utilitarianism is the weakest part of his philosophy, but I think he’s a wonderful thinker.
边沁的功利主义是他哲学中最薄弱的部分,但我认为他是一位出色的思想家。
If you read more of him, you’d be very impressed.
如果你多读他的作品,你会印象深刻。
I’m going to let you create a reading list for me.
我会让你为我创建一个阅读清单。
Not a very long one, Tyler, though.
不过,泰勒,这不是很长。
You can give me 25 pages to start with that I may have missed.
你可以给我 25 页,我可能错过了。
I want to just go back to that for a second if I could.
如果可以的话,我想再回到那个话题。
Since it’s my program, and — well, it’s not really; it’s ours today.
因为这是我的程序,而且 —— 好吧,它不是真的;今天是我们的。
I’m semi-host today, but I want to ask you this.
我今天是半主持人,但我想问你这个问题。
When I think about marriage — and my adviser is Gary Becker, his theories of marriage, his mathematical models of marriage — do you think it’s a reasonable thought to compare two people as potential mates for yourself, oneself?
当我想到婚姻时,我的顾问是加里·贝克尔,他的婚姻理论,他的婚姻数学模型,你认为将两个人作为你自己的潜在伴侣进行比较是合理的想法吗?
In other words, let’s suppose a person’s considering two different spouses, and you choose one, and they’re willing to marry you.
换句话说,假设一个人正在考虑两个不同的配偶,你选择了一个,他们愿意嫁给你。
As economists, we say, “There’s revealed preference.
作为经济学家,我们说:“存在显性偏好。
You picked the one you thought was better for you.” How would you begin to conceptualize what “better” means in that context?
你选择了你认为更适合你的那个。”在这种情况下,您将如何开始概念化“更好”的含义?
I think the risk, and I think that the easy way to think about it is more fun.
我认为风险很大,而且我认为用简单的方式来思考它会更有趣。
Fun broadly defined, meaning day-to-day life will be better with this person than the other person.
广义上的乐趣,意味着这个人的日常生活会比另一个人更好。
That’s my expectation.
这是我的期望。
I think that’s a bizarre — the more where I’ve thought about this — I’m happily married.
我觉得这很奇怪——“我越想越多”——“我的婚姻很幸福。”
But this book I’m writing next, called Wild Problems, is about this kind of challenge.
但我接下来要写的这本书,名为《狂野问题》,就是关于这种挑战的。
Is it really a meaningful statement, in the sense that there are so many different aspects of marriage and life, and all kind of choices we make like this, that aren’t about just what it’s like to be around them?
这真的是一个有意义的陈述吗?从某种意义上说,婚姻和生活有很多不同的方面,以及我们做出的各种选择,而不仅仅是围绕在他们身边的感觉?
It includes things like pride, it includes things like sense of purpose, includes things like meaning.
它包括诸如骄傲之类的东西,它包括诸如使命感之类的东西,包括诸如意义之类的东西。
When I take a job, obviously I don’t take the job that pays the most, necessarily.
当我接受一份工作时,显然我不一定会接受薪水最高的工作。
I take the job that I think will be the best, meaning a mix of nonmonetary and monetary benefit.
我接受我认为最好的工作,这意味着非金钱和金钱利益的结合。
Is it really a meaningful statement if one job gives me a huge amount of pride, and the other I’m embarrassed about?
如果一份工作让我非常自豪,而另一份工作让我感到尴尬,这真的是一个有意义的说法吗?
Do I really think I can trade those off and put a number on those?
我真的认为我可以权衡这些并对其进行数字化吗?
Ultimately, this Benthamite calculus to me is about this idea that we could put a scaler, a single number, after we’ve aggregated everything up.
最终,对我来说,边沁演算是关于这样一个想法:在我们汇总所有内容之后,我们可以放置一个缩放器,一个单一的数字。
I think that’s a false claim.
我认为这是一个错误的说法。
Here’s how I would put that tension.
以下是我如何表达这种紧张感。
With so many choices — including having kids — you’re choosing, what kind of person do you want to be?
这么多的选择 —— 包括生孩子 ——你在选择,你想成为一个什么样的人?
Exactly.
确切地。
Which is fine — identity.
这很好 —— 身份。
Once you have two different possible persons you could be, two or more, which of those gets to do the ordinal choosing?
一旦你有两个不同的可能的人,两个或更多,那么哪一个可以进行顺序选择呢?
That’s indeterminate.
这是不确定的。
That’s another reason why I think pure utilitarianism, whether of the cardinal or ordinal variety, is self-undercutting.
这就是为什么我认为纯粹的功利主义,无论是基本功利主义还是序数功利主义,都是自我削弱的另一个原因。
It needs to pull in values from outside of the utility itself.
它需要从公用事业本身外部获取价值。
We talked about this on the program with L.
我们在节目中和L讨论过这个问题。
A.
A.
Paul, talking about the vampire problem.
保罗,谈论吸血鬼问题。
Before you’re a vampire, it looks pretty grotesque.
在你成为吸血鬼之前,它看起来很怪诞。
After you’re a vampire, it’s fantastic.
当你成为吸血鬼之后,那真是太棒了。
What I’m suggesting in my new book is that it might be fantastic.
我在我的新书中建议的是,它可能会很棒。
Her conclusion is that the rationale is ill defined.
她的结论是,理由不明确。
Mine is, “But I don’t want to be a vampire.
我的想法是,“但我不想成为吸血鬼。
It’s gross.” I don’t care how fantastic I think it’s going to be.
太恶心了。”我不在乎我认为它会多么美妙。
You get to live forever, I think, if you play your cards right.
我想,如果你打得好的话,你就能永远活下去。
I just think we bring, as you say, other value systems into that calculus, which makes it — I like that phrase, undercuts it.
我只是认为,正如你所说,我们将其他价值体系带入该演算中,这使得它 - 我喜欢这句话,削弱了它。
I have a very easy question for you now.
我现在有一个非常简单的问题要问你。
If there’s a conflict between the ethnic religious identity of Israel and the democratic nature of Israel, what philosophic standard do you apply to resolve that conflict?
如果以色列的民族宗教身份与以色列的民主本质之间存在冲突,您采用什么哲学标准来解决该冲突?
Easiest question of the hour, right?
当前最简单的问题,对吗?
You just flip a coin, I think.
我想,你只需抛一枚硬币即可。
I talk about that in the book also, by the way.
顺便说一句,我在书中也谈到了这一点。
There’s a beautiful poem by Piet Hein where he says — and I’ve heard other people say — “You flip the coin so that you’ll know what to root for.
皮特·海因(Piet Hein)有一首美丽的诗,他在诗中写道:“我听到其他人说:“你抛硬币,这样你就会知道该支持什么。
That tells you what you really want.” Piet Hein was a great scientist, thinker, mathematician.
这会告诉你你真正想要什么。”皮特·海因是一位伟大的科学家、思想家、数学家。
Here’s this guy saying, “Flip the coin so you can find out what your gut is really hoping for, and use that to make the decision.” That’s part of what I’m interested in for this book.
这个人说:“抛硬币,这样你就能知道你的直觉真正希望什么,然后用它来做出决定。”这是我对这本书感兴趣的部分内容。
I think there’s a really interesting tension that you’re identifying, especially for a religious person.
我认为你发现了一种非常有趣的紧张关系,特别是对于一个有宗教信仰的人来说。
I don’t want to live in theocracy, Jewish or otherwise.
我不想生活在神权政治中,无论是犹太教还是其他宗教。
I’m a big believer in competition to make the world a better place, under some constraints of course.
我坚信竞争可以让世界变得更美好,当然,这是在一些限制条件下的。
Israel has — was it 30 years ago?
以色列有——“是30年前吗?”
Thirty years ago, everybody knew that Israel was going to struggle to stay a Jewish state because birth rates were low among the Jewish population.
三十年前,每个人都知道以色列将很难维持犹太国家地位,因为犹太人口的出生率很低。
They were high among the Arab Israeli population.
他们在阿拉伯以色列人口中的比例很高。
Soon, Israel will be in this weird predicament of being a Jewish state where the Jews are a minority.
很快,以色列将陷入犹太人占少数的犹太国家的奇怪困境。
People did not foresee the fall of the Soviet Union and the influx of millions of Russian Jews into Israel.
人们没有预见到苏联的解体和数百万俄罗斯犹太人涌入以色列。
Israel’s really avoided the existential threats that would require a very, very nondemocratic response.
以色列确实避免了需要采取非常非常不民主的应对措施的生存威胁。
It’s not a democratic place like America.
它不是像美国那样的民主国家。
Any Jew can come live here, if they can prove that they’re Jewish — but much harder if you’re not.
任何犹太人都可以来这里生活,只要他们能证明自己是犹太人 ——但如果你不是犹太人就更难了。
I’m a big fan of open borders, but I do want there to be a Jewish state.
我非常支持开放边界,但我确实希望有一个犹太国家。
There’s an inconsistency there, for me, that’s somewhat troubling.
对我来说,其中存在不一致之处,这有点令人不安。
But I’m happy to maintain that, the ethnic religious character that you referred to as a Jewish state.
但我很高兴维持你所说的犹太国家的民族宗教特征。
I have to say that it used to be, when I was growing up, “That’s pleasant.
我不得不说,在我成长的过程中,“这很令人愉快。
It’s nice to have a Jewish state.” In the last 10 years, the last 5 years, I’ve actually thought, there really has to be a Jewish state.
拥有一个犹太国家真是太好了。”在过去的十年里,过去的五年里,我实际上一直在想,确实必须有一个犹太国家。
We actually were living in a world where anti-Semitism was unimaginable 20 years ago.
事实上,我们生活在一个 20 年前反犹太主义是不可想象的世界。
It’s now increasingly common or not surprising.
现在这种情况越来越普遍,或者说并不奇怪。
I think it’s scary.
我觉得这很可怕。
The so-called Jewish question: What’s the Jews’ role in the world when they’re a citizen of another country?
所谓的犹太人问题:当犹太人成为另一个国家的公民时,他们在世界上扮演什么角色?
It’s back, and hard to imagine.
它又回来了,而且很难想象。
I’m shocked by it.
我对此感到震惊。
Are you surprised by that?
你对此感到惊讶吗?
I know it doesn’t touch you the way it touches me or my children, but are you surprised that anti-Semitism is actually — people get killed for being Jews in the United States?
我知道它不会像触动我或我的孩子那样触动你,但你对反犹太主义实际上是 —— 在美国人们因为是犹太人而被杀感到惊讶吗?
Weird.
诡异的。
Didn’t think it could happen.
没想到这会发生。
Doesn’t happen very often.
不经常发生。
I’m not paranoid about it, but it’s surprising it happens at all.
我对此并不偏执,但它的发生却令人惊讶。
I would just say I have worked very hard over the last 20 years to try to root out recency bias in my expectations.
我只想说,在过去的 20 年里,我非常努力地努力消除我的期望中的新近偏差。
Fewer bad things surprise me than used to, is how I would put it, because if you look at broader history, it’s a pretty common event, as are many other bad things.
我会这么说,因为如果你纵观更广泛的历史,与许多其他坏事一样,这是一个非常常见的事件。
We suffer from recency bias.
我们遭受新近偏见的困扰。
We think what we’ve seen over the 20 or 30 years where the centrality of our own growing up happened is somehow special, but it’s not.
我们认为过去 20 或 30 年来我们所看到的以我们自己的成长为中心的事情在某种程度上是特别的,但事实并非如此。
Tomorrow will be like yesterday, until it isn’t.
明天会像昨天一样,直到情况不再如此。
I’m curious.
我很好奇。
I got way overexcited about fairness and way overexcited about driverless cars.
我对公平感到过度兴奋,对无人驾驶汽车感到过度兴奋。
Is that the same phenomenon?
是不是同样的现象?
Meaning, all the hype and excitement that this was different, that they’d solved this problem, that there was going to be this new world.
意思是,所有的炒作和兴奋都表明这是不同的,他们解决了这个问题,将会有一个新世界。
I’d call it more of an optimism bias.
我更愿意称之为乐观偏见。
I wanted to believe that we’d solved, improved, transformed.
我想要相信我们已经解决、改进、转变了。
Did you fall prey to that?
你是不是也受此影响了呢?
I think you were right to be excited about driverless vehicles.
我认为你对无人驾驶汽车感到兴奋是对的。
They’re not going to revolutionize the world tomorrow, but I think that will happen within our lifetimes in a significant way.
他们不会在明天彻底改变世界,但我认为这将在我们的有生之年以一种重要的方式发生。
On fairness, though, I just wasn’t paying that much attention to.
不过,公平地说,我只是没有太关注。
I have become successively less skeptical about longevity research, I would say that.
我想说的是,我对长寿研究的怀疑逐渐减少了。
I think it’s a long, slow haul and a tough slog, so I don’t have a utopian vision there.
我认为这是一个漫长、缓慢的过程,也是一个艰难的过程,所以我对此没有乌托邦式的愿景。
I think there’s so much talent now working on those problems, we’ll make some progress on them.
我认为现在有很多人才正在研究这些问题,我们将在这些问题上取得一些进展。
Those would be my two responses.
这是我的两个回应。
It’s hard to know.
很难知道。
There were so many smart people — and I just got swept up in the excitement — so many smart people who said within three years we’re going to have driverless cars — 35,000 lives saved because there won’t be any deaths on the highway.
有这么多聪明人 —— 我沉浸在兴奋之中 —— 这么多聪明人说三年内我们将拥有无人驾驶汽车 —— 拯救了 35,000 条生命,因为高速公路上不会出现任何死亡。
True, there might be a few more pedestrians killed, but it’s going to be a huge advantage for improvement in human life.
诚然,可能会有更多的行人被杀,但这对于改善人类生活来说将是一个巨大的优势。
I think the technical problems there turned out to be quite a bit more daunting.
我认为那里的技术问题更加令人畏惧。
I think a different kind of bias is we just assume that technology and focus will solve anything.
我认为另一种偏见是我们只是假设技术和专注可以解决任何问题。
Often it does — amazing.
通常它确实令人惊奇。
Getting a vaccine in a weekend, that was a great moment of human achievement.
在周末获得疫苗,这是人类成就的伟大时刻。
So many other things turned out to be harder.
许多其他事情变得更加困难。
Let me ask you another super easy question.
让我问你另一个超级简单的问题。
Let’s say we think that under current circumstances, a two-state solution would not lead to security either for Israel or for the resulting Palestinian state.
假设我们认为在当前情况下,两国解决方案不会为以色列或由此产生的巴勒斯坦国带来安全。
Many people believe that.
很多人都相信这一点。
Let’s say also, as I think you believe, that a one-state solution where everyone votes would not lead to security for a current version of Israel or even a modified version of it.
我们还可以说,正如我认为您所相信的那样,每个人都投票的一国解决方案不会为当前版本的以色列甚至是其修改版本带来安全。
Let’s say also that the current reliance of the Palestinian territories on the state of Israel for protection, security, intelligence, water — many important features of life — prevent those governing bodies from ever attaining sufficient autonomy to be a credible peace partner, guaranteer of its own security, and so on.
我们还可以说,巴勒斯坦领土目前在保护、安全、情报、水——“生活的许多重要特征”方面对以色列国家的依赖——阻碍了这些管理机构获得足够的自治权,无法成为可靠的和平伙伴、自身安全的保障者等等。
From that point of view, what do we do?
从这个角度来看,我们该怎么办?
We’re not utilitarians.
我们不是功利主义者。
We’re thinking about what’s right and wrong.
我们正在思考什么是对的,什么是错的。
What’s the right thing to do?
什么是正确的做法?
There’s an expression from the Talumd, “to answer something on one foot,” because you can’t stand on one foot for very long.
《塔卢姆德》中有一句话,“用一只脚回答某事”,因为你不能用一只脚站立很长时间。
For some people it means you get 30 seconds.
对于某些人来说,这意味着您有 30 秒的时间。
There’s some baseball pitchers who could probably stand on one foot for an hour or two, but it usually means — you want me to answer this on one foot.
有些棒球投手可能可以单脚站立一两个小时,但这通常意味着 - 你希望我用一只脚回答这个问题。
Of course, there’s no answer.
当然,没有答案。
I mentioned Micah Goodman a minute ago for his book, The Wondering Jew.
一分钟前我在米卡·古德曼的书《好奇的犹太人》中提到过他。
He has another fascinating book called Catch-67, which explores the contradictions and inconsistencies with different worldviews toward the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in an incredibly thoughtful way.
他还有另一本引人入胜的书,名为《Catch-67》,以令人难以置信的深思熟虑的方式探讨了以色列和巴勒斯坦之间冲突的不同世界观的矛盾和不一致。
I recommend that book.
我推荐那本书。
It’s the best book you can read about what’s going on here politically and intellectually and emotionally.
这是关于这里的政治、智力和情感上正在发生的事情的最好的书。
It’s a phenomenal book.
这是一本非凡的书。
Even though part of his insight is it’s wrong to look for a solution — if I remember the book correctly; I read it quickly — but think about ways to live with it.
尽管他的部分见解是寻找解决方案是错误的——如果我没记错这本书;我读得很快 —— 但思考如何忍受它。
Think about ways to make life better.
思考如何让生活变得更美好。
Think about ways to move toward improvement rather than fixing it.
思考如何改进而不是解决问题。
I think the American foreign policy establishment has spent the last decades just trying to fix it.
我认为美国外交政策机构在过去几十年里一直在试图解决这个问题。
It may not be fixable.
它可能无法修复。
It’s hard to admit that as a rational person.
作为一个理性的人很难承认这一点。
It’s hard to admit it as a person who lives here.
作为一个住在这里的人很难承认这一点。
By the way, I should just mention, people have hurt me in the last month saying, “Is it scary here?
顺便说一句,我应该提一下,上个月人们伤害了我,说:“这里可怕吗?
Would you be afraid to raise your children there if you had young children?” It’s an incredible place to raise children.
如果你有小孩,你会害怕在那里抚养孩子吗?”这是一个令人难以置信的抚养孩子的地方。
Children here run free without fear.
这里的孩子们自由奔跑,无所畏惧。
They play in a way that American children used to be allowed to play.
他们以美国孩子过去被允许玩耍的方式玩耍。
I played that way growing up; it’s still true here.
我从小就是这么玩的;这里仍然如此。
There’s very little crime on the streets, very little street crime, very little theft, very little burglary and so on.
街上的犯罪很少,街头犯罪、盗窃、入室盗窃等等都很少。
There’s the threat of terrorism.
有恐怖主义的威胁。
You’re much more likely to get stabbed in Jerusalem than you are in New York City.
在耶路撒冷,你被刺伤的可能性比在纽约市高得多。
Of course, it’s not common, thank God, at least of right now, but it’s serious.
当然,感谢上帝,至少目前这种情况并不常见,但它很严重。
Then you got Iran.
然后你就有了伊朗。
As I alluded to earlier, it’s a tough neighborhood.
正如我之前提到的,这是一个艰难的社区。
I think it behooves — if I may use a word that’s out of fashion — it behooves us all to think about ways to both reduce the security threat to Israel, and to improve the lives of the people who, of course in the West Bank, in Gaza and elsewhere, who — they’re not very good democracies, even though sometimes there are elections.
我认为,“如果我可以使用一个过时的词的话,我们所有人都应该考虑如何减少对以色列的安全威胁,并改善人们的生活,当然,在约旦河西岸、加沙和其他地方,他们不是很好的民主国家,尽管有时会有选举。
I don’t necessarily believe that the person on the street there is being — I don’t know what their attitudes are.
我不一定相信街上的人是 —— 我不知道他们的态度是什么。
They can’t give an honest answer, out of fear, so I wouldn’t rely on survey data.
出于恐惧,他们无法给出诚实的答案,所以我不会依赖调查数据。
I think there’s certainly a lot of people in those parts of the world — our neighbors here, our cousins, just want to lead a normal life and have a better life for their children, like most people aspire to.
我认为世界上那些地方肯定有很多人——我们这里的邻居、我们的表兄弟姐妹,只是想过上正常的生活,并为他们的孩子过上更好的生活,就像大多数人所渴望的那样。
How do you improve that?
你如何改进这一点?
I would love to have more commercial interaction, although I agree with you that trade is not a panacea.
我希望有更多的商业互动,尽管我同意你的观点,贸易不是万能的。
Or does that mean it is a panacea?
或者说它是灵丹妙药?
I can’t remember; I have trouble with that word.
我不记得了;我对这个词有困难。
I think there used to be more commercial interaction between the Palestinian population and Israel because it was more peaceful.
我认为巴勒斯坦人和以色列之间过去有更多的商业互动,因为它更加和平。
Now that the threat of terrorism is aired, Israel’s rolled off its borders to those neighborhoods and those parts of the world, to Gaza, because it’s scary.
既然恐怖主义的威胁已经公之于众,以色列就将其边界扩展到那些社区和世界的那些地区,到了加沙,因为这很可怕。
That’s tragedy.
那是悲剧。
They live horribly there.
他们在那里生活得很糟糕。
It’s a very tough place to live, Gaza.
加沙是一个生活非常艰难的地方。
Egypt’s not very nice to them either, by the way.
顺便说一句,埃及对他们也不太友善。
They have a closed border with Egypt.
他们与埃及有封闭的边界。
I think the challenge is to find ways — the real problem right now is that Israel doesn’t have a negotiating partner who thinks that Israel has a right to exist, so Hamas doesn’t recognize Israel’s right to exist.
我认为挑战在于找到方法——现在真正的问题是以色列没有一个认为以色列有生存权的谈判伙伴,所以哈马斯不承认以色列的生存权。
It’s hard to imagine a two-state solution with that.
很难想象这样的两国解决方案。
How do you improve things along the way?
一路上你如何改进事情?
I think you look for ways to do some commercial interaction.
我认为你正在寻找进行一些商业互动的方法。
I think the other thing reminds me a little bit of — I’ll say it this way.
我认为另一件事让我想起了一点 —— 我会这样说。
This is the Middle East.
这是中东。
There are cultural norms here that are not the same as in America.
这里的文化规范与美国不同。
I think a lot of Americans have no understanding of that.
我认为很多美国人对此并不了解。
Certainly American Jews don’t.
美国犹太人当然不这么认为。
I don’t think American negotiators understand it so well, probably, the role that pride, face, dignity plays — as opposed to, say, narrow self-interest, narrowly defined.
我认为美国谈判代表可能不太了解骄傲、面子、尊严所扮演的角色,而不是狭隘的狭隘自身利益。
I think it’s much greater for those other intangible things.
我认为这对于其他无形的东西来说要重要得多。
Personally, I’d like to see Israel try a different move toward normalcy.
就我个人而言,我希望看到以色列尝试采取不同的行动来实现正常化。
I also understand that I’m naïve and have only lived here six months, and have very little thoughtful to say about that that I would want anyone to pay attention to, because it’s a different neighborhood than where I came from in Maryland.
我也知道我很天真,只在这里住了六个月,对于我希望任何人关注的事情,我没有什么深思熟虑的说法,因为这是一个与我来自马里兰州的社区不同的社区。
It’s not easily understood.
这并不容易理解。
What might be seen as a generous gesture in Maryland might be seen differently here, and vice versa.
在马里兰州可能被视为慷慨的举动在这里可能会有不同的看法,反之亦然。
Something that’s harsh in Maryland might be seen very differently here.
马里兰州的严酷情况在这里可能会有很大不同。
Israelis have their own cultural baggage, not just that they’re part of this Middle Eastern culture, that they share to some extent with their neighbors.
以色列人有自己的文化包袱,不仅因为他们是中东文化的一部分,而且他们在某种程度上与邻居共享这种文化包袱。
Israelis are very proud of their self-reliance.
以色列人对他们的自力更生感到非常自豪。
I’ll tell you a story.
我给你讲一个故事。
I once — again, I’ve only been here six months, but this is an old story; it tells you something.
我曾经——再次强调,我只在这里呆了六个月,但这是一个老故事了;它告诉你一些事情。
I’m flying out of JFK.
我要从肯尼迪国际机场起飞。
I have to get to Israel to visit one of my kids who’s studying here for the year, this special program for the parents.
我必须去以色列看望我的一个孩子,他在这里学习了一年,这是一个针对家长的特殊项目。
It’s a small window for me to get here in time to enjoy the program with my son.
对我来说,及时赶到这里与儿子一起享受节目的机会很小。
JFK, every flight’s cancelled, it’s snowing, just this relentless hour after hour blanketing the city.
肯尼迪国际机场,所有航班都取消了,下雪了,一小时又一小时无情地覆盖着整个城市。
I leave midtown Manhattan to go to JFK.
我离开曼哈顿市中心前往肯尼迪机场。
My flight on El Al, the Israeli airline, is still not cancelled somehow, but the cab can’t go faster than 20 miles an hour.
我搭乘的以色列航空公司 El Al 的航班不知何故仍未取消,但出租车的行驶速度不能超过每小时 20 英里。
There’s no one on the road.
路上没有人。
Our cab’s the only car on the road.
我们的出租车是路上唯一的车。
Takes us about 45 minutes or an hour to get to JFK at 20 miles an hour.
我们以每小时 20 英里的速度大约需要 45 分钟或一个小时才能到达肯尼迪机场。
I get to the desk to check my bags.
我到柜台检查我的行李。
They asked me the security questions, which El Al does differently than anybody else.
他们问了我安全问题,以色列航空公司的做法与其他人不同。
They take my bag.
他们拿走了我的包。
I get to the front desk to get my boarding pass, and they say, “Can I help you?” I said, “Yes, I’m on flight such and such.” I said, “We’re not leaving tonight, are we?
我到前台领取登机牌,他们说:“我可以帮助您吗?”我说:“是的,我正在某某航班上。”我说:“我们今晚不会走,是吗?
We’re not really going to fly in this?
我们真的不会乘坐这个飞行吗?
This flight’s going to be canceled, isn’t it?
这个航班要取消了,不是吗?
I’m two hours early, and it’s still going to keep snowing the whole time.”
我提早了两个小时,而且雪一直会下个不停。”
She looks at me and she says, “Our pilots, they’re all from the Israeli Air Force.
她看着我说:“我们的飞行员都来自以色列空军。
The rule here is it’s the pilot’s call.
这里的规则是由飞行员决定。
They can decide they’re uncomfortable flying and cancel a flight at any time.” She said, “As long as the airport’s open, we’re going to fly, because those pilots, they’re going to fly.
他们可以认为飞行不舒服并随时取消航班。”她说:“只要机场开放,我们就会飞,因为那些飞行员,他们就会飞。
They’re confident that they can fly through that storm.” There’s something beautiful about that.
他们有信心能够飞过这场风暴。”这有一些美丽的东西。
Something scary.
有什么可怕的。
I was really excited because I wanted to get to see my son, but just thinking, “I don’t know if that’s always my mentality.”
我真的很兴奋,因为我想见到我的儿子,但只是想,“我不知道这是否一直是我的心态。”
That’s the Israeli mentality.
这就是以色列人的心态。
“We’ll get it done.
“我们会完成它的。
We’ll take care of it.
我们会处理的。
It’ll work out.” We’re joking a lot.
会成功的。”我们经常开玩笑。
Not joking, but we’re talking around these issues of bluntness and this culture here, but there’s a vitality and national pride here that’s so missing in America these days.
不是开玩笑,但我们正在讨论这些直率的问题和这里的文化,但这里有一种活力和民族自豪感,而这些是美国现在所缺失的。
I’m very worried about the future of America.
我非常担心美国的未来。
It’s a different set of worries here, but they’re not bad worries relative to what America’s dealing with, it feels like.
这是一系列不同的担忧,但相对于美国正在处理的问题来说,它们并不是什么糟糕的担忧,感觉上是这样。
Are you optimistic about the future of America as a country?
您对美国这个国家的未来感到乐观吗?
I would put it this way.
我会这样说。
I’m increasingly optimistic about economic issues, technological issues, and even American democracy, contrary to most people.
与大多数人相反,我对经济问题、技术问题,甚至美国民主越来越乐观。
I am increasingly worried about the possible collapse of geopolitical stability in places such as Taiwan, Ukraine, parts of Africa.
我越来越担心台湾、乌克兰、非洲部分地区等地地缘政治稳定可能崩溃。
I’m not sure if I’m optimistic or pessimistic as a whole.
我不确定我总体上是乐观还是悲观。
I’m relatively optimistic about North America compared to the rest of the world.
与世界其他地区相比,我对北美相对乐观。
Yes, you are.
是的,你是。
Because it’s geopolitically secure, right?
因为它在地缘政治上是安全的,对吗?
Because it can’t be invaded.
因为它无法被入侵。
It’s hard to invade.
很难入侵。
Not readily.
不轻易。
It has enough of its own resources.
它有足够的自己的资源。
If we were cut off, we would, in different ways, manage.
如果我们被切断,我们会以不同的方式进行应对。
Of course, we could destroy ourselves from within.
当然,我们可以从内部摧毁自己。
I’m now putting my American passport — I’m still an American citizen also.
我现在把我的美国护照放上去 —— 我仍然是美国公民。
We could destroy ourselves from within.
我们可以从内部摧毁自己。
Are you worried about that?
你担心这个吗?
I always ask people, “Are you short the market?” They never say yes; there’s a lot of hemming and hawing.
我总是问人们:“你做空市场吗?”他们从不说“是”;有很多折边和变形。
I think it’s become a kind of protective talisman to over-worry about American democracy because people feel angst about the content of what it’s producing, which a lot of that I would agree with.
我认为过度担心美国民主已经成为一种保护性的护身符,因为人们对它所产生的内容感到焦虑,其中很多我都会同意。
I think it will continue.
我认为它会继续下去。
An American democracy has looked and sounded ugly for most of its history, getting back to recency bias.
美国民主制度在其历史的大部分时间里看起来和听起来都很丑陋,又回到了新近偏见。
Great example.
很好的例子。
Maybe it sounded better in the ’80s and ’90s, but for American democracy to be lunacy is, in fact, part of our history.
也许这在八十年代和九十年代听起来更好,但美国民主的疯狂实际上是我们历史的一部分。
Let me close with two final questions.
让我以最后两个问题作为结束语。
One is super easy.
一是超级简单。
The other is very hard.
另一个是非常难的。
Easy question.
简单的问题。
Can I have the easy one first?
我可以先吃简单的吗?
COWEN: Sure.
考恩:当然。
Maybe we’ll run out of time.
也许我们会没时间了。
It seems to me, Israel faces a pending or even current shortage of unskilled labor, and is also committed to the idea of being a Jewish state.
在我看来,以色列面临着即将到来的甚至是当前的非熟练劳动力短缺,并且也致力于成为一个犹太国家的想法。
Countries like Switzerland, that I never thought would take in a lot of outsiders, have done so because it makes economic sense.
像瑞士这样的国家,我从未想过会接纳很多外来者,但它们已经这样做了,因为这具有经济意义。
How will Israel address this question?
以色列将如何解决这个问题?
That’s the easy one.
这是最简单的。
That’s the easy one.
这是最简单的。
Oh, great.
哦,太好了。
Oh, no. COWEN: Is everything going to be robots and driverless cars?
哦,不。 COWEN:一切都会是机器人和无人驾驶汽车吗?
But you don’t believe in those anymore.
但你不再相信那些了。
Who does all the work?
谁做所有的工作?
I think robots are pretty powerful, but we’re not going to have driverless cars for a while.
我认为机器人非常强大,但我们暂时不会拥有无人驾驶汽车。
We’re going to still have drivers.
我们仍然会有司机。
Again, I’m a newcomer.
再说一遍,我是新人。
There’s a lot of debate here that I’ve not paid close attention to before I arrived about immigrants from other countries.
这里有很多关于来自其他国家的移民的争论,在我来之前我没有密切关注。
There’s a lot of people here from Asia who do some of the jobs that Israelis don’t want to do at market wages here.
这里有很多来自亚洲的人从事以色列人不愿意以市场工资从事的工作。
There’s people from Eritrea and other places.
有来自厄立特里亚和其他地方的人。
It’s really a national identity issue that the Israeli people will work out through their really complicated — and not so, perhaps, robust — democracy, pretty robust.
这实际上是一个民族认同问题,以色列人民将通过他们真正复杂的——也许不是那么强大——民主,相当强大来解决。
It’s 70 years now, which is pretty amazing, heading toward 75.
现在已经 70 岁了,这是相当惊人的,我们即将迎来 75 岁了。
I think it’s a bit of a fallacy — I know you don’t subscribe to it, but a lot of people do — that if we don’t import workers to do those jobs, no one will do them.
我认为这有点谬误——“我知道你不同意,但很多人都同意——”如果我们不引进工人来做这些工作,就没有人会做这些工作。
That’s not true.
那不是真的。
What will happen is, if you have something of a market economy, the wages rise, and they become more attractive to the native population.
将会发生的情况是,如果实行市场经济,工资就会上涨,对当地人来说就会变得更具吸引力。
Immigrants aren’t needed.
不需要移民。
Some of the things, if the prices rise so much, they won’t be done anymore.
有些事情,如果价格涨这么多,就不会再做了。
People won’t want them at those higher prices it would take to pay for those services.
人们不会希望以更高的价格购买这些服务。
There’s a temptation always to look for the efficient solution, the one that’s financially wise, but there are other aspects.
寻找有效的解决方案(经济上明智的解决方案)总是存在诱惑,但还有其他方面。
I think Brexit and other decisions that populations are making in the modern world are a view that there are things more important than money.
我认为英国脱欧和现代世界人们做出的其他决定是一种观点,即有比金钱更重要的东西。
I don’t think that’s ever going to change.
我认为这永远不会改变。
I think, as I’ve said before, a good economist understands that; a bad economist focuses on it.
我认为,正如我之前所说,优秀的经济学家都明白这一点;糟糕的经济学家会关注它。
An episode — I don’t know when it’s coming out.
一集 — 不知道什么时候出。
It might come out before this.
它可能会在此之前出现。
I think it’s now coming out.
我想现在已经出来了。
I can’t remember.
我不记得了。
I think it’s before this — with Megan McArdle on Roger Scruton’s book Where We Are, which is about the role that place plays in our emotional well-being and our heart and our decision-making.
我想是在这之前,与梅根·麦卡德尔 (Megan McArdle) 一起写了罗杰·斯克鲁顿 (Roger Scruton) 的书《我们在哪里》,该书讲述了地方在我们的情感健康、内心和决策中所扮演的角色。
I think those things are really important.
我认为这些事情非常重要。
People care a lot about them, especially here in Israel.
人们非常关心他们,尤其是在以色列。
Their connection to the land, their connection to their country, their sense of identity that we alluded to earlier, that I think is extremely important here.
他们与土地的联系、与国家的联系、我们之前提到的身份感,我认为这在这里极其重要。
I think Israel will make the decision.
我认为以色列会做出决定。
They might be willing to pay a price.
他们可能愿意付出代价。
Israelis might be willing to pay a higher price for a bunch of stuff to have it done by Israeli sources or not get done at all.
以色列人可能愿意为一堆东西支付更高的价格,让以色列人完成这些工作,或者根本不完成。
America’s got that same issue.
美国也有同样的问题。
It’s the same challenge.
这是同样的挑战。
A lot of people like the idea of inexpensive fruit and vegetables picked by inexpensive labor, home repairs done by inexpensive labor — all immigrant, often illegal, perhaps.
很多人喜欢用廉价劳动力采摘廉价水果和蔬菜,用廉价劳动力修理房屋——全都是移民,也许往往是非法的。
A lot of people like that.
很多人都喜欢这样。
A lot of people like what comes with that, which is more interesting life, more interesting types of people, but some people don’t like it.
很多人喜欢随之而来的东西,即更有趣的生活,更有趣的人,但有些人不喜欢它。
The fact that they’re going to pay a higher price for some things — that doesn’t surprise me, that they’re willing to make that tradeoff.
事实上,他们将为某些东西支付更高的价格 ——这并不令我感到惊讶,他们愿意做出这种权衡。
Here’s the hard question.
这是一个难题。
It’s hard because you actually have to solve it.
这很难,因为你实际上必须解决它。
In your new job, what is your next task?
在你的新工作中,你的下一个任务是什么?
That’s an easy question, Tyler.
这是一个简单的问题,泰勒。
But you have to do it.
但你必须这样做。
That’s much harder than the others.
这比其他人要难得多。
I don’t have to do it by myself, and I don’t have to pretend I understand something I don’t understand, like preventing warfare among people who’ve been fighting for a long time, tragically.
我不必自己做这件事,也不必假装我明白一些我不明白的事情,比如防止长期战斗的人们之间发生悲惨的战争。
The thing I really have to do is that in about one hour, we have our first gala dinner here of alumni, which we haven’t had because of COVID.
我真正要做的事情是,大约一个小时后,我们在这里举行我们的第一场校友晚宴,由于新冠疫情,我们没有举行这次晚宴。
It’s an amazing thing right now in Israel.
现在在以色列,这是一件了不起的事情。
This is December 2021.
这是 2021 年 12 月。
We’ve closed our borders to the United States, which means that my youngest son can’t come visit us for winter break like he planned to.
我们已经关闭了与美国的边境,这意味着我的小儿子无法像他计划的那样来过寒假。
A lot of people can’t come to their kids’, their grandchildren’s lifecycle events.
很多人无法参加他们的孩子、孙子的生命周期活动。
Until, I’d say, about a month ago, when Omicron was just a glint in somebody’s eye or throat, people here were living a totally normal life.
我想说,直到大约一个月前,当 Omicron 只是某人眼睛或喉咙里的一抹闪光时,这里的人们过着完全正常的生活。
It’s just totally normal.
这很正常。
We have these mask mandates, like on the buses you’re supposed to wear a mask.
我们有这些口罩规定,就像在公共汽车上你应该戴口罩一样。
Even the driver’s not wearing his mask.
就连司机也没有戴口罩。
Excuse me, they’re all wearing it; nobody’s wearing it over their nose and mouth — very few.
对不起,他们都戴着它;没有人把它戴在鼻子和嘴巴上——“很少”。
The older people are, generally, but the younger people are either wearing it under their chin, maybe a little over their mouth, but not their nose.
一般来说,老年人会戴,但年轻人要么把它戴在下巴下面,也许稍微盖住嘴,但不要戴在鼻子上。
I think with Omicron, the level of anxiety has risen here, some.
我认为,有了 Omicron,这里的焦虑程度有所上升。
I assume it’s risen there where you are as well.
我想它也在你所在的地方升起。
We’ve got a gala dinner tonight.
今晚我们有一场晚宴。
There’s going to be 125 alums of this place.
这个地方将有 125 名校友。
We’ve only had five years of graduates.
我们只有五年的毕业生。
That’s the first thing I’m doing, but that’s not really your question.
这是我要做的第一件事,但这并不是你的问题。
What am I doing that I can share that’s not too secretive or important?
我正在做什么可以分享但不太秘密或不太重要的事情?
I’ll tell you another thing we’re doing, which is glorious.
我会告诉你我们正在做的另一件事,这是光荣的。
Leon Kass is our new dean of faculty.
莱昂·卡斯 (Leon Kass) 是我们的新任院长。
He’s 82.
他82岁了。
He taught the great books at the University of Chicago and St John’s for over three decades, often with his wife, Amy, who’s passed on but who is an incredible teacher also.
三十多年来,他经常与他的妻子艾米一起在芝加哥大学和圣约翰大学教授伟大的书籍,艾米已经去世,但她也是一位令人难以置信的老师。
Leon’s just an incredible visionary, educationally.
莱昂在教育方面是一位令人难以置信的有远见的人。
One of the thrills of this job is sitting in on the faculty colloquium which he started, and listening to my colleagues, my faculty members — I like saying my, our faculty members — talk about a text that they love.
这项工作的令人兴奋的事情之一就是坐在他发起的教职人员座谈会上,听我的同事、我的教职人员 ——“我喜欢说我的,我们的教职人员”——谈论他们喜欢的文本。
We have a faculty member, Assaf Inbari.
我们有一位教员,阿萨夫·因巴里 (Assaf Inbari)。
He’s a great Israeli novelist, at least I hope so.
他是一位伟大的以色列小说家,至少我希望如此。
I can’t read his books; they’re in Hebrew, they haven’t been translated yet.
我看不懂他的书;它们是希伯来语,尚未翻译。
But they’re popular, I think, among the right people.
但我认为,它们在合适的人群中很受欢迎。
Anyway, he taught a class last week and a half ago.
不管怎样,他上周半前教过一堂课。
He chose a poem by Yeats.
他选择了叶芝的一首诗。
The poem was “After Long Silence.” I am a Yeats fan.
这首诗是《长久的沉默之后》。我是叶芝的粉丝。
I love Yeats.
我爱叶芝。
I picked up this poem.
我拿起这首诗。
I looked at it, and I thought, “I’ve no idea what this poem’s about.
我看着它,心想:“我不知道这首诗在讲什么。
It’s trouble.” Then I read it again before the colloquium; I didn’t get anything out of it again.
麻烦了。”然后我在座谈会之前又读了一遍;我又没有从中得到任何东西。
For 90 minutes, we studied it with other faculty members from all different departments.
我们与来自不同院系的其他教员一起研究了 90 分钟。
I got some light, a lot of light, actually.
事实上,我得到了一些光,很多光。
It’s a beautiful poem.
这是一首美丽的诗。
It doesn’t have much rhythm to it.
它没有太多的节奏。
Its rhythm is disjointed.
它的节奏是脱节的。
Some lines are iambic pentameter, some aren’t.
有些诗句是抑扬格五音步,有些则不是。
Assaf said, “This is Yeats.
阿萨夫说:“这是叶芝。
Don’t you think he did that on purpose?
你不觉得他是故意的吗?
You don’t like the rhythm of the poem, maybe you ought to think about whether this is part of the poem.” It was an amazing, glorious experience.
你不喜欢这首诗的节奏,也许你应该考虑一下这是否是这首诗的一部分。”这是一次奇妙而光荣的经历。
That’s my favorite thing about working here — that and going to choir practice with the students here and pretending I can sing.
这是我在这里工作最喜欢的事情——和这里的学生一起练习唱诗班,假装我会唱歌。
I’m looking forward to seeing them tonight.
我期待今晚见到他们。
It’s a cheap ducking of your question, but it’s best I can do, I think.
这是对你问题的廉价回避,但我认为这是我能做的最好的事情。
Russ Roberts, thank you very much.
拉斯·罗伯茨,非常感谢你。
Thank you, Tyler.
谢谢你,泰勒。