Ezra Klein on Media, Politics, and Models of the World (Ep. 13)
I’m here today with Ezra Klein, media entrepreneur, blogger, health care thinker.
今天我和埃兹拉·克莱因 (Ezra Klein) 一起来到这里,他是媒体企业家、博主、医疗保健思想家。
Ezra is the creator of Vox.com, which is one of the most important up-and-coming, and indeed, now established media sites.
Ezra 是 Vox.com 的创建者,Vox.com 是最重要的新兴媒体网站之一,实际上也是目前最成熟的媒体网站之一。
Ezra himself runs a podcast series.
以斯拉本人经营一个播客系列。
He thinks broadly and deeply about everything.
他对一切事情的思考都广泛而深刻。
And I will stress, as I always do, this is the conversation I want to have with Ezra, not the conversation you want to have with Ezra.
我会像往常一样强调,这是我想与以斯拉进行的对话,而不是你想与以斯拉进行的对话。
I like this podcast disclaimer.
我喜欢这个播客免责声明。
I’m going to steal it.
我要去偷它。
On the bias of video and podcasts
关于视频和播客的偏见
Let me start with some questions about media.
让我先问一些有关媒体的问题。
We’ll get to politics, you, and everything else, but different formats in media.
我们会讨论政治、你和其他一切,但媒体的形式不同。
So you can do something in print, you’ve been a blogger, you’ve been involved with periodicals, now you do Vox.
所以你可以在印刷品上做一些事情,你曾经是一名博主,你曾经参与过期刊,现在你在做 Vox。
Vox, to me, seems to be doing more and more video, so let’s start with video.
对我来说,Vox 似乎正在制作越来越多的视频,所以让我们从视频开始吧。
When you use the medium of video, what is the bias in using video in terms of what kind of material, what kind of message?
当您使用视频这一媒介时,使用视频对于什么样的材料、什么样的信息有什么偏见?
How does that slant what any site, but including Vox.com, is going to do and be?
这对任何网站(包括 Vox.com 在内)的未来发展有何影响?
It is much more different than I believed it was let’s say two years ago.
这比我两年前想象的要不同得多。
Before I came to Vox, I used to do a lot of cable news.
在加入 Vox 之前,我曾经做过很多有线电视新闻。
I was a guest host on MSNBC.
我是 MSNBC 的客座主持人。
I came pretty close to taking a show at some point.
在某个时候我非常接近参加一场演出。
You and I spoke during that period.
你和我在那段时间交谈过。
One thing about cable news is it actually isn’t that different than writing.
有线新闻的一件事是它实际上与写作没有什么不同。
You are basically writing a script.
你基本上是在写一个脚本。
There are elements, and there’s visual, but you are really writing a script, and you read it aloud.
有元素,也有视觉效果,但你实际上是在写剧本,然后大声朗读。
At least, I should say the way I did, it worked that way.
至少,我应该说,我所做的就是这样。
When I started Vox, I had the great fortune to hire a guy named Joe Posner who I met at a media conference and struck me from the second I met him as a real video genius.
当我创办 Vox 时,我很幸运地聘请了一个名叫乔·波斯纳 (Joe Posner) 的人,我在一次媒体会议上认识了他,从我见到他的那一刻起,我就被他视为一个真正的视频天才。
The reason Vox’s video is great, and I have no compunction saying it’s great because I don’t have all that much to do with it, is because Joe, and Joss Fong, and the rest of that team, they really think about video as its own form in a very different way than I had before.
Vox 的视频之所以很棒,我毫不内疚地说它很棒,因为我与它没有太多关系,是因为 Joe、Joss Fong 以及该团队的其他成员,他们确实以一种与我以前非常不同的方式将视频视为自己的形式。
We will be talking through stories, and I will come to them with something from the site that did really well.
我们将通过故事进行讨论,我将向他们提供网站上表现非常好的一些内容。
And I’ll say, “Hey, we should make a video out of this.
我会说,“嘿,我们应该用这个制作一个视频。
Look how well it performed on the site.” They’ll say, “Nope.
看看它在网站上的表现有多好。”他们会说:“不。
It’s not a visual topic.”
这不是一个视觉主题。”
In terms of the bias you’re talking about, the overwhelming bias in doing really good video work is stories that are fundamentally visual.
就你所说的偏见而言,制作真正优秀的视频作品的压倒性偏见是基本上是视觉的故事。
A story that is two people talking to each other is not that interesting.
两个人互相交谈的故事并不那么有趣。
I’ll actually give an example from podcasting.
我实际上会举一个播客的例子。
What we are doing right now is not interesting video.
我们现在所做的并不是有趣的视频。
Early on in Vox, one of the first video series we launched was Vox Conversations.
在 Vox 早期,我们推出的第一个视频系列之一是 Vox Conversations。
We had me interviewing people much as I do on my podcast, The Ezra Klein Show.
我们让我采访人们,就像我在播客《埃兹拉·克莱因秀》中所做的那样。
We had me doing long-form interviews with people often for about an hour.
我们让我经常对人们进行大约一个小时的长篇采访。
We put them up, and they never really performed that well.
我们把它们放了上去,但它们的表现从来都没有那么好。
The reason was it just wasn’t fundamentally visual, what we were doing.
原因是我们所做的事情从根本上来说并不是视觉化的。
The thing that I have learned to take much more seriously than I did a year ago, two years ago, is that you actually have to begin by asking the question, “Why is this a good thing to watch,” as opposed to in print, which is, “Why is this story simply interesting?”
我学会了比一年前、两年前更加认真地对待一件事,那就是,你实际上必须首先问一个问题:“为什么这是一部值得观看的好东西”,而不是在印刷品中,即“为什么这个故事很有趣?”
To make this concrete, let’s say news media uses much more video five years from now than it does today.
为了具体说明这一点,我们假设五年后新闻媒体使用的视频比现在多得多。
Let’s say Vox as well.
我们还可以说 Vox。
What would be, say, three issues that people will care more about that they don’t care as much about today?
比如说,人们会更关心但现在不太关心的三个问题是什么?
It’s funny, because I’m usually quick on a question like this.
这很有趣,因为我通常对这样的问题反应很快。
I am trying to think through, “Have we learned that there are topics that work for us in video?” Here’s the answer I think I’ll give you.
我试图思考,“我们是否知道视频中有适合我们的主题?”这是我想给你的答案。
International works better in video.
国际化在视频方面效果更好。
Because of maps, you can show where something is happening?
通过地图,您可以显示正在发生的事情?
Because international stories, it’s maps, it’s visual.
因为国际故事是地图,是视觉的。
Even when you’re showing something fairly mundane in another country, it looks different than it looks here.
即使你在另一个国家展示一些相当平凡的东西,它看起来也与在这里不同。
If you are showing man-on-the-street footage, but that man-on-the-street footage is in Saudi Arabia, it’s actually somewhat visually interesting.
如果您正在展示街头行人的镜头,但该街头行人的镜头是在沙特阿拉伯,那么它实际上在视觉上有点有趣。
It just is interesting to see what it looks like when people in Saudi Arabia are going about their daily lives if you’re from Southern California.
如果你来自南加州,看看沙特阿拉伯人的日常生活是什么样子,真是很有趣。
I do think video has a bit more bias towards international than print.
我确实认为视频比印刷品更偏向于国际化。
I would say — and I’d be curious for your thoughts on this, because I do think underneath this question, you have a theory here — I have not seen a systematic difference yet that has influenced our coverage in the way that I did see it, say, when we moved to social being the distribution mechanism.
我会说 — 我很好奇你对此的想法,因为我确实认为在这个问题的背后,你有一个理论 — 我还没有看到系统性的差异,它以我所看到的方式影响了我们的报道,比如说,当我们转向社会作为分配机制时。
Put much more of a focus on content that front-loaded identity.
更多地关注预先加载身份的内容。
I haven’t seen that yet in video.
我还没在视频中看到过。
Doesn’t mean it isn’t there.
并不意味着它不存在。
I just haven’t found it.
我只是还没找到。
I tend to find video is good for explaining history to people.
我倾向于发现视频有助于向人们解释历史。
Vox had a great Syria video.
Vox 有一段很棒的叙利亚视频。
I’m sure you had a lot to do with that.
我确信你与此有很大关系。
I actually nothing to do with it.
我实际上与此无关。
It was great.
太棒了。
You had a lot to do with it, but the history of an event, it’s easier to get people to care about it.
你与它有很多关系,但是一个事件的历史,更容易让人们关心它。
That’s partly because one makes history more emotional.
部分原因是历史变得更加感人。
I’m always torn a bit by this notion of making history more emotional.
我总是对让历史变得更加情感化的想法感到有点困惑。
You get more people to care about the history, but precisely because it has become emotional to them.
你会让更多的人关心历史,但正是因为历史对他们来说已经变得情绪化。
Maybe what you have taught them, they don’t so easily budge from, because it is so vivid in some way.
也许你教给他们的东西,他们不会轻易改变,因为它在某种程度上是如此生动。
Let me give a different spin on why I think history is working in Vox videos.
让我从不同的角度解释为什么我认为历史在 Vox 视频中起作用。
One thing that is going to be very different is web video or streaming video, versus traditional, what is called — in one of the worst terms of art I’ve come across — linear video, so television.
与传统视频相比,网络视频或流媒体视频将非常不同,即所谓的“——用我遇到过的最糟糕的艺术术语之一来说”——“线性视频,所以电视。
I do think this is going to both subtly and importantly change editorial.
我确实认为这将微妙而重要地改变社论。
When you’re creating a Netflix series, or you’re creating a YouTube channel, you are creating a kind of video that you expect to persist.
当您创建 Netflix 系列节目或创建 YouTube 频道时,您正在创建一种希望持续存在的视频。
People are going to come back to it, and they’re going to come back it, and they’re going to come back to it.
人们将会回到它,他们将会回到它,他们将会回到它。
You brought up the Syria video that was a huge hit for Vox.
你提到了在 Vox 中大受欢迎的叙利亚视频。
I don’t have the numbers in front of me, but I want to say it was watched 50, 60 million times.
我没有具体数字,但我想说的是它的观看次数有 50、6000 万次。
Its major rise actually came a couple months after we first posted it, and not through anything we did, it just somehow got rediscovered during a secondary wave of fighting and news coverage of Syria, and it exploded.
它的大幅增长实际上是在我们首次发布它的几个月后发生的,并不是通过我们所做的任何事情,它只是在叙利亚的第二波战斗和新闻报道中以某种方式被重新发现,然后它就爆炸了。
The reason this is important is when you’re looking at cable news, or a lot of forbearer news content that disappeared as soon as it was put on, there the competition became about having the newest thing, the thing that other people didn’t have, much like traditional news does.
这一点很重要的原因是,当你查看有线电视新闻或许多一播出就消失的早期新闻内容时,竞争就变成了拥有最新的东西,其他人没有的东西,就像传统新闻一样。
If you are trying to create things that are going to be continuously relevant three months from now, eight months from now, a year from now, five years from now, putting more emphasis on the history of a conflict like in Syria, is going to give you a better chance of having something that can be profitably rediscovered going forward.
如果你试图创造出在三个月后、八个月后、一年后、五年后持续相关的东西,那么更加强调像叙利亚这样的冲突的历史,将会给你一个更好的机会,让你有更好的机会在未来重新发现一些可以盈利的东西。
So in some strange way the original Vox vision of the card stack actually has been realized through video?
那么,以某种奇怪的方式,Vox 最初的卡堆愿景实际上已经通过视频实现了?
It’s been realized in a lot of places.
已经在很多地方实现了。
It’s true in our text work too.
在我们的文字工作中也是如此。
One reason that our explainers focus on context is it makes them very easy to reuse going forward.
我们的解释者关注上下文的原因之一是它使它们很容易在未来重用。
If you were thinking editorially about how to make things persistent as opposed to accepting their ephemerality, you focus much more on more subterranean contextual information that you don’t believe will change quickly.
如果你在编辑上思考如何使事物持久而不是接受它们的短暂性,那么你会更多地关注你认为不会很快改变的更隐秘的上下文信息。
And history is a good example of that.
历史就是一个很好的例子。
Let’s say there’s a bunch of different political views.
假设有很多不同的政治观点。
There’s conservatives, modern liberals, progressives, libertarians, Trumpistas, however you draw that universe.
有保守派、现代自由派、进步派、自由主义者、特朗普主义者,无论你如何描绘这个宇宙。
If you had to think the medium of video overall, which of those views is A, helped the most, and B, hurt the most, and why?
如果您必须从整体上考虑视频媒体,那么哪些观点是 A、帮助最大,而 B、伤害最大,为什么?
Not just by Vox video, but by video in general, the video way of thinking.
不仅仅是通过 Vox 视频,而是通过一般视频、视频思维方式。
I just am not sure yet.
我只是还不确定。
I do not know.
我不知道。
I don’t know.
我不知道。
I could probably come up with a bad theory on the spot here, but I’m not sure.
我可能会当场想出一个糟糕的理论,但我不确定。
I want to see — I am not aware of sites with different ideological leanings showing dramatically different outcomes in video.
我想看到 —— 我不知道具有不同意识形态倾向的网站在视频中显示出截然不同的结果。
I’d want to see that.
我想看看。
But through some subtle way the video seems to matter.
但通过某种微妙的方式,视频似乎很重要。
I was just in the Faroe Islands, which is a great trip by the way, but one thing they do in the Faroe Islands is they wade out in the water with their long boots, and they club a bunch of whales to death.
我刚刚去了法罗群岛,顺便说一句,这是一次很棒的旅行,但他们在法罗群岛做的一件事就是穿着长靴涉水,用棍棒打死一群鲸鱼。
The world didn’t pay any notice to this, but then at one point this was caught on video, and then it went viral, and now there are massive protests, online protests, over what happens in the Faroe Islands with the whales.
全世界都没有注意到这一点,但后来这件事被视频拍了下来,然后它就疯传了,现在针对法罗群岛鲸鱼发生的事情,出现了大规模的抗议、网上抗议。
You wouldn’t quite call that a political ideology, but maybe known, identifiable victims get a larger voice in some way, even if those victims otherwise — literally, like the whales — have no voice whatsoever.
你不会完全称其为政治意识形态,但也许已知的、可识别的受害者以某种方式获得了更大的发言权,即使这些受害者在其他方面——“字面上,就像鲸鱼一样”——没有任何发言权。
I sometimes tend to think it’s a kind of progressivism which is favored, but there’s another part of me which thinks about libertarian arguments — the seen versus the unseen, the invisible opportunity cost.
我有时倾向于认为这是一种受到青睐的进步主义,但我的另一部分思考自由主义的论点——可见与不可见、看不见的机会成本。
That very easily gets lost in print, because you’ve got to cite some boring cost-benefit study, but there are ways to show secondary consequences in the narrative of a video that typically would fail on a newspaper page.
这很容易在印刷品中丢失,因为你必须引用一些无聊的成本效益研究,但是有一些方法可以在视频叙述中显示次要后果,而这些后果通常不会出现在报纸上。
I think you’re actually somewhat mistaken about the underlying mechanism.
我认为你实际上对底层机制有些误解。
The big change from 10 years ago, 15 years ago, in the story you just gave wasn’t really video, it was the possibility of virality.
与 10 年前、15 年前相比,你刚才给出的故事中的巨大变化并不是真正的视频,而是病毒式传播的可能性。
OK, sure.
好的,当然。
The kind of story you just described —
你刚才描述的那种故事——
But it has to be video for people to share it.
但它必须是视频才能让人们分享。
I think that one in particularly probably is better in video; it’s vivid to see somebody clubbing a whale to death, I assume — I haven’t seen this video.
我认为尤其是在视频方面可能更好;看到有人用棍子打死鲸鱼是很生动的,我想 —— 我还没看过这个视频。
My guess is that in terms of making that matter, the distribution mechanism mattered much more there.
我的猜测是,就此事而言,分配机制更为重要。
When you’re talking about victims, you can find victims from any ideology.
当你谈论受害者时,你可以找到任何意识形态的受害者。
There would have been a time on the Internet when you’d have said that Upworthy proved — potentially — that a certain kind of soft, cultural progressivism was going to be dominant online.
曾经有一段时间,在互联网上,你可能会说,Upworthy 证明了————有可能————某种软性的、文化进步主义将在网络上占据主导地位。
Then I think we’ve seen sites like Breitbart and IJR, Independent Journal Review, were able to take a form of soft-to-hard cultural conservatism and using almost the exact same techniques send those super-viral as well.
然后我认为我们已经看到像 Breitbart 和 IJR(独立期刊评论)这样的网站能够采取一种从软到硬的文化保守主义形式,并使用几乎完全相同的技术来传播这些超级病毒。
If you look at these two kinds of content, you find different victims.
如果你查看这两种内容,你会发现不同的受害者。
With Upworthy it is a young LGBT kid who’s been bullied at school.
《Upworthy》讲述的是一名在学校受到欺凌的 LGBT 孩子。
With IJR you’ll see an elderly grandmother who is victimized for her Christianity.
在 IJR 中,您会看到一位因基督教而受害的年迈祖母。
But that they’re both victims still to me seems striking.
但对我来说,他们仍然是受害者,这似乎令人震惊。
I agree with that, but I think both those can be video or text, but what is mattering is you’re using outrage people have because of shared identity to send something viral through a sharing mechanism.
我同意这一点,但我认为这两者都可以是视频或文本,但重要的是你利用人们因共享身份而产生的愤怒,通过共享机制发送病毒式传播的内容。
That is the real mechanism there, much more so than video to text is the difference.
这就是真正的机制,比视频到文本的区别更大。
Let’s say that virtual reality works or takes off, it doesn’t—
假设虚拟现实有效或成功,但事实并非如此——
Oh, I think it’s definitely going to work.
哦,我想这肯定会成功的。
COWEN: I have no particular opinion, but how will that shape which ideas succeed in the news media and which do not?
COWEN:我没有特别的意见,但这将如何影响哪些想法在新闻媒体上成功,哪些不成功?
What will that slant or bias be?
这种倾向或偏见是什么?
I am a long ways from being a believer that virtual reality is going to upend the news media in the near term.
我距离相信虚拟现实将在短期内颠覆新闻媒体还有很长的路要走。
In my view, VR and AR will clearly be how we consume content, and — more to the point — how we communicate 20, 30 years from now.
在我看来,VR 和 AR 显然将成为我们消费内容的方式,以及 20、30 年后我们交流的方式。
Let’s talk about that time horizon.
我们来谈谈那个时间范围。
What’s your best guess?
你最好的猜测是什么?
You’ve thought more about different media and worked in more different media than almost anyone right now.
您现在比几乎任何人都更多地思考不同的媒体并在更多不同的媒体上工作。
So a couple things.
有几件事。
One, by the way and I think this is true also for video, we haven’t talked really about this.
一,顺便说一句,我认为视频也是如此,我们还没有真正讨论过这一点。
One thing the move towards video being a big part of a successful media organization does, and VR will probably push us even further, is you’re seeing rising advantages to incumbency and capital again.
视频成为成功媒体组织的重要组成部分所带来的一件事是,你会再次看到现有地位和资本的优势不断增强,而虚拟现实可能会推动我们走得更远。
Blogs, which I was part of and a big beneficiary of, for a moment you really did flatten things out.
博客,我是博客的一部分,也是其中的一个大受益者,有那么一刻,你确实把事情变得扁平化了。
It was really easy to publish at a pretty flat rate online.
以相当统一的价格在线发布确实很容易。
Doing good video: it just costs more money, it takes more time.
制作好的视频:它只是花费更多的钱,需要更多的时间。
Doing good animation: it costs more money, it takes more time.
制作好的动画:需要更多的钱,需要更多的时间。
We have substantially lowered the level of investment needed to do it well, but it is still very different than it is in text.
我们已经大幅降低了做好这件事所需的投资水平,但它仍然与文本中的有很大不同。
VR and AR, from what I know of those — and again this will all get cheaper over time — my sense there too is you’re going to have a pretty big advantage for organizations able to afford what are increasingly real studios, which the New York Times did not have to have a studio in 1996.
VR 和 AR,据我所知 ——随着时间的推移,这些都会变得更便宜 ——我的感觉是,对于那些能够负担得起越来越真实的工作室的组织来说,你将拥有相当大的优势,而《纽约时报》在 1996 年是不需要有工作室的。
And then when I was trying to in some way compete with a New York Times op-ed column as a blogger — which is not how I saw it, but I think in some way what was going on — everything was flattening there.
然后,当我试图以某种方式与《纽约时报》的专栏作家竞争时, ——这不是我的看法,但我认为在某种程度上正在发生的事情 —— 那里的一切都在扁平化。
Absolutely, sure.
绝对,当然。
I did not need much up-front investment, capital, to do it.
我不需要太多的前期投资、资本就能做到这一点。
That I think matters.
我认为这很重要。
In terms of how it will change coverage priorities — oof.
就它将如何改变覆盖优先级 — oof而言。
We are so far from even having an idea of what will work in VR beyond gaming and porn — and I, by the way, don’t mean that in a dismissive way — that I just wouldn’t know how to speculate yet.
我们还远远不知道除了游戏和色情之外还有哪些东西可以在 VR 中发挥作用 ——顺便说一句,我并不是说以轻蔑的方式 —— 我只是还不知道如何推测。
We are so far from even having an idea of what will work in VR beyond gaming and porn — and I, by the way, don’t mean that in a dismissive way — that I just wouldn’t know how to speculate yet.
我们还远远不知道除了游戏和色情之外还有哪些东西可以在 VR 中发挥作用 ——顺便说一句,我并不是说以轻蔑的方式 —— 我只是还不知道如何推测。
I wonder if the news won’t have to become much happier?
不知道这个消息是不是一定要变得更加令人高兴呢?
Because right now, especially with TV news, there’s a kind of negative bias.
因为现在,尤其是电视新闻,存在一种负面偏见。
No one has a story on the home that wasn’t broken into today, or that terror attacks didn’t happen at all.
没有人有关于今天家里没有被闯过的故事,或者恐怖袭击根本没有发生过。
It has to get far enough to be covered, so good news is played down.
它必须传播得足够远才能被覆盖,因此好消息被淡化了。
People think crime rates are higher than they are because it’s reported a lot, but if presentation becomes that vivid, it may just be people are so put off by the actual worst news, they may want a kind of soft-pedaled — almost like the kittens on the Internet — they’ll want everything to be gentle and pleasant.
人们认为犯罪率比实际情况高是因为报道太多,但如果表述变得那么生动,可能只是人们对实际最坏的消息感到如此推迟,他们可能想要一种温和的态度——就像互联网上的小猫一样——他们会希望一切都温柔而愉快。
I don’t buy it.
我不买。
I definitely don’t buy that it would make news happier.
我绝对不相信这会让新闻更令人高兴。
If it did anything, it would lead to more substitution against news.
如果它能起到什么作用,就会导致更多的新闻替代。
I could imagine that what a VR-AR world does, is it makes it much more attractive to play the successor to Call of Duty in the VR world, than to read Vox.com or the New York Times, or whatever else.
我可以想象,VR-AR 世界的作用是,在 VR 世界中玩《使命召唤》的继任者比阅读 Vox.com 或《纽约时报》或其他任何内容更具吸引力。
But of the news we have, in percentage terms, don’t you think it has to become nicer?
但就我们掌握的新闻而言,您不认为它必须变得更好吗?
Like most people will not go see horror movies, and those are not even virtual reality.
就像大多数人不会去看恐怖电影一样,那些甚至都不是虚拟现实。
It’s too scary, I won’t see most horror movies.
太恐怖了,大多数恐怖片我都不会看。
I won’t see any horror movies.
我不会看任何恐怖电影。
My wife has a “no chickens” movie club that is mostly a “no Ezras” movie club, where they see horror movies.
我妻子有一个“禁止鸡”电影俱乐部,主要是一个“禁止以斯拉”电影俱乐部,他们在那里看恐怖电影。
COWEN: So if the news is in virtual reality, you won’t watch certain things if you won’t see a horror movie.
COWEN:所以如果新闻是在虚拟现实中,如果你不看恐怖电影,你就不会看某些东西。
It’s funny, because my bias on this probably goes the other direction.
这很有趣,因为我对此的偏见可能是相反的。
When I watch most media, I am surprised by the discomfort people seem to seek out.
当我观看大多数媒体时,我对人们似乎寻求的不适感到惊讶。
I am a fan of the part of movies before anything goes wrong.
在出现任何问题之前,我是电影部分的粉丝。
I really enjoy that first 25 minutes before any kind of conflict emerges in the plot.
我真的很喜欢情节中出现任何冲突之前的前 25 分钟。
And I continuously wish that movies would just sort of let me hang out in that happy universe for a longer period of time.
我一直希望电影能让我在那个快乐的宇宙中待更长时间。
When I watch any show recommended by anyone I know, including you, even if the show is putatively a cheery, happy show, the level of discomfort that people seem to want to endure of awkwardness, of conflict, is much higher than where I am.
当我观看我认识的人(包括你)推荐的任何节目时,即使该节目被认为是一部欢快、快乐的节目,人们似乎想要忍受尴尬、冲突的不适程度也比我所在的地方高得多。
Cable news is another good example.
有线电视新闻是另一个很好的例子。
I do not have the constitution to wake up and watch people yell at each other about politics.
我没有资格一觉醒来就看到人们因政治问题互相大喊大叫。
I don’t know where people get that capability, but I very much don’t have it.
我不知道人们从哪里获得这种能力,但我非常没有。
My lesson from this I think is in some ways the opposite of yours.
我认为我从中得到的教训在某些方面与你的相反。
People are attracted to a much higher level of conflict than I completely understand, and my sense is that will remain true in a VR-AR world.
人们被比我完全理解的更高层次的冲突所吸引,我的感觉是,在 VR-AR 世界中,这一点仍然如此。
I don’t really see a reason to believe that would change.
我实在看不出有什么理由相信这种情况会改变。
So now I could see something that would say there will be a bias against particularly gruesome stories, that there will not be a sharp uptick in people wanting to experience what things are like in Aleppo in a VR-AR world.
所以现在我可以看到,人们对特别可怕的故事会有偏见,想要在 VR-AR 世界中体验阿勒颇的人们不会急剧增加。
But I don’t think that moves towards kittens and feel-good stories of happy events.
但我不认为这会导致小猫和快乐事件的美好故事。
I think you probably have a lot of what I would think of as sort of where news is now — a lot of conflict but conflict in a space of discomfort, conflict in a space of safe outrage, conflict in a space of you think you’re right and the other person is wrong, not necessarily a move towards actual cheeriness.
我想你可能有很多我所认为的新闻现在的情况——很多冲突,但冲突是在不舒服的空间中,冲突在安全的愤怒空间中,冲突在你认为自己是对的而另一个人是错的空间中,不一定是走向真正的快乐。
People seem to like cheeriness a lot less than I would think they would.
人们似乎比我想象的更不喜欢快乐。
Let’s take podcasts.
让我们以播客为例。
In your talk with Malcolm Gladwell, you each discussed how it can be hard to use numbers in podcasts, and I agree with that.
在您与马尔科姆·格拉德威尔的谈话中,你们每个人都讨论了在播客中使用数字是多么困难,我同意这一点。
But in terms of which issues are favored, as podcasts become more and more important, what does this skew our attention towards?
但就哪些问题受到青睐而言,随着播客变得越来越重要,这将我们的注意力转向了什么?
It skews our attention towards speculation.
它使我们的注意力转向猜测。
Speculation.
猜测。
One of the things about podcasts that I really enjoy about it, is that it has a very rambling — at least at this point in the format’s evolution — there’s much more of a rambling, looping, bullshitting quality to it.
我真正喜欢播客的一点是,它有一种非常漫无目的的 ——至少在格式演变的这个阶段—— 它有更多的漫无目的、循环、废话的品质。
You are able in a podcast to talk about something where you may not be right in a way that people are, I find, much harder on you in print for doing.
你可以在播客中谈论一些你可能不正确的事情,但我发现,人们在印刷品上对你的要求要严格得多。
One of the things about podcasts that I really enjoy about it, is that it has a very rambling — at least at this point in the format’s evolution — there’s much more of a rambling, looping, bullshitting quality to it.
我真正喜欢播客的一点是,它有一种非常漫无目的的 ——至少在格式演变的这个阶段—— 它有更多的漫无目的、循环、废话的品质。
You are able in a podcast to talk about something where you may not be right in a way that people are, I find, much harder on you in print for doing.
你可以在播客中谈论一些你可能不正确的事情,但我发现,人们在印刷品上对你的要求要严格得多。
Something that I find is true in the discussions I hear on podcasts, is they are much more personal — including newsmakers, by the way.
我在播客上听到的讨论中发现的一点是真实的,那就是它们更加个人化——顺便说一句,包括新闻人物。
The conversation that I had with Malcolm Gladwell, or even the conversation I had with Cory Booker, ended up focusing quite heavily on the senator’s spirituality.
我与马尔科姆·格拉德威尔的谈话,甚至是我与科里·布克的谈话,最终都集中在这位参议员的灵性上。
Which I think if I had been creating that conversation for print, I would have felt embarrassed or strange ending up that personal, but podcasting, because of the way people listen to it as a secondary activity, almost as a conversation they are part of, without having to participate in while they’re doing something else.
我认为,如果我一直在为印刷品创建这样的对话,我会感到尴尬或奇怪,最终以个人的方式结束播客,因为人们将其作为次要活动来听,几乎作为他们参与的对话的一部分,而不必在他们做其他事情时参与。
I often think of podcasting as if you’re walking around with your friends, but you just don’t have any actual friends there.
我经常认为播客就好像你和朋友一起散步,但那里没有任何真正的朋友。
That is moving towards much more personal topics, a much more intimate set of ideas, and away from harder, crisper, more concrete presentations of what we already know.
这正在朝着更加个人化的话题、更加亲密的想法发展,而不再是对我们已知的内容进行更难、更清晰、更具体的表述。
On attitudes towards business and leadership
关于对商业和领导力的态度
Let me ask you some questions about CEOs and leadership.
让我问你一些关于首席执行官和领导力的问题。
When you look at the data on the corporate world, there’s a lot of evidence that CEOs today, they’re much more likely to be generalists, and to be able to switch from one sector to another.
当你查看企业界的数据时,有大量证据表明,当今的首席执行官更有可能成为多面手,并且能够从一个行业转向另一个行业。
They’re less likely to be people who came up through the ranks, like producing ball bearings, or running a coal mine, or an oil refinery.
他们不太可能是通过晋升的人,比如生产滚珠轴承、经营煤矿或炼油厂的人。
That’s pretty well established.
这是非常确定的。
Do you think that’s true in media, and also, what would you say is exactly your skill that makes you the CEO of the part of Vox you run?
你认为这在媒体领域是真的吗?而且,你认为正是你的技能使你成为了你所管理的 Vox 部门的首席执行官?
I should say technically, I’m not the CEO of Vox.
我应该说,从技术上讲,我不是 Vox 的首席执行官。
That is Jim Bankoff.
那是吉姆·班考夫。
Sure, but of Vox.com.
当然可以,但是是 Vox.com 的。
You’re the editor-in-chief.
你是主编。
Why do I run Vox?
我为什么要运行 Vox?
To the question of what I’m good at versus — well, let me try to do the CEO question first, and then I’ll try to get into what I’m maybe good at or not good at.
对于“我擅长什么”和“我擅长什么”的问题——好吧,让我先尝试回答首席执行官的问题,然后我会尝试探讨我可能擅长或不擅长的事情。
I think we are — and you’ve talked about this on your site before — we are becoming much more polarized and unequal along political as well as nonpolitical dimensions.
我认为我们是 — 你之前在自己的网站上讨论过这一点 — 我们在政治和非政治方面正变得更加两极分化和不平等。
We are getting much more effective, and to some degree, more discriminatory around the signaling around those things.
我们在围绕这些事情发出的信号方面变得更加有效,并且在某种程度上也更加具有歧视性。
The idea of who a CEO is, and what a CEO is, is more sharply defined in a way that is probably not good, than it was 50 years ago.
与 50 年前相比,关于 CEO 是谁以及 CEO 是什么的概念现在有了更明确的定义,但这种方式可能不太好。
That’s a fair bit of it, we have professionalized the management class.
就这样,我们已经使管理阶层专业化了。
There has become a set of signifiers that are more often, first, you learn as a CEO.
首先,作为首席执行官,你首先需要学习一组能指。
It’s one reason you’re actually able to do that kind of lateral movement, because part of what is being selected for is this, “Do you seem like a CEO?
这是你实际上能够进行这种横向调动的原因之一,因为被选中的部分原因是,“你看起来像首席执行官吗?
Do you know how to work the CEO circuit?
你知道CEO巡回赛如何运作吗?
Do you know other CEOs?”
你还认识其他首席执行官吗?”
It has become a job unto itself.
它本身已经成为一项工作。
The signaling around it, a job and a set of skills unto themselves.
围绕它的信号、一份工作和一套技能本身。
Those things are not taught in the same way coming up the ranks.
这些东西在晋升过程中不会以同样的方式教授。
I’ve been very struck after I moved to running Vox, because now, particularly in my first year, I went to a bunch of these conferences, and I met more of these people.
在我开始运营 Vox 后,我感到非常震惊,因为现在,特别是在我的第一年,我参加了很多这样的会议,并且遇到了更多这样的人。
I just got a bit more of a sense of this, and how much it’s a language, and how much it’s a culture, and how much it’s a social scene of these people who see each other at the same conferences.
我只是对这一点有了更多的认识,它在多大程度上是一种语言,在多大程度上是一种文化,在多大程度上是这些在同一会议上见面的人们的社交场景。
It’s a real circuit.
这是一个真实的电路。
That’s consistent with these generalist skills.
这与这些通才技能是一致的。
You have to be a CEO, no matter how much you know about ball bearings or making shoe heels.
无论您对滚珠轴承或鞋跟制造了解多少,您都必须成为首席执行官。
You can have a lot of subject-specific knowledge, but if you are not presenting a certain way, there is probably a widening penalty to that, in a way, again, that I think is probably negative.
你可以拥有很多特定学科的知识,但如果你不以某种方式呈现,可能会受到更大的惩罚,在某种程度上,我认为这可能是负面的。
I am not persuaded it’s good that we have more generalist CEOs.
我并不认为我们拥有更多通才型首席执行官是件好事。
It’s probably inevitable.
这可能是不可避免的。
You have to deal with government.
你必须与政府打交道。
You have to deal with the media, social media.
你必须与媒体、社交媒体打交道。
You may need to raise funds in some way for your business.
您可能需要以某种方式为您的企业筹集资金。
Do you — ?
你 - ?
Someone has to.
必须有人这么做。
Somebody needs to deal with government, but I’m not sure that every company has so much government entanglement.
有人需要与政府打交道,但我不确定每家公司都与政府有如此多的纠葛。
I’m not sure that every CEO should be dealing that much with social media.
我不确定每位首席执行官都应该与社交媒体打交道。
I do know at the same time there are —
我确实知道同时还有——
The people who report to you are dealing with it.
向你汇报的人正在处理这件事。
If you’re a CEO, you may not be doing it, but you need to digest their reports, and ask them the right questions.
如果你是首席执行官,你可能不会这样做,但你需要消化他们的报告,并向他们提出正确的问题。
In that sense, there’s like seven or eight major areas that a CEO has to know really very well today.
从这个意义上说,当今首席执行官必须非常了解七八个主要领域。
I buy that.
我买那个。
Probably the other piece of it is that, particularly when — we’re maybe using a bit of an idealized example, in terms of ball bearings — but now if you’re a CEO of an American firm that does a lot of ball-bearing manufacturing, the likelihood that your ball-bearing manufacturing is done in America is probably pretty low.
另一件事可能是,特别是当 ——我们可能使用了一个理想化的例子,就滚珠轴承而言—— 但现在,如果你是一家从事大量滚珠轴承制造的美国公司的首席执行官,那么你的滚珠轴承制造在美国完成的可能性可能相当低。
You need to know the global economy.
您需要了解全球经济。
You need to know tech, right?
你需要了解技术,对吧?
You need to know the global economy.
您需要了解全球经济。
I remember a piece from Justin Fox, who’s a writer at Bloomberg View now.
我记得贾斯汀·福克斯(Justin Fox)的一篇文章,他现在是彭博社的一名作家。
I believe it was by him.
我相信这是他做的。
If it’s not, I apologize.
如果不是,我深表歉意。
He talked about how he was told by a CEO that a key skill for a CEO of a multinational firm is actually the ability to get restful sleep on an international plane flight.
他谈到一位首席执行官告诉他,跨国公司首席执行官的一项关键技能实际上是能够在国际航班上获得安宁的睡眠。
I had never thought of that, and you don’t think of that as a CEO skill, but it makes perfect sense.
我从来没有想过这一点,你也不认为这是首席执行官的技能,但它是完全有道理的。
And it’s not something that would have been selected for before.
这不是以前会选择的事情。
I would want to see something more systematic about what skills CEOs really end up using, and what the bulk of companies need, before I totally bought into the thesis.
在我完全接受这篇论文之前,我希望更系统地了解首席执行官最终真正使用哪些技能,以及大多数公司需要什么。
I’m not saying it’s impossible, by any means.
无论如何,我并不是说这是不可能的。
There’s a big debate on executive pay.
关于高管薪酬存在很大争议。
Are CEOs underpaid, in your opinion?
您认为首席执行官的薪酬是否过低?
Not you, the other CEOs.
不是你,而是其他首席执行官。
No, I don’t believe CEOs are underpaid.
不,我不认为首席执行官的薪酬过低。
You don’t believe CEOs are underpaid?
您不认为首席执行官的薪酬过低吗?
I recognize that within the debate there is good evidence that, in a pure market way, that the returns on having a really high-quality CEO are positive, and that given where we are now, it is rational for individual firms to be paying more and more and more to try to get these star CEOs.
我认识到,在这场辩论中,有充分的证据表明,从纯粹的市场角度来看,拥有一位真正高素质的首席执行官的回报是积极的,而且考虑到我们现在的处境,个别公司为获得这些明星首席执行官而支付越来越多的费用是合理的。
I am not saying that individual firms are overpaying.
我并不是说个别公司支付过高的费用。
What I am saying is that it is, by the same token, pretty clear that the compensation game has become fundamentally point scoring, that it really isn’t about the money.
我想说的是,出于同样的原因,很明显,薪酬游戏已经从根本上变成了得分,它实际上与金钱无关。
I don’t think anybody thinks that the kinds of pay increases we’re seeing amongst CEOs is coming from the cost of feeding a CEO’s family having risen really sharply in recent decades.
我认为没有人认为我们在首席执行官中看到的薪资增长是由于近几十年来首席执行官家庭的伙食成本急剧上升。
What you would want is something that begins to tamp down on the collective action issue of every CEO needing to be paid more than every other CEO simply in order to prove they’re a good CEO, because it’s become a status symbol.
你想要的是开始解决集体行动问题,即每位首席执行官需要比其他首席执行官获得更多的报酬,只是为了证明他们是一名优秀的首席执行官,因为它已经成为一种地位的象征。
There’s a story I love from Walter Isaacson’s book on Steve Jobs.
沃尔特·艾萨克森(Walter Isaacson)关于史蒂夫·乔布斯(Steve Jobs)的书中有一个我喜欢的故事。
He talks about how for years and years and years after he came back to Apple, Jobs took only a dollar a year.
他谈到,在他回到苹果公司后的很多年里,乔布斯每年只拿一美元。
The board, for years, was saying to him, “Come on.
多年来,董事会一直对他说:“加油。
Take a salary.
拿工资。
You’re doing a great job.
你做得很好。
You’re building a great company.
您正在建立一家伟大的公司。
Take a salary.”
拿工资。”
He wasn’t, and he wasn’t, and he wasn’t.
他不是,他不是,他不是。
One day, he did.
有一天,他做到了。
He said, “Listen, I think we’ve done the turnaround.
他说:“听着,我认为我们已经完成了转变。
It’s time for me to begin taking a salary.” They said, “Great,” and they came to him with what they thought was a really generous package.
我是时候开始领薪水了。”他们说:“太好了”,然后他们带着他们认为非常慷慨的包裹来找他。
He told them to screw off and demanded something that was stratospheric.
他让他们滚蛋,并提出了一些天价的要求。
The point for him was not the money.
对他来说,重点不是钱。
He had been taking a dollar a year.
他每年拿一美元。
The point for him was that if he was going to get paid, that pay was going to reflect that he was better than every other CEO in the world.
对他来说,重点是,如果他要获得报酬,那么报酬将反映出他比世界上所有其他首席执行官都更好。
That’s a very good argument for highly graduated marginal tax rates that would make that kind of thing a lot less useful for anyone.
对于高度累进的边际税率来说,这是一个很好的论据,它会让这种事情对任何人都没有多大用处。
Getting back to you, you haven’t told us, what’s your key skill that makes you well suited for a leadership position, as you understand it?
回到您身上,您还没有告诉我们,据您了解,您认为非常适合领导职位的关键技能是什么?
The set of things I’m good at doing — in terms of just coming up with ideas and creating content, I’ve been pretty good throughout my career, and hopefully continue to be, at seeing where the next thing is in media and what are the set of skills that you’re going to need to combine to get there.
我擅长做的事情 ——就提出想法和创作内容而言,我在整个职业生涯中都表现得相当出色,并且希望能继续如此,了解媒体领域的下一个趋势,以及实现这一目标需要结合哪些技能。
From blogging, and I think I was reasonably early on in figuring out how to merge a lot of new blogging with traditional journalism skills at the American Prospect.
从博客开始,我认为我很早就想出了如何将美国展望的许多新博客与传统新闻技能融合起来。
Brought that to the Washington Post and was able to figure out a way to build something out of that there.
把它带到了《华盛顿邮报》,并找到了一种方法来从中构建一些东西。
Saw some things in TV that you could probably do, taking some of the ethos of blogging, and what we were beginning to see, and what the audience was responding to, and taking that to cable news.
在电视上看到一些你可能可以做的事情,借鉴博客的一些精神,以及我们开始看到的内容,以及观众的反应,并将其带到有线电视新闻中。
I have been reasonably good at steering a course through a pretty rapidly changing media landscape.
我相当擅长在瞬息万变的媒体环境中引导方向。
I don’t disagree, but it’s not somehow meta enough for what I’m asking.
我并不反对,但对于我的要求来说,它还不够元。
The Ezra Klein, what’s the thing about the Ezra Klein?
以斯拉·克莱因 (Ezra Klein),以斯拉·克莱因 (Ezra Klein) 到底是怎么回事?
I would say your key skill is self-learning.
我想说你的关键技能是自学。
You’ve talked yourself about how as a student in school you were “at best, indifferent,” I think were your words.
你曾说过,作为一名学生,你在学校时“充其量是冷漠”,我想这就是你的话。
You’ve learned all these things on your own.
所有这些东西都是你自己学会的。
You’re a very good self-learner.
你是一个非常好的自学者。
Maybe that’s the key meta skill that makes this work in the leadership position, or no?
也许这就是让这项工作处于领导地位的关键元技能,或者不是?
Maybe.
或许。
Constant anxiety would be another possibility.
持续的焦虑是另一种可能性。
It is a surprise to me that I turned out to be — and I guess you’d actually have to ask my team if this is true — a pretty good manager of people.
让我惊讶的是,我竟然成为了一位非常优秀的员工经理,而且我想你实际上必须问问我的团队这是否属实。
That came reasonably naturally.
这是很自然的事。
The thing that I think I’m good at doing as a manager is understanding what the folks working with me are actually doing, and so getting a sense of what they actually need.
我认为作为一名经理,我擅长做的事情是了解与我一起工作的人实际上在做什么,从而了解他们真正需要什么。
The way I tend to work with people is by trying to figure out what the project is and what their broad project is.
我倾向于与人们合作的方式是试图弄清楚项目是什么以及他们的广泛项目是什么。
I don’t mean literally what their task is right now, but what is their project at my organization?
我并不是说他们现在的任务是什么,而是他们在我的组织中的项目是什么?
What are they trying to do over the course of a year?
他们在这一年里想做什么?
Then figuring out how to support in that.
然后弄清楚如何提供支持。
Compared to other people I know — and this is feedback I’ve gotten — I’m pretty good at figuring out how people understand the work they are doing, and then how I can support them in that.
与我认识的其他人相比 — 这是我得到的反馈 — 我非常擅长弄清楚人们如何理解他们正在做的工作,然后我如何支持他们。
The other thing that I think I’m not bad at is having a pretty clear idea that I’m able to communicate of where we’re going.
我认为我不擅长的另一件事是有一个非常清晰的想法,我能够传达我们要去的地方。
I didn’t think this was going to be a huge issue.
我不认为这会是一个大问题。
I didn’t think a lot about branding when we started Vox.
当我们创办 Vox 时,我并没有对品牌考虑太多。
In fact, I thought media brands were probably becoming less important as content disaggregated and moved around socially.
事实上,我认为随着内容的分解和社交传播,媒体品牌可能变得不那么重要了。
It turned out they were getting more important, and that along the way, we were able to define a pretty clear one.
事实证明它们变得越来越重要,而且一路走来,我们能够定义一个非常清晰的概念。
Something that I’m pretty good at doing is defining that, and hopefully holding to that, and communicating that.
我非常擅长做的事情就是定义这一点,并希望坚持这一点,并传达这一点。
Definitely leadership and CEOing is something that I am learning as I’m going along.
毫无疑问,领导力和首席执行官管理是我在工作中不断学习的东西。
It might be hard for me to get the perspective to say what I am good at or not good at from a meta level on that.
我可能很难从元层面上看出我擅长或不擅长什么。
What’s your best time management tip?
你最好的时间管理技巧是什么?
To-do listing.
待办事项列表。
The thing that honestly decides whether or not I have a good, effective day, where I feel like I got things, or whether I just wasted a bunch of time, was whether in the morning, I wrote down what I thought I had to get done that day, and throughout the day, was rigorous about putting the little tasks that come up onto that same list and then checking them off.
诚实地决定我是否度过了美好、有效的一天,我是否觉得自己得到了一些东西,或者我是否只是浪费了很多时间,是在早上,我是否写下了我认为当天必须完成的事情,并且在这一天中,严格地将出现的小任务放在同一个清单上,然后将其核对掉。
I keep that list going, and I keep it updated, and I keep referring back to it, I am able to be pretty efficient.
我会保留这份清单,不断更新它,并不断回顾它,我能够非常高效。
If I don’t, I get lost and overwhelmed and anxious.
如果我不这样做,我就会迷失、不知所措和焦虑。
I don’t find the big tasks to be the hard thing there.
我不认为重大任务是困难的事情。
The thing that is really hard to do is the tasks that take between 3 and 15 or 20 minutes.
真正难做的是需要 3 到 15 或 20 分钟的任务。
You keep in your head, when you probably have 30 minutes where you can knock out a couple of them.
当你可能有 30 分钟的时间可以击倒其中几个时,你就牢记在心。
They don’t feel like a big enough deal.
他们觉得这没什么大不了的。
You don’t remember them.
你不记得他们了。
You didn’t write them down in a clear place.
你没有把它们写在明确的地方。
They just sit there causing you, or at least me, endless anxiety.
他们只是坐在那里给你,或者至少是我,带来无尽的焦虑。
When I actually have them in front of me, I will stay on top of them.
当我真的把它们放在我面前时,我会留在它们之上。
Actually staying on top of them is more important, certainly, than I gave it credit for a year ago.
事实上,保持领先地位当然比我一年前所认为的更重要。
We all are looking for other talented people to work with, and you’ve had a whole bunch of great ones.
我们都在寻找其他有才华的人一起工作,而你们已经有很多优秀的人了。
Matt and Melissa, Dylan Matthews, a whole bunch of others, some of whom I don’t know.
马特和梅丽莎,迪伦·马修斯,还有一大堆其他人,其中一些我不认识。
What’s your best talent-finding tip?
您最好的人才发现秘诀是什么?
Look for people who are desperate to be doing the thing they’re doing.
寻找那些渴望做他们正在做的事情的人。
I have often found really great people by finding people who either seemed or were literally doing what they need to be doing for free because nobody was yet paying them for it.
我经常通过寻找那些似乎或实际上正在免费做他们需要做的事情的人来找到真正伟大的人,因为还没有人付钱给他们。
That’s an ethos that comes out of — I did that as a blogger, and I found Dylan Matthews doing that kind of thing.
这是一种精神,源于 —— 我作为一名博主就是这样做的,我发现迪伦·马修斯也在做那样的事情。
You can teach a lot of skills, but you can’t teach obsession.
你可以传授很多技能,但你无法传授痴迷。
There’s a real difference between somebody who is obsessed with the work they’re doing and someone who is simply skilled at the work they’re doing.
痴迷于自己正在做的工作的人和仅仅熟练于自己正在做的工作的人之间存在着真正的区别。
I will take the obsession and teach the skills over getting the skills and having to teach the obsession.
我会接受痴迷并教授技能,而不是获得技能并不得不教授痴迷。
You can teach a lot of skills, but you can’t teach obsession.
你可以传授很多技能,但你无法传授痴迷。
There’s a real difference between somebody who is obsessed with the work they’re doing and someone who is simply skilled at the work they’re doing.
痴迷于自己正在做的工作的人和仅仅熟练于自己正在做的工作的人之间存在着真正的区别。
I will take the obsession and teach the skills over getting the skills and having to teach the obsession.
我会接受痴迷并教授技能,而不是获得技能并不得不教授痴迷。
How has being an entrepreneur changed your political views?
作为一名企业家如何改变了您的政治观点?
Do you have more sympathy with people starting businesses and the notion that business needs to be encouraged or liberated, or the opposite?
您是否更同情创业者以及需要鼓励或解放商业的观念,还是相反?
I don’t think I ever had what I would think of as an anti-entrepreneur period.
我认为我从未经历过我所认为的反企业家时期。
I do have sympathy with starting businesses, but I don’t think I didn’t before.
我确实同情创业,但我想我以前也不是这样的。
Let me think on that for a minute.
让我想一想。
How has it changed my political views?
它如何改变了我的政治观点?
I don’t deal with a lot of government regulation myself, so it hasn’t had some big effect there.
我自己并没有处理很多政府法规,所以它并没有产生很大的影响。
I’m sure —
我确定——
And you’re in a less regulated sector.
而且你处于一个监管较少的行业。
I’m in a less regulated sector so that isn’t a huge deal for me.
我所在的行业监管较少,所以这对我来说不是什么大问题。
But somehow your overall vision of human motivation and imperfections and what drives people that must have, if only subtly, been altered in some way that even if it doesn’t change your policy stances, your political vision must now be different.
但不知何故,你对人类动机和不完美以及驱动人们的因素的总体看法必须以某种方式(即使只是微妙地)改变,即使它不会改变你的政策立场,你的政治愿景现在也必须有所不同。
Yeah, and I’m just thinking it through.
是的,我只是在考虑一下。
Let me offer two.
让我提供两个。
The big one I think is not since I started an organization, but since I went to the Washington Post.
我认为最重要的事情不是自从我成立一个组织以来,而是自从我加入《华盛顿邮报》以来。
OK, and what’s that?
好的,那是什么?
Being part of bigger organizations has given me a very different set of beliefs about the importance of firms, and firm dynamics, and organizational frictions, and how the economy works.
作为大型组织的一部分,我对公司的重要性、公司动态、组织摩擦以及经济如何运作有了一套截然不同的信念。
I am much, much, much more sympathetic and have a much better understanding of, say, why wages are sticky.
我非常非常同情,并且更好地理解为什么工资是粘性的。
Or you’ve been talking about Bryan Caplan’s idea about firing aversion.
或者你一直在谈论布莱恩·卡普兰关于消除厌恶情绪的想法。
And then Matt Yglesias, my cofounder, had great set of tweets about hiring aversion.
然后,我的联合创始人马特·伊格莱西亚斯 (Matt Yglesias) 发布了一系列关于招聘厌恶的推文。
Absolutely.
绝对地。
I laughed so hard at those.
我对这些笑得很厉害。
I got the feeling you’ve been tasking Matt with hiring people.
我感觉你一直在给马特指派招聘人员的任务。
I have not.
我没有。
Matt is not actually the one who primarily has to hire people, but in part because hiring people is really hard and unpleasant.
马特实际上并不是主要负责雇用人员的人,部分原因是雇用人员确实很困难且令人不快。
Everyone does that in an organization.
每个人在组织中都会这样做。
It’s about the personal contacts of your whole network, and Matt must know a lot of people or they know him.
这是关于你整个网络的个人联系人,马特必须认识很多人,或者他们认识他。
Matt is very much a part of the whole thing.
马特是整个事情的一部分。
Sure.
当然。
I have a lot more sensitivity to that kind of thing.
我对这类事情更加敏感。
I have a lot more sensitivity to the ways in which firms have trouble turning themselves around.
我对企业扭亏为盈的方式更加敏感。
Things that often seem mysterious to me about why a firm didn’t just swoop in and take this market opportunity seem a lot less mysterious to me now that I’ve been in a big one and been able to see that from a lot of different vantage points at the Washington Post, and that was a firm that I think has been very successful in changing and evolving and transforming.
对于我来说,为什么一家公司不直接介入并抓住这个市场机会的事情对我来说似乎不再那么神秘了,因为我已经进入了一家大公司,并且能够从《华盛顿邮报》的许多不同角度看到这一点,而且我认为这是一家在变革、发展和转型方面非常成功的公司。
But I also saw how hard and wrenching that was and how many ways it could have gone wrong and didn’t, I think in that case, due to some really strong and good leadership.
但我也看到了这是多么困难和痛苦,有多少种可能会出错的方式,但我认为在这种情况下,由于一些非常强大和优秀的领导,它没有出错。
Then at Vox this is a young firm, and Vox Media itself is more than 600 employees now, though, so it isn’t that small.
然后在 Vox,这是一家年轻的公司,不过 Vox Media 本身现在有 600 多名员工,所以规模并不算小。
Vox.com is more like 70.
Vox.com 更像是 70。
Even there I have a sense of, my God, just the difficulty of growth, the organizational cost of growth, the dangers it puts you into, the overstretchedness, the lack of slack in any of the systems so that you can deal with things that are longer-range while you’re trying to deal with what’s going on today.
即使在那里,我也感觉到,天哪,成长的困难,成长的组织成本,它给你带来的危险,过度紧张,任何系统都缺乏松弛,这样你就可以在努力处理今天发生的事情的同时处理更长远的事情。
My sense of how the economy works on a micro level has changed a lot from just being inside larger firms.
我对经济在微观层面如何运作的认识与仅仅在大公司内部相比已经发生了很大变化。
That I think has influenced me quite a bit.
我认为这对我影响很大。
I’d say the other thing is I am probably much more — and, again, I’m not sure this is a policy idea — I am much more skeptical of anything anybody says about how a firm or a government organization, or anything else, works.
我想说的另一件事是,我可能更加 ——而且,我不确定这是一个政策想法 —— 我对任何人所说的有关公司或政府组织或其他任何东西如何运作的任何说法都持怀疑态度。
One of my big takeaways from now having sat through a lot of meetings with consultants, a lot of meetings with people trying to sell ideas or companies to me, a lot of meetings where I was trying to sell an idea to someone else, is that there is just a lot of bullshit in the economy.
从现在开始,我参加了很多次与顾问的会议,与试图向我推销想法或公司的人们的很多次会议,以及我试图向其他人推销一个想法的很多次会议,我的一大收获是,经济中存在着很多废话。
There is a lot of bullshit in organizations, and there is in a way I don’t totally understand an accepted level of bullshit between everybody.
组织中有很多废话,而且在某种程度上我并不完全理解每个人之间可接受的废话程度。
I seem to be at meetings all the time where everybody seems to know that only half of whatever idea is being pitched as a savior to everything is really being implemented or really going to work.
我似乎一直在参加会议,每个人似乎都知道,无论什么想法被认为是一切的救世主,只有一半真正得到实施或真正发挥作用。
I constantly see in media now people touting some kind of great pilot project or some little innovation they came up with that is covered as if it will save media, but I can look at it and know there’s no way that will be spread through the workflow of even the host organization much less than any other organization.
我现在经常在媒体上看到人们吹捧某种伟大的试点项目或他们提出的一些小创新,这些创新被报道为好像可以拯救媒体一样,但我可以看到它,并且知道即使是主办组织的工作流程也不会比任何其他组织传播得少得多。
I’ve become much more cynical about — I think of this a lot, by the way, with Snowden and the NSA.
我对 变得更加愤世嫉俗——顺便说一句,我经常想到斯诺登和美国国家安全局。
On the one hand a lot of those revelations are really, really, really important.
一方面,这些启示中的许多内容确实非常非常重要。
On the other hand, it’s a lot of consultant documents about what they were doing on behalf of the government, and I often think about how much of that is really getting effectively done, which in some ways makes it scarier.
另一方面,有很多关于他们代表政府所做的事情的顾问文件,我经常思考其中有多少是真正有效完成的,这在某些方面使它更可怕。
One way of reading those documents is the government has become this omniscient, all-seeing surveillance state.
解读这些文件的一种方式是,政府已经成为无所不知、无所不在的监视国家。
My guess is that their ability to use that data —
我的猜测是他们使用这些数据的能力 -
Is very, very weak.
非常非常弱。
Is very, very, very weak.
非常非常非常弱。
That might make your view of what’s going on much worse, actually.
事实上,这可能会让你对正在发生的事情的看法变得更糟。
I agree.
我同意。
I’m not saying that is exculpatory.
我并不是说这是无罪的。
I’m just saying that it’s a different way of looking at those documents.
我只是说这是看待这些文件的不同方式。
Take your view of government production.
谈谈你对政府生产的看法。
Now a lot of what governments do is pass around checks, and we more or less know how that works, and usually the checks show up, right?
现在政府所做的很多事情都是传递支票,我们或多或少知道它是如何运作的,通常支票都会出现,对吗?
The way that works is fairly well understood.
其工作方式是相当容易理解的。
But when government produces things are you now more cynical about that than you used to be?
但是当政府生产东西时,你现在是否比以前更加愤世嫉俗?
Oh, yeah.
哦,是的。
I don’t think even though I am in a relative sense in America politics probably a fan of government producing things, I don’t have any particular belief that it is an efficient way of producing things.
我认为,尽管我在美国政治中相对意义上可能不喜欢政府生产东西,但我并不特别相信这是一种有效的生产方式。
I wouldn’t want them to take on things that I thought were getting done well anywhere else.
我不希望他们承担我认为在其他地方做得很好的事情。
I’m not sure how much my view on that has changed.
我不确定我对此的看法发生了多大变化。
I will say one thing about both government and private-sector production, which is something that I do think is important is there is an advantage to being willing to do kludgy, difficult, somewhat unpleasant things.
关于政府和私营部门的生产,我想说一件事,我确实认为这一点很重要,因为愿意做笨拙、困难、有些不愉快的事情是有优势的。
That is something I probably take more seriously than I did before.
我可能比以前更认真地对待这件事。
Let me give you an example here, because this is the way Vox particularly has really changed my view on things.
让我在这里举个例子,因为这就是 Vox 真正改变了我对事物的看法的方式。
If we had started Vox just bootstrapped — which is one of the things we pretty seriously considered, so just getting venture capital and doing it on our own — there are a lot of things we would have done that we did anyway, make things like card stacks, etc., but there are lot of things that Vox Media built capacities to do —
如果我们只是自力更生地创办 Vox——这是我们非常认真考虑的事情之一,所以只要获得风险投资并自己做——就有很多我们本来会做的事情,比如制作卡片叠等,但 Vox Media 有很多能力可以做——
Already, before you —
已经,在你之前——
Already or contemporaneously with us being there that we never would have had the willingness to sit through and do.
已经或同时我们在那里,我们永远不会愿意坐下来做。
Particularly here there are a lot of partnerships or opportunities that have come through a lot of meetings, many of the meetings which went nowhere, which I just would never have done.
特别是在这里,有很多合作伙伴关系或机会是通过很多会议产生的,很多会议毫无结果,这是我永远不会做的。
Vox Entertainment, which is part of Vox Media out in LA and is building collaborations basically with television — other things, too, but television primarily — that is just something that if we had bootstrapped this we never would have been considering, because the slog to get anywhere in television, the number of meetings that don’t go anywhere, I just absolutely would never have been able to do it.
Vox Entertainment 是洛杉矶 Vox Media 的一部分,基本上正在与电视建立合作——还有其他事情,但主要是电视——如果我们自己启动的话,我们永远不会考虑这一点,因为在电视上取得任何进展的过程很艰难,有大量的会议没有进展,我绝对不可能做到这一点。
Something I actually now see as an organizational advantage of certain kinds of organizations is a willingness to do things that aren’t fun and that may not turn out well, that may actually be pretty inefficient.
事实上,我现在认为某些类型的组织的组织优势是愿意做一些不有趣的事情,结果可能不会很好,实际上可能效率相当低。
Because when you’re running really lean things that maybe don’t have a very high payoff — even if that payoff if it comes is pretty good — often don’t look good, not because of expected value, but just because of literally what you can bear as a human being.
因为当你经营真正精益的事情时,可能不会有很高的回报 ——即使回报相当不错——通常看起来并不好,不是因为预期价值,而是因为你作为一个人所能承受的。
And I think that way with government, too.
我对政府也是这样认为的。
As you say, there’s an attraction — recognizing the government is inefficient — to just saying, “Well, let’s just do cash transfer for everything.
正如你所说,有一种吸引力——“认识到政府效率低下”——只是说,“好吧,让我们用现金转移一切吧。
Let’s go UBI for everything.”
让我们对一切都实行 UBI。”
But there is a lot that government does, often not that well, that somebody needs to be doing, because a lot of the people you want to help are actually really difficult to help.
但政府做了很多事情,但往往做得不够好,需要有人去做,因为很多你想帮助的人实际上很难帮助。
This is something — now moving away from lessons learned from Vox — this is one of the things I believe strongly in policy that we underrate.
这是一些事情——“现在正在摆脱从 Vox 吸取的教训”——“这是我坚信的政策中我们低估的事情之一。
A lot of what we’re trying to do in government is not help people who want “free stuff,” but is help people who are actually very, very difficult to help.
我们在政府中试图做的很多事情并不是帮助那些想要“免费东西”的人,而是帮助那些实际上非常非常难以帮助的人。
This is particularly true in health care.
在医疗保健领域尤其如此。
You see this with Medicaid.
你可以在医疗补助中看到这一点。
A lot of people don’t sign up.
很多人不报名。
They don’t have addresses.
他们没有地址。
You can’t even get them, whatever.
无论如何,你甚至无法得到它们。
They don’t like doctors.
他们不喜欢医生。
They’re afraid of doctors.
他们害怕医生。
This is me.
这就是我。
You’re afraid of doctors?
你害怕医生吗?
“Afraid” isn’t the word.
“害怕”不是这个词。
Averse.
反对。
COWEN: Maybe dislike.
COWEN:也许不喜欢。
Averse.
反对。
They should be afraid of me, perhaps.
也许他们应该害怕我。
There you go.
就这样吧。
So that kind of thing — being willing to do that and being willing to go through the risk of doing that poorly — if you’re going to get there you’re going to have to have not just failure but a fair amount of inefficiency.
因此,这种事情 ——“愿意这样做,并愿意承担做得不好的风险”——如果你要实现这一目标,你不仅要经历失败,还要经历相当多的低效率。
On social value and finding meaning in business
论社会价值和寻找商业意义
Now this is a very difficult question I’m going to ask.
现在这是我要问的一个非常困难的问题。
If I think about the notion of fiduciary responsibility, which any executive has, if you imagine a conservative or libertarian in a position with fiduciary responsibility, I think it’s relatively easy for them to identify that personal responsibility with the overall good of the economy.
如果我考虑任何高管都拥有的信托责任的概念,如果你想象一个保守派或自由主义者处于具有信托责任的位置,我认为他们相对容易将个人责任与经济的整体利益联系起来。
There’s a story about the invisible hand, and you know all of this.
有一个关于看不见的手的故事,你都知道。
If you have someone who’s more left-wing or more progressive, or other points of view, I would think there’s more of a psychological dissonance between the fiduciary responsibility to a particular group and one’s political views, and that somehow is discordant.
如果你有一个更左翼或更进步的人,或者其他观点,我认为对特定群体的信托责任和一个人的政治观点之间存在更多的心理不和谐,并且在某种程度上是不和谐的。
It does get solved, but do you ever think about that clash, and what are your thoughts on that?
它确实得到了解决,但是你有没有想过那次冲突?你对此有何看法?
No, I don’t think about it in those terms.
不,我不这么想。
First I think it’d be good here — give me an industry and give me a group.
首先我觉得这里就好了 ——给我一个产业,给我一个团体。
Say you have a company, the manager, the executive is supposed to maximize profits, but this would involve some pollution, and the pollution may not be good for broader society, but once you sign on to be the manager you either do the pollution if you think you can get away with it, or at least you feel to obliged to lobby Congress so you could pollute if they would allow, and that’s part of the deal with being manager.
假设你有一家公司,经理、高管应该实现利润最大化,但这会涉及一些污染,而这种污染可能对更广泛的社会没有好处,但一旦你签约成为经理,你要么做污染,如果你认为你可以逃脱惩罚,或者至少你觉得有义务游说国会,这样你就可以污染,如果他们允许的话,这是作为经理的一部分。
Now, people who are conservative, libertarian, maybe more to the right, they tend to see less of a conflict between fiduciary responsibility and the overall good of society.
现在,保守派、自由主义者,也许更右翼的人,他们往往较少看到信托责任与社会整体利益之间的冲突。
In a sense them being a CEO is morally more of a seamless venture.
从某种意义上说,他们担任首席执行官在道德上更像是一次无缝的冒险。
That might even be the wrong view.
这甚至可能是错误的观点。
There might be a real conflict there.
那里可能存在真正的冲突。
Say you own some factory farms and you answer to your shareholders.
假设您拥有一些工厂化农场,并且您向股东负责。
Correct?
正确的?
People who you would broadly call progressives, is there for them a greater psychological clash in principle between the CEO’s responsibility and what they think about politics?
对于那些被广泛称为进步派的人来说,首席执行官的责任与他们对政治的看法之间是否存在更大的原则性心理冲突?
I have a couple thoughts there.
我有一些想法。
One, I think this actually is pretty industry-specific, and I think that taking that view resolves a fair amount of the clashing.
第一,我认为这实际上是针对特定行业的,而且我认为采取这种观点可以解决相当多的冲突。
You used an example there that I think is a good example, but will cut very much towards the argument that this would be harder for somebody on the left, which is you’re talking about an industry where you have as a by-product high levels of pollution.
你在那里举了一个例子,我认为这是一个很好的例子,但它会非常切合这样的论点,即这对左翼人士来说会更困难,也就是说你正在谈论一个副产品有高水平污染的行业。
My guess is that kind of industry will select against people who have highly environmentalist views rising to the tops of those firms.
我的猜测是,这类行业会选择那些具有高度环保主义观点的人来担任这些公司的高层。
I could be wrong about that, but that would be my assumption.
我可能是错的,但这只是我的假设。
Whereas I think there are also industries where it will cut a little bit the other way.
但我认为也有一些行业会以相反的方式削减一点。
Media might actually be one of those industries where in order to do the things that your shareholders want you to do it will imply pushing in leftward direction.
媒体实际上可能是那些为了做股东希望你做的事情而意味着向左推的行业之一。
I just assume that people select into industries that they basically find morally aligned with their views, at least at that top level where you have a lot of selection power, if you’re going to be running one of these firms.
我只是假设人们选择的行业基本上在道德上与他们的观点一致,至少在你有很大选择权的顶层,如果你要经营这些公司之一。
As we talked about, CEOs can be more generalists now.
正如我们所讨论的,首席执行官现在可以成为更多的通才。
If you’re at that level on the market you probably have selected somewhere where you just don’t find it to be a problem.
如果你在市场上处于这个水平,你可能已经选择了一个你不认为这是问题的地方。
I will say, though, that even as someone who I think in contemporary American politics falls more on the center-left side of the spectrum, I have always found the amount of corporate social responsibility stuff to be a little puzzling.
不过,我要说的是,即使我认为在当代美国政治中属于中左派,但我始终发现企业社会责任的内容有点令人困惑。
I don’t find it intuitively appealing myself.
我觉得它对我自己没有直观的吸引力。
A lot of it’s public relations.
很多都是公共关系。
Some of it is public relations, but I actually think that is somewhere where I have become a little less cynical, if anything, now that I know more of these folks.
其中一些是公共关系,但我实际上认为,现在我对这些人了解得更多了,所以我已经变得不那么愤世嫉俗了。
As a human nature thing something that I’ve become more sensitized to is that you might ask how does somebody who becomes CEO of a widget factory see their life’s work as having meaning, because who cares about all these widgets?
作为人性,我变得更加敏感的是,你可能会问,成为小部件工厂首席执行官的人如何看待他们一生的工作有意义,因为谁关心所有这些小部件?
Why didn’t they go if they’re that talented into whatever?
如果他们在任何方面都那么有才华,为什么不去呢?
One thing that that kind of analysis will miss, the question of why does it matter if you’re just creating stuff for kids, or whatever, toys, is how much people end up identifying with their firm as the larger whole.
这种分析会忽略一件事,即如果你只是为孩子们创造东西,或者其他什么玩具,为什么重要的问题是,有多少人最终将他们的公司视为一个更大的整体。
How much it’s the health of the firm, the health of the workers, the corporate culture that people are really proud of that bind them together.
公司的健康、员工的健康以及人们真正引以为豪的企业文化将他们联系在一起。
That’s their community.
那是他们的社区。
That’s their neighborhood.
那是他们的邻居。
That’s where their status comes from.
这就是他们的地位的来源。
It is within that kind of outlook that this sort of corporate social responsibility stuff becomes very appealing, that if the place you’re deriving your value is from the idea of what sort of firm did you create — not what did your firm create, but what sort of firm did you create — then the question of what is the moral character of your firm, how proud are the people in your firm with being there, that becomes a very important part of the way that you personally get satisfaction from your work.
正是在这种观点下,这种企业社会责任的东西变得非常有吸引力,如果你的价值来源于你创建了什么样的公司——“不是你的公司创建了什么,而是你创建了什么样的公司”——那么你的公司的道德品质是什么,你公司的员工有多自豪,这些问题就成为你个人从工作中获得满足感的一个非常重要的部分。
I have definitely run into CEOs who seem more interested in the character of the firm they’re creating than anything that their firm is creating.
我确实遇到过一些首席执行官,他们似乎对他们正在创建的公司的特征比他们公司正在创建的任何东西更感兴趣。
They’re often more successful that way.
这样他们通常会更成功。
They often are.
他们经常是这样。
Because the people who work with them perceive that and respond in kind.
因为与他们一起工作的人意识到了这一点并做出了同样的回应。
But the stuff they are creating it is almost the fuel to create the sort of firm they are interested in.
但他们正在创造的东西几乎是创建他们感兴趣的公司的燃料。
On things under- and overrated
关于被低估和高估的事情
Now we have a segment in all of these chats in the middle.
现在我们在所有这些聊天中间都有一个片段。
It’s called underrated versus overrated.
这就是所谓的被低估与高估。
I say a few things, and you tell me if you think they’re underrated or overrated.
我说了几句话,你告诉我你是否认为它们被低估或高估了。
And of course, you’re free to pass.
当然,你可以自由通过。
The movie The Matrix.
电影《黑客帝国》。
Overrated or underrated?
被高估还是被低估?
At this point underrated because its sequels were so bad.
在这一点上被低估了,因为它的续集太糟糕了。
The Washington, DC, dining scene.
华盛顿特区的餐饮场景。
And you live in Washington.
你住在华盛顿。
I do.
我愿意。
The listeners don’t know that.
听众并不知道这一点。
It’s hard.
这很难。
It’s become probably overrated by the press but still underrated by people who live here.
它可能被媒体高估了,但仍然被住在这里的人们低估了。
How about by people who live in New York?
住在纽约的人怎么样?
Underrated.
被低估了。
Underrated.
被低估了。
I will say when I moved to DC in 2005 for years I could eat at every single good restaurant that opened up and a lot that weren’t good.
我想说的是,当我 2005 年搬到华盛顿的时候,我可以在每一家新开张的好餐馆吃饭,也可以在很多不好的餐馆吃饭。
Now the list of restaurants that seem excellent that I have not been able to go to is longer than my arm.
现在我没能去的看起来很棒的餐厅名单比我的手臂还长。
It’s almost hard for me to rate it highly enough given how pleased I am by the development.
考虑到我对它的开发感到多么高兴,我几乎很难对它给予足够高的评价。
Bob Dylan.
鲍勃·迪伦.
Overrated or underrated?
被高估还是被低估?
I’m trying to match this with my personal ignorance.
我试图将这一点与我个人的无知相匹配。
He definitely seems overrated to me, but this is me not being very into classic rock.
在我看来,他绝对被高估了,但这是我不太喜欢经典摇滚。
But that’s endogenous, right?
但这是内生的,对吗?
You’ve heard some Bob Dylan.
你听过一些鲍勃·迪伦的歌。
I’ve heard quite a bit of Bob Dylan.
我听过不少鲍勃·迪伦的作品。
And you weren’t that induced to go hear a lot more.
而且你并没有被吸引去听更多的事情。
Nope.
没有。
What’s your objection?
你反对什么?
I do not particularly have an objection.
我没有特别反对的意见。
It’s not scratchy voice, or — ?
不是沙哑的声音,还是 —— ?
I really want to frame this as a subjective fact of me potentially having bad music taste as opposed to a normative claim about the worth of Bob Dylan.
我真的想将其视为我可能音乐品味不佳的主观事实,而不是关于鲍勃·迪伦价值的规范性主张。
I do not think anybody should take my cultural viewpoints.
我认为任何人都不应该接受我的文化观点。
I’m a deep fan, for instance, of the movie Wimbledon.
例如,我是电影《温布尔登》的忠实粉丝。
I do not think people should follow my lead on what is good culture.
我认为人们不应该追随我对什么是好的文化的引导。
William F.
威廉·F.
Buckley.
巴克利。
Underrated.
被低估了。
Why?
为什么?
He built a tremendous institution, and I both mean that in terms of National Review and probably in terms of the American right for quite a while.
他建立了一个巨大的机构,我指的是在《国家评论》方面,也可能是在相当长一段时间内的美国右翼方面。
It is hard now to appreciate because it feels so much with us of what an achievement fusionism really was.
现在很难理解,因为我们对成就融合主义的真正感受如此之深。
It is also — National Review has been an important, and to some degree played a pretty consistent role, on the American right for many, many, many decades.
几十年来,《国家评论》在美国右翼中一直发挥着重要作用,并且在某种程度上发挥了相当一致的作用。
That’s a part of Buckley that is also easy to underrate.
这也是巴克利很容易被低估的一部分。
I thought what National Review did around Trump was very much — I don’t know that it would have happened at a place that didn’t have as clear an internal character as what Buckley gave that institution.
我认为《国家评论》围绕特朗普所做的事情非常“——”我不知道这会发生在一个没有巴克利赋予该机构那么清晰的内部特征的地方。
If it had been just a more normal magazine it just wouldn’t have tried to play that role.
如果它只是一本更普通的杂志,它就不会尝试扮演这个角色。
That role was something worth trying to play.
这个角色是值得尝试去扮演的。
What Buckley achieved, whatever you think of his politics, I think he’s definitely underrated at this point.
巴克利所取得的成就,无论你如何看待他的政治观点,我认为他在这一点上肯定被低估了。
The most underrated person in the Obama administration.
奥巴马政府中最被低估的人。
They don’t have to be there now.
他们现在不必在那里。
That’s a great question.
这是一个很好的问题。
I would have to think for a minute here.
我必须在这里想一分钟。
Let me give this some thought and come back to it.
让我想一想,然后再回来讨论这个问题。
I don’t want to do it totally on the fly.
我不想完全临时完成。
We’ll come back to it.
我们稍后会回来讨论这个问题。
The name Ezra, overrated or underrated?
以斯拉这个名字,被高估了还是被低估了?
Oh my God, it’s gotten so popular.
天哪,它变得如此受欢迎。
It has.
确实如此。
It’s a name when I was a kid I would not have thought would have made a comeback.
当我还是个孩子的时候,我没想到这个名字会卷土重来。
No. I believe if I’ve read the site right that the name Ezra is now more popular than the name of my wife Anne, or Annie, which just blew my mind when I looked it up.
不。我相信,如果我正确地阅读了该网站,以斯拉这个名字现在比我妻子安妮或安妮的名字更受欢迎,当我查到这个名字时,这让我大吃一惊。
So always underrated; it’s a great name.
所以总是被低估;这是一个很棒的名字。
It’s a great name.
这是一个很棒的名字。
Professional sports.
专业运动。
Overrated.
被高估了。
Why?
为什么?
One, they’re all too long.
第一,它们都太长了。
There is nothing I personally like less than watching a whole piece of professional sportsball.
我个人最喜欢观看整场职业体育比赛。
Isn’t there some other better way to consume it than to watch it all?
难道没有比观看这一切更好的消费方式吗?
You watch it in parts but it needs to be there for you to pick the right parts and then you talk to people about the rest.
你会分部分观看它,但你需要选择正确的部分,然后你与人们谈论其余的部分。
It’s like going to the theater, except you’re free to talk to your friends while it’s on.
这就像去剧院一样,只不过您可以在放映时自由地与朋友交谈。
It’s true.
这是真的。
Even as I think professional sports is way overrated, sports journalism is continuously underrated.
尽管我认为职业体育被高估了,但体育新闻却一直被低估。
It is always some of the best journalism we’re doing in America and nearly always the best-written form of journalism that we do in America.
它始终是我们在美国所做的最好的新闻报道,而且几乎总是我们在美国所做的最好的新闻报道形式。
Even as I think professional sports is way overrated, sports journalism is continuously underrated.
尽管我认为职业体育被高估了,但体育新闻却一直被低估。
It is always some of the best journalism we’re doing in America and nearly always the best-written form of journalism that we do in America.
它始终是我们在美国所做的最好的新闻报道,而且几乎总是我们在美国所做的最好的新闻报道形式。
Why is that?
这是为什么?
What about the structure of sports makes the journalism so good and the product so bad?
体育运动的结构为何使得新闻业如此优秀而产品却如此糟糕?
There is something about sports being a canvas for writing through which we are allowed with relatively low stakes to work out other core issues in American life that is really tremendous.
体育是一块写作的画布,通过它,我们可以以相对较低的风险来解决美国生活中的其他核心问题,这确实是巨大的。
One of my favorite books is The Muhammad Ali Reader.
我最喜欢的书之一是《穆罕默德·阿里读本》。
It is the case that basically every great writer of the 20th century did their Muhammad Ali piece.
基本上20世纪的每一位伟大作家都写过穆罕默德·阿里的作品。
You can just go through there and it is an amazing tour of particularly New Journalism, but there is a capacity to use sports to write about anything in the American experience.
你可以去那里,这是一次令人惊叹的新新闻之旅,但有能力利用体育来写任何美国经历。
It is really tremendous.
实在是太伟大了。
On the flip I just somehow do not have the part of my brain, really just do not — and again, I want to continue to say this is not a normative claim, this is a claim about my own experience — I do not have the part of my brain that even allows me to empathetically access why someone would care what a bunch of people playing for a team that they went to because it paid them the most money —
另一方面,我只是不知何故没有我的大脑的一部分,真的只是没有 ——再说一遍,我想继续说这不是一个规范的主张,这是关于我自己的经历的主张 —— 我的大脑的一部分甚至没有让我能够同情地理解为什么有人会关心为什么有人会关心一群人为他们所在的球队效力,因为这给了他们最多的钱——
But we care about movies and novels, right?
但我们关心电影和小说,对吗?
And that’s not even really happening.
而这甚至没有真正发生。
I know, and I’m able to access that.
我知道,而且我能够访问它。
They’re drawing me up in the storyline.
他们正在把我纳入故事情节。
I am just telling you again, I am not saying other people shouldn’t enjoy it, I am saying that this is a place where I have tried many, many times because I would like to be connected to American culture in this way, and it is like I am missing a part.
我只是再告诉你一次,我不是说其他人不应该喜欢它,我是说这是一个我尝试过很多很多次的地方,因为我想通过这种方式与美国文化联系起来,而这就像我错过了一部分。
Now let’s try some questions about politics, and we’ll come back to the most underrated in the Obama administration.
现在让我们尝试一些有关政治的问题,然后我们将回到奥巴马政府中最被低估的问题。
Let’s take models of the world, so President Obama —
让我们以世界为模型,奥巴马总统——
Oh, I think I have an Obama administration answer: Biden.
哦,我想我有奥巴马政府的答案:拜登。
Biden.
拜登。
Tell us why.
告诉我们原因。
Joe Biden has been — as far as I can tell in my reporting, as far as anybody can tell — he has taken on a series of pretty important jobs for the administration going back to copping the stimulus, which actually did go out with a very, very low level of fraud.
乔·拜登一直是“据我在报告中所知,据任何人所知”,他为政府承担了一系列非常重要的工作,包括应对刺激计划,而刺激计划实际上确实以非常非常低的欺诈率进行。
Work he did on gun control didn’t really go anywhere, but in terms of the task force piece of the administration it was well conducted.
他在枪支管制方面所做的工作并没有真正取得任何进展,但就政府的特别工作组而言,它进行得很好。
He has been very, very important in pushing through a bunch of congressional deals.
他在推动国会达成一系列协议方面发挥了非常非常重要的作用。
And he’s played a role that I respect in organizations of often being the skunk at the party, particularly in Obama’s dealings with the military.
他在组织中扮演了我尊敬的角色,经常成为派对上的臭鼬,特别是在奥巴马与军队打交道时。
Biden’s role in a lot of that was to act as the counterweight in a way that’s very socially uncomfortable and is related to Joe Biden’s very particular set of skills which may not have been — are not always adaptive, but I think are adaptive in that particular circumstance.
拜登在很多方面的角色是以一种在社交上非常不舒服的方式充当制衡者,这与乔·拜登非常特殊的一套技能有关,这些技能可能并不总是具有适应性,但我认为在特定情况下是具有适应性的。
Yet, at the same time he’s been, by all accounts, a very successful vice president.
然而,与此同时,从各方面来看,他都是一位非常成功的副总统。
People forget that his was actually the most highly rated convention speech at the 2012 convention, even more so, if I remember correctly, than Bill Clinton.
人们忘记了,他实际上是 2012 年大会上收视率最高的大会演讲,如果我没记错的话,甚至比比尔·克林顿还要高。
He arguably really played a big role in the election by getting their debates back on track after Obama flubbed the first debate.
可以说,在奥巴马输掉第一场辩论后,他让辩论重回正轨,在选举中发挥了重要作用。
He is looked at in a way that I have looked into, and reported on, and tried to understand as sort of a joke.
我对他进行了研究、报道,并试图将其理解为一个笑话。
The gap between the esteem in his public reputation as Uncle Joe and the gravity of his career, and what he’s done, and the role he’s played with Obama I think is very, very, very wide.
我认为,他作为乔叔叔的公众声誉的尊重与他职业生涯的严肃性、他所做的事情以及他在奥巴马中扮演的角色之间的差距非常非常大。
On the Klein, Obama, and Clinton models of politics
论克莱因、奥巴马和克林顿的政治模式
Some questions about politics.
关于政治的一些问题。
Let’s put aside policy conclusions.
让我们把政策结论放在一边。
Just models of the world.
只是世界的模型。
You have a model of the world, and President Obama has a model of the world.
你有一个世界模型,奥巴马总统也有一个世界模型。
Your knowledge of his model is highly, highly imperfect.
你对他的模型的了解非常非常不完善。
But just from what you know, from whatever distance you observe what he does and says, what do you think is the main difference, in analytical terms, between your model and his?
但仅根据您所知道的情况,无论您从多远的距离观察他的言行,您认为从分析角度来看,您的模型与他的模型之间的主要区别是什么?
Optimism.
乐观。
You have it or he has it?
你有还是他有?
He has it.
他有。
The big difference between my model and his model — and I’ve interviewed him, and we’ve talked about this — at this point the models of how American politics works are pretty similar.
我的模型和他的模型之间的巨大差异 ——我采访过他,我们讨论过这一点——在这一点上,美国政治运作的模型非常相似。
He has developed, over his time in office, much more so than when he ran in ’08, a pretty structuralist view of how Congress works, of how American politics works, of how automatic a lot of functions of public opinion and partisan opinion are.
在他的任期内,他对国会如何运作、美国政治如何运作、公众舆论和党派舆论的许多功能如何自动发挥作用,已经形成了一种相当结构主义的观点,这一观点比他08年竞选时更加明显。
These are things that the “Hope and Change Obama” didn’t believe in ’08.
这些是“希望与改变奥巴马”在 08 年不相信的事情。
He thought that you could really bridge these divides.
他认为你真的可以弥合这些分歧。
There was a lot more cynicism among members of the press, including myself.
包括我自己在内的媒体成员中存在更多的愤世嫉俗。
That cynicism was borne out.
这种愤世嫉俗的态度得到了证实。
I think he shares it, now.
我想他现在也分享了。
That’s a similarity.
这就是相似之处。
What’s the difference?
有什么区别?
This is where I’m coming to it.
这就是我要讲的地方。
The system is, in very fundamental ways, at this point, flawed.
目前,该系统在非常根本的方面存在缺陷。
I do not think the political system can, over a long period of time, absorb highly polarized political parties.
我认为政治制度不可能在很长一段时间内吸收高度两极分化的政党。
Structural changes will need to be made if American governance is going to be high quality.
如果美国要实现高质量的治理,就需要进行结构性变革。
He believes — in ways I don’t fully understand and don’t think he’s really able to give a good account of — that there is an essential goodness of the American people, that they will rise up and demand better of their leaders, and maybe it just has to get to a bad enough point or something.
他相信——“以我不完全理解的方式,也不认为他真的能够很好地描述”——美国人民有一种本质上的善良,他们会站起来,要求他们的领导人做得更好,也许只是到了一个足够糟糕的地步或其他什么程度。
But I think he’s wrong about that.
但我认为他的想法是错误的。
You actually need to change how the system works, not expect that at some point the American people are going to say enough is enough.
你实际上需要改变系统的运作方式,不要指望在某个时候美国人民会说受够了。
Again, this is my best recounting of what the nature of his optimism is.
这再次是我对他乐观本质的最好描述。
He definitely pushes back quite strongly on what he calls the jaded easy cynicism, but I think it’s correct.
他确实强烈反对他所谓的厌倦的、轻松的愤世嫉俗,但我认为这是正确的。
There was a recent poll, you probably saw it, that American black males are much more optimistic about the future than American white males.
最近有一项民意调查,你可能已经看到了,美国黑人男性对未来比美国白人男性更加乐观。
Did you see that?
你看到了吗?
I did.
我做到了。
Do you think that’s a good overall characterization?
您认为这是一个很好的整体特征吗?
Are you and he —
你和他是——
Of the poll?
民意调查的?
No, of reality.
不,是现实。
It’s clear that’s what the poll said.
很明显,民意调查就是这么说的。
I don’t think that poll is shedding a lot of light on our specific disagreement about “does the American political system need structural reform.”
我认为这项民意调查并没有充分说明我们关于“美国政治体系是否需要结构性改革”的具体分歧。
OK, so going back to models.
好的,回到模型。
Your model of the world and Hillary Clinton’s model, what’s the main difference?
你的世界模型和希拉里·克林顿的世界模型,主要区别是什么?
I do not understand her model as well as I think I understand Obama’s — so let me say that at the outset.
我对她的模型的理解不如我对奥巴马模型的理解——所以让我一开始就这么说。
You had a long interview with her which was very illuminating.
你对她进行了一次很长的采访,非常有启发性。
I did.
我做到了。
Thank you.
谢谢。
Her model of the world frames American politics much more as a process or a negotiation carried out by individual parties where I’m much more of a structuralist.
她的世界模型将美国政治更多地视为一个过程或由各个政党进行的谈判,而我则更像是一个结构主义者。
Hillary Clinton believes that by reaching out enough and consistently enough, which is a funny thing to say because her overall politics as a campaign are quite partisan.
希拉里·克林顿认为,通过足够多的接触和足够的持续性,这是一件有趣的事情,因为她的整个竞选政治是相当党派的。
But when she’s in office, she has a real “I will work with you on anything no matter how small endlessly to build up trust.” That’s kind of her approach.
但当她上任时,她会真正地“我会在任何事情上与你合作,无论多么小,以建立信任。”这就是她的做法。
She believes you can get more out of that than I believe you can.
她相信你能从中得到比我相信的更多的东西。
She believes there’s more that personal relationships can do to create grounds for bipartisan cooperation.
她认为,人际关系可以为两党合作创造更多基础。
Her critique of Obama would be that he doesn’t spend that much time, and when he does spend the time, does not evince enough enjoyment of reaching out and spending time and building relationships with opposed members of Congress.
她对奥巴马的批评是,他没有花那么多时间,而且即使他花了时间,也没有表现出足够的享受与反对派国会议员接触、花时间和建立关系。
If you got her late at night after she’s had a couple drinks, she would tell you that the difference between her and him is that she really will spend all that time with Mitch McConnell.
如果你在深夜喝了几杯酒后找到她,她会告诉你她和他之间的区别在于她真的会和米奇·麦康奈尔一起度过所有的时间。
Even when people treat her unfairly and treat her badly, she will continue reaching out with them.
即使人们对她不公平、对她不好,她也会继续与他们接触。
She talked in our interview about her husband — people impeaching him at 4 p.m.
她在我们的采访中谈到了她的丈夫——人们在下午 4 点弹劾了他。
and him having them over for a drink at 9 p.m.
晚上 9 点他请他们过来喝一杯。
She really sees that as something that can really work in changing outcomes.
她确实认为这确实可以改变结果。
I don’t really agree.
我不太同意。
To a first approximation, knowing which party people belong to is basically how to predict the way they’ll vote.
初步估计,知道人们属于哪个政党基本上就是如何预测他们的投票方式。
That is even truer since she was last involved in legislative politics, and I don’t think there’s going to be that much margin in a more attentive personal relationship to being the legislator in chief.
自从她上次参与立法政治以来,情况更是如此,而且我认为,作为首席立法者,在更细心的个人关系中不会有那么多余地。
talked in our interview about her husband — people impeaching him at 4 p.m.
在我们的采访中谈到她的丈夫——人们在下午 4 点弹劾他。
and him having them over for a drink at 9 p.m.
晚上 9 点他请他们过来喝一杯。
She really sees that as something that can really work in changing outcomes.
她确实认为这确实可以改变结果。
I don’t really agree.
我不太同意。
To a first approximation, knowing which party people belong to is basically how to predict the way they’ll vote.
初步估计,知道人们属于哪个政党基本上就是如何预测他们的投票方式。
The most striking part of your talk with her I found was when you asked her about books, and she named two communitarian books from the 1990s.
我发现你和她谈话中最引人注目的部分是当你向她询问书籍时,她提到了两本 20 世纪 90 年代的社群主义书籍。
That’s when I felt I really learned something about Hillary Clinton.
那时我觉得我真正了解了希拉里·克林顿。
And, by the way, a book from a modern communitarian.
顺便说一句,这是一本现代社群主义者的书。
She also named the new Putnam book.
她还将这本新书命名为普特南。
On diversity, demographic anxiety, and what’s missing in public discourse
关于多样性、人口焦虑以及公共话语中缺失的内容
Absolutely.
绝对的。
Now Putman, let me ask you about Putnam, and how Putnam relates to Donald Trump.
现在普特曼,让我问你有关普特南的事情,以及普特南与唐纳德·特朗普的关系。
As you know, Robert Putnam at Harvard, he has some work showing that when ethnic diversity goes up that there’s less trust, less cooperation, less social capital.
正如你所知,哈佛大学的罗伯特·普特南(Robert Putnam)的一些研究表明,当种族多样性增加时,信任、合作和社会资本就会减少。
If you think of yourself in the role of an editor, so you have an American society, diversity has gone up, and a lot of people have reacted to this I would say rather badly — and I think you would agree with me they’ve reacted rather badly — but there’s still a way in which the issue could be framed that while diversity is actually a problem, we can’t handle diversity.
如果你把自己想象成编辑的角色,那么你有一个美国社会,多样性已经上升,很多人对此的反应我会说相当糟糕——我想你会同意我的观点,他们的反应相当糟糕——但仍然可以通过某种方式来阐述这个问题,尽管多样性实际上是一个问题,但我们无法处理多样性。
Putnam almost says as such, and do you think there’s currently a language in the media where you have readers who are themselves diverse, where it’s possible not to just be blaming the bigots, but to actually present the positive view, “Look, people are imperfect.
普特南几乎是这样说的,你认为目前媒体中有一种语言,你的读者本身就是多元化的,有可能不只是指责偏执者,而是真正呈现积极的观点,“看,人都是不完美的。
A society can only handle so much diversity, and we need to learn this.” What’s your take on that?
一个社会只能应对如此多的多样性,我们需要学习这一点。”您对此有何看法?
I strongly agree.
我非常同意。
We do not have a language for demographic anxiety that is not a language that is about racism.
我们没有一种表达人口焦虑的语言不是关于种族主义的语言。
And we need one.
我们需要一个。
I really believe this, and I believe it’s been a problem, particularly this year.
我真的相信这一点,而且我相信这是一个问题,尤其是今年。
It is clear, the evidence is clear.
很清楚,证据很清楚。
Donald Trump is not about “economic anxiety.”
唐纳德·特朗普与“经济焦虑”无关。
A bit, but not mainly, I agree.
我同意,有一点,但不是主要。
That said, I think that the way it’s presented is a choice between economic anxiety and racism.
也就是说,我认为它的呈现方式是经济焦虑和种族主义之间的选择。
And one I don’t think that’s quite right, and two I don’t think that’s a productive way of having that conversation.
一是我认为这不太正确,二是我认为这不是一种富有成效的对话方式。
Why don’t we have that language?
为什么我们没有那种语言?
Where did it go, or did we ever have it?
它去了哪里,或者我们曾经拥有过它吗?
I don’t know if we ever had it.
我不知道我们是否曾经拥有过它。
We probably did have it.
我们可能确实拥有它。
We have properly been working very, very hard in this society to make racism socially intolerable.
在这个社会中,我们一直在非常非常努力地努力使种族主义在社会上变得无法容忍。
We have a society that continues to have a lot of racism, a lot of sexism, a lot of bigotry of different kinds.
我们的社会仍然存在很多种族主义、性别歧视和各种不同的偏见。
But I do think that as a by-product of that debate and that effort, there isn’t a good way to have people discuss slightly more inchoate feelings of losing power that aren’t necessarily in their view, about taking it away from other people.
但我确实认为,作为这场辩论和努力的副产品,没有一个好方法可以让人们讨论失去权力的早期感觉,而这种感觉不一定在他们看来,即从其他人手中夺走权力。
It’s more about losing it themselves.
更多的是自己失去它。
I think that’s a big difference in this.
我认为这是一个很大的区别。
Arlie Hochschild, who I’ve had on my show —
阿莉·霍克希尔德(Arlie Hochschild),我在我的节目中见过她——
Which I’ve heard; it was a very good episode.
我听说过;这是非常好的一集。
Thank you.
谢谢。
Something she talks about in there is this kind of deep story that she found among — she’s a sociologist who spent five years with tea party folks in Louisiana — she talks about this deep story of feeling like they’ve been waiting in line, and now other people are getting in front.
她在书中谈到了她发现的这种深刻的故事——“她是一位社会学家,在路易斯安那州与茶党成员一起度过了五年”——她谈到了这个深刻的故事,感觉自己一直在排队,而现在其他人排在了前面。
It’s not so much that they don’t want those other people to get ahead, it’s that they want to get ahead themselves.
并不是他们不想让其他人出人头地,而是他们想自己出人头地。
They are feeling a loss in a zero-sum competition, and they may actually be correct about that.
他们在零和竞争中感到失败,而他们的这一点实际上可能是正确的。
There are probably types of advancement in society that is zero-sum, particularly when you begin really trying to open up the floodgates.
社会中有些类型的进步可能是零和的,特别是当你开始真正尝试打开闸门时。
So I think that’s correct, and I think that we don’t have a good language for it.
所以我认为这是正确的,而且我认为我们没有一个好的语言来表达它。
I don’t know what it would mean to get one, but one thing that has annoyed me this year is I really dislike the use of political correctness as a language for it.
我不知道得到它意味着什么,但今年让我恼火的一件事是我真的不喜欢使用政治正确作为它的语言。
One, it doesn’t explain very much.
一,它没有解释太多。
But two, I think that something that has happened a lot of the time here is people have somewhat either unconsciously — or I think at times cynically — mixed up an elite debate and a nonelite debate.
但第二,我认为这里经常发生的事情是,人们在某种程度上要么无意识地“或者我认为有时愤世嫉俗地”混淆了精英辩论和非精英辩论。
There is a debate about political correctness on college campuses, and with very sort of cutting-edge issues like transgender rights, or safe spaces, or trigger warnings, that a lot of people who graduated from Ivy League schools particularly are very invested in — in the media.
大学校园里存在着一场关于政治正确性的辩论,而且涉及诸如变性人权利、安全空间或触发警告等非常前沿的问题,许多从常春藤盟校毕业的人尤其对媒体非常投入。
Particularly people who what they like to do is write about things in a very free and untrampled way, and they see this as an attack on them.
特别是那些他们喜欢以一种非常自由和不被践踏的方式写东西的人,他们认为这是对他们的攻击。
They don’t like what they see in their Twitter mentions, a whole range of why people get upset.
他们不喜欢在推特上看到的内容,这就是人们感到不安的一系列原因。
I’m not even questioning the validity of that anger, I’m just saying that is a very different set of issues than somebody who wants to be able to say, “Mexican immigrants are criminals too often, and they shouldn’t be in this country.”
我什至不是质疑这种愤怒的有效性,我只是说,这与那些想要说“墨西哥移民经常是罪犯,他们不应该在这个国家”的人截然不同。
The things that Trump is keying into are things like Jon Chait is a big critic of contemporary academic political correctness, but does not believe the things that Trump is saying about Muslims being allowed to travel to the US are viable at all.
特朗普强调的事情是,乔恩·柴特(Jon Chait)是当代学术政治正确性的严厉批评者,但他不相信特朗普所说的关于允许穆斯林前往美国的事情根本不可行。
There are a bunch of things that are settled among elites about what is an acceptable thing to say or not that Trump is reopening.
关于特朗普重新开放的言论是否可以接受,精英们已经达成了一系列共识。
Then there are a bunch of things that are unsettled among elites that Trump doesn’t care about.
还有一些精英们尚未解决的问题,而特朗普并不关心。
There’s been a sort of conflation of those issues around political correctness that has been unhelpful to understanding his coalition and why there’s real power there.
这些问题在某种程度上与政治正确性混为一谈,这无助于理解他的联盟以及为什么那里有真正的权力。
This language of talking about diversity in a smarter way that would recognize costs of diversity without being racist or other bad things — two other cultures we’ve talked about, and you have some connections to, one is Brazil, the other is Singapore.
这种以更明智的方式谈论多样性的语言,可以认识到多样性的成本,而不带有种族主义或其他不好的事情 ——我们谈论过的另外两种文化,你与它们有一些联系,一个是巴西,另一个是新加坡。
Your father is from Brazil, correct?
你父亲来自巴西,对吗?
Uh-huh.
嗯嗯。
Do those places in some ways have a better language than we do, or are they much worse?
这些地方的语言在某些方面比我们更好,还是更差?
Or when you think about Brazil and Singapore, what they’ve done, how it’s worked, how does that all come together with the language you think we need?
或者当你想到巴西和新加坡时,他们做了什么,它是如何运作的,这一切是如何与你认为我们需要的语言结合在一起的?
I have genuinely no idea how those two societies actually do talk about these problems.
我真的不知道这两个社会实际上是如何谈论这些问题的。
I do not, unfortunately, speak Portuguese, and as much as I enjoyed going to Singapore for a couple days on my honeymoon, my sense is not that that is a free and open discourse.
不幸的是,我不会说葡萄牙语,尽管我很喜欢去新加坡度蜜月几天,但我的感觉并不是这是一个自由和开放的话语。
But I don’t think I know enough about them to answer that confidently.
但我认为我对他们的了解还不够,无法自信地回答这个问题。
What about the role of shame in our culture, and also as it relates to media?
羞耻在我们的文化中以及与媒体相关的角色又如何呢?
Right now, I think I read estimates 40 percent of children are born into single-parent families.
现在,我想我读到估计 40% 的孩子出生在单亲家庭。
Some of those the father is actually around, but a lot of cases it’s not.
有些人的父亲实际上就在身边,但很多情况下并不在身边。
A lot of social conservatives, they somehow want to shame this arrangement, but from a media point of view, it’s very hard to shame those who are your readers.
很多社会保守派,他们不知何故想要羞辱这种安排,但从媒体的角度来看,很难羞辱那些你的读者。
There’s maybe a tendency for stories to evolve into a language without shame.
故事可能有发展成为一种无耻语言的趋势。
Does that ever worry you about media, and what is the role of shame in politics, and what should we be shaming more often?
您是否曾担心过媒体?羞耻在政治中的作用是什么?我们应该更频繁地羞辱什么?
I do think there’s a lot of shaming in media.
我确实认为媒体中有很多羞辱。
I don’t think it’s there, nor would I want it to be there, but I think an interesting thing about Trumpism and the particular way in which I think the media really has been — we can argue about whether the media has done a good job with Trump, but the media’s clearly very anti-Trump.
我不认为它在那里,我也不希望它在那里,但我认为关于特朗普主义的一个有趣的事情以及我认为媒体真正的特殊方式——我们可以争论媒体是否在特朗普方面做得很好,但媒体显然非常反特朗普。
The particular ideology he has, there are these long things, debates about whether the media is liberal or it’s conservative, and I tend to think they miss a lot of nuance on it, but what the media really is, is not committed to single-payer, but committed to diversity, to pluralism, to tolerance, to things that I think of as more cosmopolitan values than particularly liberal values, or at least liberal in the contemporary political sense of values.
他所拥有的特殊意识形态,有这些很长的事情,关于媒体是自由派还是保守派的争论,我倾向于认为他们错过了很多细微差别,但媒体真正是什么,并不致力于单一支付者,而是致力于多样性、多元化、宽容,以及我认为比特别自由主义价值观更国际化的价值观,或者至少是当代政治价值观中的自由主义价值观。
Trumpism is a lot less conservative than it is traditionalist, restrictionist; it collides with that set of cosmopolitan, urban values.
特朗普主义远不如传统主义、限制主义那么保守。它与国际化的城市价值观相冲突。
One place where I think people have a lot of upset about this — there is a lot of shaming in the media.
我认为人们对此感到非常不安——媒体上有很多羞辱。
We talked about it a couple minutes ago, around racial resentment.
几分钟前我们讨论了种族仇恨问题。
Say Trump voters.
说特朗普选民。
Yeah.
是的。
I think there’s a lot of shaming in the media about what opinions you can and cannot hold about whether Muslims should be able to come to the US, or what you can and can’t say about Mexican immigrants, or African Americans, or for that matter, by the way, white people.
我认为媒体上有很多羞辱,关于你可以或不可以对穆斯林是否应该能够来到美国持有什么意见,或者你可以或不可以对墨西哥移民、非裔美国人或白人说些什么。
There’s a lot of shaming in the media against anybody who is seen as looking down on the “legitimate grievances” of Trump voters.
媒体对那些被视为轻视特朗普选民“合法不满”的人进行了很多羞辱。
There’s a lot of, “No, you need empathy for this set of ideas, but this other set of ideas you can confidently attack.” So I don’t think the media operates without shame, I just don’t think it shames single mothers, nor do I think it should.
有很多,“不,你需要对这组想法产生同理心,但你可以自信地攻击另一组想法。”所以我不认为媒体的运作是无耻的,我只是不认为它让单身母亲感到羞耻,我也不认为它应该这样做。
Why shouldn’t we worry more about single motherhood?
为什么我们不应该更多地担心单身母亲呢?
It seems to be a social problem.
这似乎是一个社会问题。
You might want to worry about single motherhood —
你可能想要担心单身母亲——
Though we’re not going to penalize them financially; we don’t want to do that.
尽管我们不会对他们进行经济处罚;我们不想那样做。
I don’t think that shaming them would make any sense either.
我认为羞辱他们也没有任何意义。
There is a —
有一个——
You don’t think the shame of single motherhood in earlier eras discouraged the practice?
你不认为早期单亲母亲的耻辱阻碍了这种做法吗?
It’s funny first that we go quickly to single motherhood, because in theory you want to be talking here about shaming the father, but I think that there is a view — and I should say I’m a child of divorced parents, and I think it’s good that my parents were able to get divorced — there is a view that there are a large number of compensatory freedoms and types of happiness that have come from having more liberal views about marriage.
有趣的是,我们首先很快就成为单亲母亲,因为理论上你想在这里谈论羞辱父亲,但我认为有一种观点 ——我应该说我是离婚父母的孩子,我认为我的父母能够离婚是件好事 ——有一种观点认为,对婚姻有更自由的看法可以带来大量补偿性自由和幸福。
The flip of that is that a lot of — at least people in the media believe — that it has been more or less an unalloyed good that is has been harder to express antigay sentiments in public.
与此相反的是,很多人——至少媒体人士认为——它或多或少是一种纯粹的好处,很难在公开场合表达反同性恋情绪。
That’s the kind of calculation people are making.
这就是人们正在做的计算。
Broadly people like a lot of the trends and a lot of the policy decisions that have led to the possibility of more single motherhood, and they are very, very, very uncomfortable with the kinds of things that you would have to do and say to try to turn that back.
总的来说,人们喜欢很多趋势和很多政策决定,这些趋势和政策决定导致了更多单身母亲的可能性,并且他们对你必须做和说的那些试图扭转这种情况的事情感到非常、非常、非常不舒服。
Whereas a lot of the other kinds of shame, people are just making a different calculation.
而许多其他类型的耻辱,人们只是在进行不同的计算。
On the biggest moral blight of today
论当今最大的道德败坏
Which of our current practices or views will in the more distant future seem crazy, or just outright wrong?
我们当前的哪些做法或观点在更遥远的将来会显得疯狂,或者完全错误?
To ask the Chuck Klosterman question.
问查克·克洛斯特曼的问题。
Sure.
当然。
How we treat animals.
我们如何对待动物。
I think that how we treat animals, particularly around factory farming, and factory dairy production, etc., will be a genuine moral blight on this era.
我认为我们对待动物的方式,特别是工厂化养殖和工厂化乳制品生产等,将是这个时代真正的道德败坏。
And particularly on this era, because we’re at this point now where we’re beginning to get very, very good at creating plant-based meats, and increasingly we’re moving towards lab-grown meats.
尤其是在这个时代,因为我们现在正开始非常非常擅长创造植物性肉类,并且我们越来越多地转向实验室种植的肉类。
We’re about to have a bunch of technological changes that will make eating very little meat or no meat, at least no factory-farmed meat, pretty easy and pretty affordable.
我们即将进行一系列技术变革,这将使吃很少的肉或不吃肉,至少不吃工厂化养殖的肉,变得非常容易且相当实惠。
That tends to be something that comes along with big changes in morality.
这往往伴随着道德的巨大变化。
One of the ways I think about this is that I remember reading Ron Chernow’s Washington, the biography of Washington which is great.
我思考这个问题的方式之一是我记得读过罗恩·切尔诺的《华盛顿》,这是一本很棒的华盛顿传记。
I remember being surprised by the way the Founding Fathers talked about slavery in their letters to each other.
我记得我对开国元勋们在彼此的信中谈论奴隶制的方式感到惊讶。
It was very much the in-vogue thing to be against slavery.
反对奴隶制是当时非常流行的事情。
They all in their letters talked about it as a moral blight, and may it be gone from the Earth in 50 years, and the stain on this great nation, but they all just also had slaves, with the exception obviously of Hamilton.
他们都在信中谈到这是一种道德败坏,希望它在 50 年内从地球上消失,也是这个伟大国家的污点,但他们也都拥有奴隶,显然汉密尔顿除外。
There was something in that, in that they knew it was wrong, they knew they wanted it to stop, but it was just really hard to stop it at the time.
其中有一些东西,因为他们知道这是错误的,他们知道他们希望它停止,但当时真的很难阻止它。
It’s how the economy worked: they already had them, and they not just kept them but added more.
经济就是这样运作的:他们已经拥有了它们,而且他们不仅保留了它们,而且还增加了更多。
Looking back, it’s unconscionable, but when I talk to virtually anyone I know, I don’t know anybody that defends factory farming as a moral part of our society.
回想起来,这是不合情理的,但当我与几乎所有我认识的人交谈时,我不知道有谁会捍卫工厂化农业作为我们社会道德的一部分。
I don’t know anybody.
我谁也不认识。
You might hear it in reference to much poorer countries, but not to this one.
你可能会听到这个词指的是更贫穷的国家,但不是这个国家。
So we are running around knowing that we’re causing immense, tremendous suffering to sentient beings, and I don’t know, it’s a pain in the ass to eat less meat.
所以我们到处乱跑,知道我们正在给众生造成巨大的痛苦,但我不知道,少吃肉是一件很痛苦的事情。
I think it’s going to look really bad.
我认为它看起来会很糟糕。
You’re a pessimist about politics in some ways, or American politics.
在某些方面,你对政治或美国政治持悲观主义者的态度。
Why not then be a pessimist about food politics?
那么为什么不成为食品政治的悲观主义者呢?
Say you’re a Darwinian.
假设你是达尔文主义者。
Human beings clearly evolved to eat animal meat, right?
人类显然是为了吃动物肉而进化的,对吗?
Sure.
当然。
People argue, but yeah.
人们争论,但是是的。
But that’s not really up for grabs — and to enjoy it and to kill animals.
但这并不是真正可以争夺的——以及享受它和杀死动物的机会。
And we’ve evolved so our intuitions don’t make us so squeamish about doing that.
我们已经进化了,所以我们的直觉不会让我们对这样做感到如此拘谨。
Now that may, in some very long timeframe, change.
现在,在很长一段时间内,这种情况可能会发生变化。
Given that that’s one of the core things that we are, much as we’re evolved to, say, enjoy sex or have friends, why think that’s the one thing that’s going to change?
鉴于这是我们的核心事物之一,就像我们进化到享受性或拥有朋友一样,为什么认为这是会改变的一件事呢?
It seems to me that’s one of the least likely to change.
在我看来,这是最不可能改变的之一。
I don’t see it that way.
我不这么认为。
I’m not sure it’s the only thing that will change, but I’m using it as the thing here.
我不确定这是唯一会改变的东西,但我将它用作这里的东西。
Because I’m a technological optimist, in a lot of ways.
因为我在很多方面都是一个技术乐观主义者。
I’m not a political optimist, I don’t think we’re going to pass a bunch of laws that are going to change this, but I think that we will see technologies change it.
我不是一个政治乐观主义者,我不认为我们会通过一系列法律来改变这一点,但我认为我们会看到技术改变它。
There are things like this before.
以前也有这样的事情。
Child labor, I would actually put a little bit in this category, where, for a very long time, you would say, “Well, we’ve always put kids to work.”
童工,实际上我会在这个类别中放一点,在很长一段时间里,你会说,“嗯,我们总是让孩子们去工作。”
In fact, that’s why you have kids, so you have all this extra labor laying around when you need it.
事实上,这就是你生孩子的原因,所以当你需要的时候你可以做所有这些额外的劳动力。
Then we got better at automating things, and workers became much, much, much more productive.
然后我们在自动化方面做得更好了,工人的生产力也变得非常非常高。
And families want to educate their kids.
家庭希望教育他们的孩子。
And families want to educate their kids.
家庭希望教育他们的孩子。
But there’s no selfish sacrifice, then.
但这样就没有自私牺牲了。
Exactly.
确切地。
That’s why I’m saying that a crucial part of this story, a crucial part of my optimism on this, is that we are very much on the cusp of lab-grown meat.
这就是为什么我说这个故事的一个关键部分,也是我对此持乐观态度的一个关键部分,是我们正处于实验室培育肉类的风口浪尖。
So artificial meat will become so good, it will be better?
那么人造肉会变得这么好,会更好吗?
Artificial meat is becoming so good that it will make it much, much easier to hold these opinions.
人造肉变得如此之好,以至于人们更容易持有这些观点。
On that, I’m a pessimist.
对此,我是一个悲观主义者。
Maybe not forever, but for at least for a few hundred years, any time horizon we can foresee.
也许不是永远,但至少几百年,我们可以预见的任何时间范围。
You should try the Impossible Foods burger.
你应该尝试一下 Impossible Foods 的汉堡。
I’ve talked to some of these people.
我和其中一些人谈过。
I’m like, “What does your hamburger cost?” “$400,” they say.
我问:“你的汉堡多少钱?” “400 美元,”他们说。
No, it doesn’t cost $400.
不,它不需要 400 美元。
To actually do it?
要真正去做吗?
Not the lab-grown; the plant-based stuff is the stuff that is moving more towards affordable.
不是实验室培养的;以植物为基础的东西正在变得更加经济实惠。
The lab-grown, we’re still quite far from.
实验室培育的,我们还很远。
But people don’t enjoy it as much.
但人们并不那么喜欢它。
There are the two new ones.
有两个新的。
The Beyond Meat and the Impossible Foods burgers are both pretty good.
Beyond Meat 和 Impossible Foods 的汉堡都很不错。
I agree with you, they’re not there, as somebody who, when I eat meat, a burger is literally one of my couple favorite foods.
我同意你的观点,他们不在那里,因为当我吃肉时,汉堡实际上是我最喜欢的食物之一。
So I am not somebody who doubts the incredible deliciousness.
所以我并不是一个怀疑其令人难以置信的美味的人。
Now we’re getting pretty close.
现在我们已经非常接近了。
Again, I don’t want to say we’re there.
再说一次,我不想说我们在那里。
It’s not as good as the best burger.
它不如最好的汉堡。
Is it as good as a McDonald’s burger?
它和麦当劳的汉堡一样好吗?
Definitely, it is.
绝对是的。
Well that I think will disappear.
好吧,我认为会消失。
If that kind of stuff began to disappear, that’s a big amount of meat.
如果这种东西开始消失,那就是大量的肉。
Well people will eat better burgers.
人们会吃更好的汉堡。
McDonald’s will disappear.
麦当劳将会消失。
Not the burger.
不是汉堡。
Let’s say I were to defend the eating of meat, and I would say something like this.
假设我要捍卫吃肉,我会说这样的话。
If you eat vegetables, you still need to plow the proverbial field.
如果你吃蔬菜,你仍然需要耕地。
You kill mice.
你杀老鼠。
It may be a larger number, smaller number.
可能是较大的数字,也可能是较小的数字。
Let’s say it’s even a smaller number, but you’re always doing something morally unconscionable with respect to animals.
假设这个数字更小,但你总是对动物做一些在道德上不合理的事情。
Therefore, trying to apply human-to-human morality to relations with animals can’t work.
因此,试图将人与人之间的道德应用于与动物的关系上是行不通的。
We’re not sure what the right morality is.
我们不确定什么是正确的道德。
We can perform some acts of mercy and grace, but the very existence of a planet with so many billions of humans means there’s some ongoing, just massively cruel slaughter of animals.
我们可以做出一些仁慈和恩典的行为,但地球上有数十亿人类的存在就意味着对动物的大规模残酷屠杀仍在继续。
Yes or no?
是还是不是?
No.
不。
Say more.
多说一点。
I don’t buy that the morality here is so complex.
我不认为这里的道德如此复杂。
I am not saying that there aren’t better and worse things that we do, and I’m not saying that there’s any world in which we’re not going to be running over field mice as we plow fields.
我并不是说我们做的事情没有好坏之分,我也不是说我们在耕地时不会被田鼠碾过。
But we are torturing animals right now.
但我们现在正在折磨动物。
I don’t mean to get too much on the horse here, but what we do to egg-laying chickens, it’s just fucking crazy.
我并不是想在这里过分强调,但我们对下蛋鸡所做的事情实在是太疯狂了。
Not only is it fucking crazy, but we know it is because it is illegal now to tape it.
这不仅太疯狂了,而且我们知道这是因为现在录制它是违法的。
And it is so grotesque to watch it.
观看它真是太怪诞了。
I think that we can do better than that.
我认为我们可以做得更好。
There are a lot of places in life, and in living a moral life — environmentalism is a big one of these — where, given how complex human actions are, it is very hard to know with certainty that you’re making the right decisions.
生活中有很多地方,在道德生活中 ——环保主义是其中的一个重要因素—— 考虑到人类行为的复杂性,很难确定你正在做出正确的决定。
That’s true constantly in politics.
这在政治上始终如此。
That’s true constantly in everything we do.
我们所做的一切都是如此。
Nevertheless, we somehow stumble forward and try to do the best we can.
尽管如此,我们还是会跌跌撞撞地前进,并尽力做到最好。
Eating more plants and keeping fewer animals in conditions so terrible that we can’t actually bear to watch them and have had to pass laws so people stop trying to make us see them, I think that lends a fair bet.
在如此糟糕的条件下吃更多的植物,更少的动物,以至于我们实际上无法忍受观看它们,并且不得不通过法律,这样人们就不再试图让我们看到它们,我认为这是一个公平的赌注。
On travel
旅行时
Last question, cheerier.
最后一个问题,开心点。
You’ve traveled to a bunch of different countries, a lot of different parts of the United States.
你去过很多不同的国家,美国的很多不同地方。
What’s the one thing you know about travel that you feel other people underrate as a way to do it?
关于旅行,你知道什么是你认为其他人低估的旅行方式?
I do not think I’m actually particularly good at travel.
我认为我实际上并不特别擅长旅行。
I envy your facility here very much.
我非常羡慕你们这里的设施。
The one thing I really love about it, that maybe is a little bit weird, is I think that a lot of what is great about travel is focusing your attention on a place in a way that is not necessarily related, actually all the time, to being there.
我真正喜欢它的一件事,也许有点奇怪,是我认为旅行的很多好处在于将你的注意力集中在一个地方,而这种方式实际上与一直在那里不一定相关。
Often times, when I’m traveling somewhere, part of why I learn so much about the place I’m going is that I’m thinking about it, I’m reading about it as I’m there watching it.
很多时候,当我去某个地方旅行时,我对要去的地方了解得如此多的部分原因是我在思考它,在观看它的同时阅读它。
A lot of it is the mustering of other kinds of attentional resources, watching movies, or documentaries, or consuming other kinds of culture from it before.
其中很大一部分是聚集其他类型的注意力资源,观看电影或纪录片,或者之前从中消费其他类型的文化。
There is more than just the seeing.
不仅仅是看到。
Sometimes people feel like the learning about a place is just going and seeing it.
有时人们觉得了解一个地方就是去看看它。
For me, I find that a lot of the benefits of travel are actually about things that I could have done even if I haven’t been there, but I would have never focused on in the same way, and with the same intensity, for the same period of time.
对我来说,我发现旅行的很多好处实际上是关于即使我没有去过那里我也可以做的事情,但我永远不会以同样的方式、同样的强度、在同样的时间内专注于这些事情。
Ezra, thank you very much, and thank you for taking the other side of the mic.
以斯拉,非常感谢你,也感谢你站在麦克风的另一边。
Thank you.
谢谢。
This podcast is also being released to listeners of The Ezra Klein Show.
该播客也将向《埃兹拉·克莱因秀》的听众发布。
We encourage CWT listeners to check out his show if you haven’t already.
如果您还没有看过他的节目,我们鼓励 CWT 听众去看看。
Special thanks also to Panoply for lending us production help for this podcast.
还要特别感谢 Panoply 为我们提供此播客的制作帮助。